Burnley — Middlesbrough 1:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 0.68 Expected goals (xG) 0.97
• 42% Possession 58%
• 11 Total shots 10
• 3 Shots on target 2
• 0 Big Chances 3
• 5 Corners 1
• 77 (299/387)Assists(467/541) 86
• 2 Yellow cards 2
• 0.97 xG on target (xGOT) 0.35
• 4 Shots off target 5
• 4 Shots blocked 3
• 6 Shots from inside the penalty area 4
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 18 Touches in opposition box 25
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 6
• 8 Free kicks 11
• 31 (23/74)Long Balls(18/39) 46
• 66 (80/121)Passes in final third(148/189) 78
• 17 (3/18)Crosses(1/13) 8
• 0.38 Expected assists (xA) 1.16
• 16 Throw-ins 23
• 11 Fouls 8
• 50 (9/18)Tackles(11/20) 55
• 40 Duels won 51
• 23 Clearances 15
• 8 Steals 9
• 1 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 2
• 0.35 xGOT faced 0.97
• -0.65 Goals prevented -0.03
• 12 Goal kicks 5
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0

1. 90:00 +3:08Second half ends
2. 90:00 +2:38Largie Ramazani misses attempt (To the left, Out of box, Right footed, Open play)
3. 90:22Ugo Raghouber recieves a yellow card
4. 86:17David Strelec is substituted on
5. 86:17Will Lankshear is substituted off
6. 80:01Mike Trésor is substituted on
7. 80:01Dastan Satpaev is substituted off
8. 80:00Luke Ayling is caught offside
9. 78:23Aaron Ramsey misses attempt (Out of box, Right footed, Open play)
10. 78:02Sebastian Berhalter has shot blocked (Out of box, Right footed, Open play)
11. 76:18Armando Broja is substituted on
12. 76:18Jacob Bruun Larsen is substituted off
13. 75:38Neto Borges wins a corner (To the left)
14. 75:37Oliver Sonne blocks a shot
15. 75:37Neto Borges has shot blocked (18-yard box, Left footed, Open play)

BurnleyMiddlesbrough

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

England. Championship

Season

2026/2027

Referee

Matt Donohue

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28	WWDWW
2	Swansea City	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26	WLLWW
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24	WWDWL
4	West Bromwich Albion	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24	WDWWL
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	23	WWDWW
6	Birmingham City	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23	WLWWW
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23	WDWLW
8	West Ham United	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22	LLWWD
9	Queens Park Rangers	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20	LWLWD
10	Sheffield United	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19	WDWLW
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19	DWDWW
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18	WLDLW
13	Blackburn Rovers	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18	LWLWW
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18	WDLLD
15	Norwich City	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15	WWLLL
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15	LWDLL
17	Cardiff City	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14	LWDWL
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14	LLWLD
19	Bolton Wanderers	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14	LLDWL
20	Charlton Athletic	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14	LLLDD
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11	LLWLL
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9	DLLDW
23	Derby County	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7	LDLLD
24	Preston North End	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5	LDLLL

• Promotion - Premier League
• Promotion - Championship (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - Championship (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation - First League

• The model expects 3.08 goals: 1.42 for Burnley and 1.67 for Middlesbrough.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Corners: about 10.5 (3.3 — 7.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.92.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	67%	100%	81%	1.23
Over 2.5	67%	100%	59%	1.68
Over 3.5	33%	50%	37%	2.70
Over 4.5	0%	0%	20%	5.04

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Burnley Middlesbrough

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 5.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Burnleymatches: 3 · 2Middlesbrough

2.66Avg match total3.5

100%3/3Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/2

67%2/3Over 1.5100%2/2

33%1/3Under 1.50%0/2

67%2/3Over 2.5100%2/2

33%1/3Under 2.50%0/2

33%1/3Over 3.550%1/2

67%2/3Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/2

100%3/3Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

BurnleyMiddlesbrough

0%0/3Scores first100%2/2

—…and wins50%1/2

—…and draws0%0/2

—…and loses50%1/2

—…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Burnley opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Burnley avoided defeat after conceding first in 67% of such matches.
• • Middlesbrough opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Burnley				Middlesbrough
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	33%	1–15	50%	1	0
0	1	33%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	31–45	50%	1	0
1	0	33%	46–60	50%	0	2
0	1	33%	61–75	0%	0	0
2	0	33%	76–90	50%	2	1
0	1	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	87–FT	50%	1	1

• • Burnley scores most in 76–90: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Burnley concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 4 conceded.
• • Middlesbrough scores most in 76–90: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Middlesbrough concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 3 conceded.
• • Middlesbrough scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

BurnleyMiddlesbrough

5.0Corners won, avg8.5

6.0Corners conceded, avg1.5

11.0Match corners, avg10.0

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg3.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Burnleyper matchMiddlesbrough

2.09xG for2.01

1.33xG against1.15

17.0Shots23.0

11.0Shots against9.0

5.0Shots on target5.5

2.0On target against5.0

8%Conversion9%

12.8Shots per goal11.5

12.0Fouls13.0

0.0Offsides2.0

• • Burnley scores 0.76 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Burnley concedes 0 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Middlesbrough scores 0.01 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Middlesbrough concedes 0.35 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.67 goals per match on average.