Ganzhou Ruishi — Hubei Istar 4:4: match report and statistics

• 1.23 Expected goals (xG) 1.1
• 50% Possession 50%
• 10 Total shots 9
• 5 Shots on target 6
• 2 Big Chances 3
• 2 Corners 0
• 83 (358/432)Assists(367/439) 84
• 2.64 xG on target (xGOT) 1.47
• 3 Shots off target 2
• 2 Shots blocked 1
• 6 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 4
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 2 Headed goals 0
• 18 Touches in opposition box 8
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 0
• 7 Free kicks 13
• 30 (14/47)Long Balls(17/46) 37
• 56 (57/102)Passes in final third(50/73) 68
• 30 (6/20)Crosses(0/6) 0
• 1.57 Expected assists (xA) 0.18
• 27 Throw-ins 31
• 13 Fouls 7
• 50 (3/6)Tackles(9/18) 50
• 32 Duels won 51
• 9 Clearances 28
• 9 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 1 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 1
• 1.47 xGOT faced 2.64
• -2.53 Goals prevented -1.36
• 6 Goal kicks 8

Tournament

China. Second League

Season

2026

Attendance

629

Referee

Yi Huang

Group North

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Shandong Taishan II	22	12	5	5	33:21	+12	41	DLWDD
2	Shanghai Port II	22	12	4	6	36:19	+17	40	WLLLW
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	12	4	6	29:17	+12	40	DLWWW
4	Dalian Kewei	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37	LWDDW
5	Taian Tiankuang	22	8	7	7	25:23	+2	31	DLDLD
6	Dalian Yingbo II	22	6	10	6	21:22	-1	28	LWDWL
7	Haimen Codion	22	5	11	6	25:23	+2	26	DDWWW
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	22	4	14	4	13:16	-3	26	DWDWD
9	Qingdao Red Lions	22	5	10	7	22:20	+2	25	LDWDW
10	Changchun Xidu	22	3	11	8	15:28	-13	20	WDLLD
11	Beijing Institute of Technology	22	3	7	12	21:42	-21	16	WDWLL
12	Shanghai Segenda	22	2	9	11	22:39	-17	15	DLLDD

Group South

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	22	13	3	6	32:17	+15	42	DDLWW
2	Shenzhen 2028	22	10	7	5	37:25	+12	37	LDWLW
3	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:19	+6	35	WLWWD
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	22	8	10	4	25:28	-3	34	WWWDW
5	Hubei Istar	22	9	7	6	29:23	+6	34	WLLLD
6	Xiamen Feilu	22	7	8	7	29:28	+1	29	LWDLL
7	Guangdong Mingtu	22	5	11	6	22:20	+2	26	LWDDW
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	6	8	8	19:32	-13	26	LLLDL
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	6	7	9	22:28	-6	25	DWDLD
10	Chengdu Rongcheng II	22	5	7	10	18:24	-6	22	LDWWL
11	Wenzhou	22	4	10	8	15:23	-8	22	WDDLD
12	Wuhan Three Towns II	22	4	7	11	20:26	-6	19	WLLWW

• Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Group)
• League 2 (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2 goals: 1.17 for Ganzhou Ruishi and 0.84 for Hubei Istar.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (16%), followed by 0–0 (14%).
• Corners: about 7.8 (3.7 — 4.2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	67%	86%	1.16
Over 1.5	67%	33%	59%	1.68
Over 2.5	33%	33%	32%	3.09
Over 3.5	0%	33%	14%	7.00
Over 4.5	0%	33%	5%	18.99

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Ganzhou Ruishi Hubei Istar

• Under 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• At least one team failed to score in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 9.5 corners in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 10.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Ganzhou Ruishimatches: 3 · 3Hubei Istar

2.0Avg match total2.0

100%3/3Over 0.567%2/3

0%0/3Under 0.533%1/3

67%2/3Over 1.533%1/3

33%1/3Under 1.567%2/3

33%1/3Over 2.533%1/3

67%2/3Under 2.567%2/3

0%0/3Over 3.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 3.567%2/3

0%0/3Over 4.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Ganzhou RuishiHubei Istar

67%2/3Scores first50%1/2

100%2/2…and wins100%1/1

0%0/2…and draws0%0/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

0%0/2…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Ganzhou Ruishi opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Ganzhou Ruishi avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Hubei Istar opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Hubei Istar avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Ganzhou Ruishi				Hubei Istar
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	33%	1–15	33%	1	0
1	1	67%	16–30	67%	1	1
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	33%	1	2
2	0	33%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Ganzhou Ruishi scores most in 76–90: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Ganzhou Ruishi concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Ganzhou Ruishi scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Hubei Istar scores most in 1–15: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Hubei Istar concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 3 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Ganzhou RuishiHubei Istar

3.3Corners won, avg3.0

5.3Corners conceded, avg4.0

8.7Match corners, avg7.0

0.67Corners in 1st half, avg1.33

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Ganzhou Ruishiper matchHubei Istar

0.72xG for0.86

0.69xG against0.83

11.7Shots9.3

12.0Shots against10.7

4.0Shots on target2.33

2.33On target against3.0

11%Conversion11%

8.8Shots per goal9.3

23.0Fouls11.3

1.33Offsides1.67

• • Ganzhou Ruishi scores 0.61 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Ganzhou Ruishi concedes 0.02 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Hubei Istar scores 0.14 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Hubei Istar concedes 0.17 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 2.25 goals per match on average.