Mladost Lucani — Radnik Surdulica: statistics, head-to-head and preview

• 0.49 Expected goals (xG) 0.41
• 44% Possession 56%
• 5 Total shots 10
• 1 Shots on target 1
• 0 Big Chances 0
• 1 Corners 2
• 81 (217/267)Assists(292/346) 84
• 1 Yellow cards 1
• 0.04 xG on target (xGOT) 0.05
• 3 Shots off target 6
• 1 Shots blocked 3
• 4 Shots from inside the penalty area 2
• 1 Shots from outside the penalty area 8
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 8 Touches in opposition box 6
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 3 Offsides 1
• 3 Free kicks 6
• 38 (12/32)Long Balls(18/40) 45
• 65 (34/52)Passes in final third(55/81) 68
• 38 (3/8)Crosses(1/11) 9
• 0.29 Expected assists (xA) 0.24
• 6 Throw-ins 12
• 6 Fouls 3
• 0 (0/2)Tackles(5/6) 83
• 13 Duels won 17
• 12 Clearances 14
• 8 Steals 5
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 1
• 0.05 xGOT faced 0.04
• 0.05 Goals prevented 0.04
• 9 Goal kicks 3

Tournament

Superliga

Venue

Mladosti u Lucanima (Lucani)

City

Lucani

Address

Lucani

Surface

Hybrid grass

Map

Open map

Referee

Pavle Ilic

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Crvena Zvezda	14	13	1	0	37:6	+31	40	WWWWW
2	Vojvodina Novi Sad	14	10	2	2	30:12	+18	32	WDWWD
3	Zeleznicar Pancevo	13	8	2	3	21:11	+10	26	DWWWW
4	Radnicki 1923	14	7	2	5	21:16	+5	23	WLWLL
5	IMT Novi Beograd	14	6	4	4	15:9	+6	22	DLWWD
6	Cukaricki	14	5	4	5	19:20	-1	19	DWWDL
7	Mladost Lucani	13	4	6	3	12:18	-6	18	DLDWL
8	Partizan Belgrade	14	5	2	7	24:24	0	17	WWLLW
9	Radnik Surdulica	13	4	5	4	17:17	0	17	LWLDD
10	Novi Pazar	14	4	4	6	13:16	-3	16	LWLLD
11	OFK Beograd	14	2	5	7	14:25	-11	11	LLDDL
12	Macva Sabac	14	2	4	8	11:25	-14	10	LLDDL
13	Radnicki Nis	13	2	2	9	9:23	-14	8	DLLLL
14	Zemun	14	1	3	10	7:28	-21	6	LWLLD

• Promotion - Superliga (Play-off)
• Superliga (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.06 goals: 1.37 for Mladost Lucani and 0.69 for Radnik Surdulica.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (17%), followed by 0–0 (13%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (4.6 — 5.2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.69, 2nd — 1.37.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	67%	86%	87%	1.15
Over 1.5	50%	57%	61%	1.64
Over 2.5	33%	43%	34%	2.94
Over 3.5	33%	14%	15%	6.50
Over 4.5	0%	14%	6%	17.17

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Mladost Lucani Radnik Surdulica

• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 10.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 2.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Mladost Lucanimatches: 6 · 7Radnik Surdulica

1.84Avg match total2.28

67%4/6Over 0.586%6/7

33%2/6Under 0.514%1/7

50%3/6Over 1.557%4/7

50%3/6Under 1.543%3/7

33%2/6Over 2.543%3/7

67%4/6Under 2.557%4/7

33%2/6Over 3.514%1/7

67%4/6Under 3.586%6/7

0%0/6Over 4.514%1/7

100%6/6Under 4.586%6/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Mladost LucaniRadnik Surdulica

75%3/4Scores first17%1/6

67%2/3…and wins0%0/1

33%1/3…and draws0%0/1

0%0/3…and loses100%1/1

67%2/3…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Mladost Lucani opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Mladost Lucani avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Radnik Surdulica opened the scoring in 17% of matches.
• • Radnik Surdulica avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.

Mladost Lucani				Radnik Surdulica
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	33%	1–15	29%	1	1
0	1	17%	16–30	43%	0	3
1	0	17%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	0	17%	46–60	43%	1	2
1	0	17%	61–75	43%	2	4
2	3	50%	76–90	29%	1	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	17%	87–FT	14%	0	1

• • Mladost Lucani scores most in 1–15: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Mladost Lucani concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 4 conceded.
• • Mladost Lucani scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Radnik Surdulica scores most in 61–75: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Radnik Surdulica concedes most in 61–75: 4 of 11 conceded.
• • Radnik Surdulica scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Mladost LucaniRadnik Surdulica

4.2Corners won, avg4.3

6.2Corners conceded, avg5.0

10.3Match corners, avg9.3

2.17Corners in 1st half, avg1.43

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Mladost Lucaniper matchRadnik Surdulica

0.98xG for0.99

1.17xG against1.61

12.7Shots12.4

15.8Shots against13.0

4.2Shots on target3.7

5.2On target against5.6

9%Conversion6%

10.8Shots per goal17.5

13.2Fouls15.0

2.0Offsides0.57

• • Mladost Lucani scores 0.19 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Mladost Lucani concedes 0.5 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Radnik Surdulica scores 0.28 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Radnik Surdulica concedes 0.04 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.17 goals per match on average.