Zemun — Crvena Zvezda 0:2: match report and statistics

• 0.86 Expected goals (xG) 2.21
• 34% Possession 66%
• 10 Total shots 27
• 3 Shots on target 12
• 0 Big Chances 4
• 4 Corners 5
• 79 (246/311)Assists(547/618) 89
• 3 Yellow cards 3
• 0.55 xG on target (xGOT) 3.52
• 5 Shots off target 10
• 2 Shots blocked 5
• 10 Shots from inside the penalty area 17
• 0 Shots from outside the penalty area 10
• 1 Hit the woodwork 2
• 0 Headed goals 1
• 21 Touches in opposition box 52
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 2
• 11 Free kicks 13
• 44 (23/52)Long Balls(28/46) 61
• 59 (40/68)Passes in final third(164/212) 77
• 42 (8/19)Crosses(9/13) 69
• 0.79 Expected assists (xA) 1.57
• 9 Throw-ins 12
• 13 Fouls 11
• 61 (14/23)Tackles(11/18) 61
• 44 Duels won 49
• 24 Clearances 22
• 5 Steals 10
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 10 Saves 3
• 3.52 xGOT faced 0.55
• 1.52 Goals prevented 0.55
• 11 Goal kicks 4

Tournament

Superliga

Season

2026/2027

Referee

Stefan Jeknic

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Crvena Zvezda	13	12	1	0	33:4	+29	37	WWWWW
2	Vojvodina Novi Sad	13	9	2	2	28:12	+16	29	DWWDW
3	Zeleznicar Pancevo	12	7	2	3	19:10	+9	23	WWWWL
4	IMT Novi Beograd	13	6	3	4	15:9	+6	21	LWWDL
5	Radnicki 1923	12	6	2	4	18:14	+4	20	WLLWW
6	Cukaricki	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18	WWDLD
7	Mladost Lucani	13	4	6	3	12:18	-6	18	DLDWL
8	Radnik Surdulica	13	4	5	4	17:17	0	17	LWLDD
9	Novi Pazar	13	4	4	5	13:14	-1	16	WLLDD
10	Partizan Belgrade	12	3	2	7	18:22	-4	11	WLLWD
11	OFK Beograd	13	2	5	6	14:23	-9	11	LDDLL
12	Macva Sabac	13	2	4	7	9:21	-12	10	LDDLL
13	Radnicki Nis	12	2	2	8	7:20	-13	8	LLLLL
14	Zemun	13	1	3	9	7:25	-18	6	WLLDD

• Promotion - Superliga (Play-off)
• Superliga (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.92 goals: 2.09 for Zemun and 0.84 for Crvena Zvezda.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
• Corners: about 8.7 (4.3 — 4.4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.17, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.06
Over 1.5	67%	50%	79%	1.27
Over 2.5	50%	50%	56%	1.79
Over 3.5	17%	50%	33%	2.99
Over 4.5	0%	50%	17%	5.83

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Zemun Crvena Zvezda

• Winless in 5 matches100%
• 4 defeats in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• First-half goal in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• First-half goal in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 1.5 cards in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 8

Zemunmatches: 6 · 2Crvena Zvezda

2.34Avg match total3.5

100%6/6Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/2

67%4/6Over 1.550%1/2

33%2/6Under 1.550%1/2

50%3/6Over 2.550%1/2

50%3/6Under 2.550%1/2

17%1/6Over 3.550%1/2

83%5/6Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/6Over 4.550%1/2

100%6/6Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ZemunCrvena Zvezda

50%3/6Scores first0%0/2

67%2/3…and wins—

0%0/3…and draws—

33%1/3…and loses—

33%1/3…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Zemun opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Zemun avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Crvena Zvezda opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Crvena Zvezda avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Zemun				Crvena Zvezda
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	2	33%	1–15	50%	1	1
1	1	33%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	17%	31–45	50%	0	1
2	0	33%	46–60	50%	0	1
1	1	33%	61–75	50%	0	1
2	3	67%	76–90	50%	0	1
1	0	17%	37–HT	50%	0	1
1	0	17%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • Zemun scores most in 46–60: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Zemun concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • Zemun scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Crvena Zvezda scores most in 1–15: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Crvena Zvezda concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 5 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ZemunCrvena Zvezda

3.0Corners won, avg5.5

3.3Corners conceded, avg5.5

6.3Match corners, avg11.0

2.33Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Zemunper matchCrvena Zvezda

1.4xG for0.82

1.58xG against6.9

9.0Shots14.0

12.7Shots against24.0

3.3Shots on target4.5

4.7On target against7.0

13%Conversion4%

7.7Shots per goal28.0

14.0Fouls15.5

1.0Offsides2.0

• • Zemun scores 0.23 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Zemun concedes 0.41 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Crvena Zvezda scores 0.32 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Crvena Zvezda concedes 3.9 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 5 · 2.2 goals per match on average.