Rapid Wien — FC Salzburg 1:5: match report and statistics

• 2.74 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
• 50% Possession 50%
• 16 Total shots 17
• 9 Shots on target 4
• 7 Big Chances 1
• 2 Corners 6
• 91 (512/560)Assists(508/558) 91
• 0 Yellow cards 1
• 3.88 xG on target (xGOT) 0.73
• 7 Shots off target 5
• 0 Shots blocked 8
• 11 Shots from inside the penalty area 8
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 9
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 29 Touches in opposition box 25
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 1
• 8 Free kicks 8
• 70 (23/33)Long Balls(16/24) 67
• 83 (59/71)Passes in final third(194/227) 85
• 43 (3/7)Crosses(3/17) 18
• 0.61 Expected assists (xA) 1.25
• 16 Throw-ins 21
• 8 Fouls 8
• 60 (15/25)Tackles(11/21) 52
• 51 Duels won 38
• 19 Clearances 16
• 5 Steals 8
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 4
• 0.73 xGOT faced 3.88
• -0.27 Goals prevented -1.12
• 10 Goal kicks 6

Tournament

Austria. Bundesliga

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

12,153

Referee

Jakob Semler

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Rapid Wien	11	10	0	1	33:9	+24	30	WWWWW
2	FC Salzburg	11	8	3	0	29:6	+23	27	WWWDW
3	LASK Linz	11	7	1	3	26:13	+13	22	WLWLD
4	Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	19:13	+6	19	DDWWL
5	Hartberg	11	5	2	4	20:19	+1	17	WWLWD
6	Ried	11	4	4	3	19:18	+1	16	DDWWD
7	WSG Tirol	11	3	3	5	14:17	-3	12	LDWLL
8	Rheindorf Altach	11	3	1	7	11:17	-6	10	DWLWL
9	Grazer AK	11	2	4	5	8:27	-19	10	LDLDD
10	Austria Lustenau	11	2	2	7	13:29	-16	8	LLLLL
11	Austria Wien	11	2	1	8	10:22	-12	7	LLLLD
12	Wolfsberger AC	11	1	3	7	8:20	-12	6	DLLLL

• Promotion - Bundesliga (Play-off)
• Bundesliga (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 4 goals: 1.85 for Rapid Wien and 2.15 for FC Salzburg.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (8%), followed by 1–1 (7%).
• Corners: about 10 (7.3 — 2.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.85, 2nd — 1.85.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	80%	100%	91%	1.10
Over 2.5	60%	100%	76%	1.31
Over 3.5	60%	50%	57%	1.77
Over 4.5	40%	50%	37%	2.69

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Rapid Wien FC Salzburg

• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored first in 8 of 8 matches100%
• First-half goal in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Scored over 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Over 8.5 corners in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 4

Rapid Wienmatches: 5 · 2FC Salzburg

4.0Avg match total4.0

100%5/5Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/2

80%4/5Over 1.5100%2/2

20%1/5Under 1.50%0/2

60%3/5Over 2.5100%2/2

40%2/5Under 2.50%0/2

60%3/5Over 3.550%1/2

40%2/5Under 3.550%1/2

40%2/5Over 4.550%1/2

60%3/5Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Rapid WienFC Salzburg

100%5/5Scores first100%2/2

80%4/5…and wins100%2/2

0%0/5…and draws0%0/2

20%1/5…and loses0%0/2

40%2/5…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Rapid Wien opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • FC Salzburg opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Rapid Wien				FC Salzburg
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
5	1	60%	1–15	50%	1	0
1	0	20%	16–30	50%	1	0
4	0	60%	31–45	50%	1	0
1	0	20%	46–60	50%	1	1
1	0	20%	61–75	50%	2	0
3	1	80%	76–90	50%	1	0
3	0	40%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Rapid Wien scores most in 1–15: 5 of 15 goals (33%).
• • Rapid Wien concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Rapid Wien scores 27% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • FC Salzburg scores most in 61–75: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • FC Salzburg concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • FC Salzburg scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Rapid WienFC Salzburg

7.6Corners won, avg2.0

3.4Corners conceded, avg7.0

11.0Match corners, avg9.0

2.4Corners in 1st half, avg0.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Rapid Wienper matchFC Salzburg

2.91xG for0.45

0.87xG against1.9

23.6Shots5.5

9.6Shots against14.0

8.0Shots on target2.5

3.4On target against6.0

14%Conversion64%

7.4Shots per goal1.57

10.0Fouls8.5

1.8Offsides1.0

• • Rapid Wien scores 0.29 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Rapid Wien concedes 0.07 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • FC Salzburg scores 3.05 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • FC Salzburg concedes 1.4 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.33 goals per match on average.