France — Sweden 3:0: match report and statistics

• 3.24 Expected goals (xG) 0.7
• 114% Possession 86%
• 25 Total shots 8
• 12 Shots on target 3
• 7 Big Chances 1
• 9 Corners 1
• 88 (484/551)Assists(278/350) 79
• 3.84 xG on target (xGOT) 0.64
• 9 Shots off target 4
• 4 Shots blocked 1
• 16 Shots from inside the penalty area 7
• 9 Shots from outside the penalty area 1
• 2 Hit the woodwork 0
• 35 Touches in opposition box 14
• 3 Accurate through passes 2
• 3 Offsides 1
• 10 Free kicks 14
• 51 (19/37)Long Balls(11/44) 25
• 86 (179/207)Passes in final third(64/106) 60
• 24 (4/17)Crosses(3/11) 27
• 1.64 Expected assists (xA) 0.36
• 10 Throw-ins 19
• 14 Fouls 10
• 13 (7/13)Tackles(9/13) 13
• 46 Duels won 41
• 23 Clearances 26
• 5 Steals 12
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 9
• 0.64 xGOT faced 3.84
• 0.64 Goals prevented 0.84
• 8 Goal kicks 8
• 0 Yellow cards 0
• 2 Posts and crossbars 0

1. 90:00 +4:03Danny Makkelie is looking at his watch and immediately ends this match.
2. 90:00 +3:46Mattias Svanberg (Sweden) collects a great pass inside the box and misses a sitter. His shot was directed towards the right post, but the goalkeeper pulls off a marvellous diving save and denies him.
3. 90:00 +2:32Benjamin Nygren (Sweden) tries to find Besfort Zeneli with a clever through ball from the corner of the box, but the defence is alert to the danger and makes a clearance.
4. 90:00 +1:24Jean-Philippe Mateta (France) gets to the ball in the penalty box and immediately fires a first-time effort. He didn't hit the ball properly and skies it high over the crossbar.
5. 90:00The fourth official shows 4 min. of added time.
6. 89:16The current number of corner kicks is 9:1. Fouls committed – 11:10.
7. 89:00The referee signals that it is time for a substitution and Gustaf Nilsson (Sweden) comes onto the pitch so that Alexander Isak can be given a rest.
8. 88:31Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden) wastes a great scoring opportunity! He latches on to a precise pass and fires a decent first-time shot towards the bottom right corner from a promising distance, but Mike Maignan denies him.
9. 87:12The linesman signals that Bradley Barcola (France) is offside and the referee confirms the decision.
10. 85:57The ball flies way wide of the left post as Mattias Svanberg (Sweden) produces an imprecise volley strike from long distance.
11. 85:27Anthony Elanga (Sweden) sends a lofted cross into the penalty area. Unfortunately for him, the opponent's defence deals with his cross comfortably and intercepts it.
12. 84:40Didier Deschamps has decided to introduce fresh legs, with Rayan Cherki (France) replacing Michael Olise.
13. 84:34Substitution. Jean-Philippe Mateta (France) on for Kylian Mbappe.
14. 83:45Michael Olise (France) did his best to latch on to a crossfield pass, but it was too long and it goes out of play.
15. 81:59Michael Olise (France) takes the corner kick and sends the ball among a huddle of players inside the penalty area, but one of the defenders clears it to safety.

FranceSweden

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

World Cup

Season

2026

Attendance

80,663

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

• The model expects 3.73 goals: 2.68 for France and 1.05 for Sweden.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (9%), followed by 2–0 (9%).
• Corners: about 7.8 (4.6 — 3.2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.09, 2nd — 2.65.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	100%	89%	1.13
Over 2.5	100%	71%	72%	1.39
Over 3.5	60%	71%	51%	1.95
Over 4.5	0%	29%	32%	3.14

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams France Sweden

• Over 2.5 in 9 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• 4 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 1.5 in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 9 matches89%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 10

Francematches: 5 · 7Sweden

3.6Avg match total3.9

100%5/5Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/7

100%5/5Over 1.5100%7/7

0%0/5Under 1.50%0/7

100%5/5Over 2.571%5/7

0%0/5Under 2.529%2/7

60%3/5Over 3.571%5/7

40%2/5Under 3.529%2/7

0%0/5Over 4.529%2/7

100%5/5Under 4.571%5/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

FranceSweden

100%5/5Scores first29%2/7

80%4/5…and wins50%1/2

0%0/5…and draws50%1/2

20%1/5…and loses0%0/2

60%3/5…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • France opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Sweden opened the scoring in 29% of matches.
• • Sweden avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.

France				Sweden
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	20%	1–15	57%	1	3
0	0	0%	16–30	57%	1	3
2	0	40%	31–45	43%	1	2
3	1	80%	46–60	71%	2	5
3	1	60%	61–75	57%	3	1
5	2	60%	76–90	71%	1	4
2	0	40%	37–HT	29%	0	2
2	1	40%	87–FT	57%	0	4

• • France scores most in 76–90: 5 of 14 goals (36%).
• • France concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • France scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Sweden scores most in 61–75: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • Sweden concedes most in 46–60: 5 of 18 conceded.
• • Sweden scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

FranceSweden

6.0Corners won, avg4.7

1.8Corners conceded, avg3.2

7.8Match corners, avg7.8

2.8Corners in 1st half, avg2.17

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

France				Sweden
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0.8	0.3	75%	1–10	100%	1.3	0.3
0.3	0	25%	11–20	67%	0.3	0.3
0.5	0.8	75%	21–30	0%	0	0
0.3	0	25%	31–40	0%	0	0
0.8	0.3	50%	41–HT	67%	0.7	0.3
0.3	0	25%	46–55	67%	1	0.3
0.8	0	50%	56–65	67%	0.3	0.7
0.8	0.5	50%	66–75	33%	0.3	0
1	0	75%	76–85	100%	0.7	2.3
0.5	0.5	75%	86–FT	67%	0.7	0
0.8	0.3	50%	37–HT	67%	0.7	0.3
0.5	0.5	75%	87–FT	67%	0.7	0

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Franceper matchSweden

2.4xG for1.14

0.71xG against1.41

19.4Shots10.5

4.4Shots against9.5

6.8Shots on target4.5

1.4On target against5.0

14%Conversion12%

6.9Shots per goal8.1

7.2Fouls14.0

2.0Offsides1.83

• • France scores 0.4 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • France concedes 0.09 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Sweden scores 0.15 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Sweden concedes 1.16 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.67 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.