Spartak Moscow — Krasnodar 1:2: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 1.06 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
• 63% Possession 37%
• 16 Total shots 16
• 3 Shots on target 4
• 3 Big Chances 1
• 6 Corners 7
• 78 (372/479)Assists(200/283) 71
• 1 Yellow cards 3
• 0.71 xG on target (xGOT) 1.48
• 9 Shots off target 8
• 4 Shots blocked 4
• 14 Shots from inside the penalty area 9
• 2 Shots from outside the penalty area 7
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 31 Touches in opposition box 19
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 2
• 15 Free kicks 12
• 46 (27/59)Long Balls(21/57) 37
• 63 (81/128)Passes in final third(58/92) 63
• 31 (9/29)Crosses(5/14) 36
• 1.33 Expected assists (xA) 0.72
• 36 Throw-ins 20
• 12 Fouls 15
• 71 (10/14)Tackles(16/20) 80
• 54 Duels won 61
• 15 Clearances 40
• 8 Steals 14
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 2 Saves 2
• 1.48 xGOT faced 0.71
• -0.52 Goals prevented -0.29
• 11 Goal kicks 11
• 1 Posts and crossbars 0

1. 90:00 +5:08Second half ends
2. 90:00 +4:00Nikita Krivtsov is caught offside
3. 90:00 +3:39Jubal recieves a yellow card
4. 90:00 +3:07Nikita Krivtsov misses attempt (High to the left, 18-yard box, Right footed, Open play)
5. 89:42Christopher Martins misses attempt (18-yard box, Big Chance, Left footed, Open play)
6. 88:58Stanislav Agkatsev makes a save (Standing)
7. 88:58Mirlind Daku has attempt saved (Low to the centre, 18-yard box, Head, From corner)
8. 88:44Jubal blocks a shot
9. 88:43Ruslan Litvinov has shot blocked (18-yard box, Right footed, From corner)
10. 88:31Pablo Solari wins a corner (To the right)
11. 87:57Christopher Wooh misses attempt (To the left, 18-yard box, Head, From corner)
12. 87:21Igor Dmitriev wins a corner (To the right)
13. 87:20Valentin Paltsev blocks a shot
14. 87:20Igor Dmitriev has shot blocked (Out of box, Left footed, Open play)
15. 85:54Christopher Martins misses attempt (To the right, 18-yard box, Right footed, Open play)

Spartak MoscowKrasnodar

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Tournament

Premier League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

38,846

Referee

Kirill Levnikov

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	13	10	0	3	30:13	+17	30	WWWWW
2	Dynamo Moscow	13	9	1	3	21:12	+9	28	WLWWW
3	CSKA Moscow	13	7	5	1	21:12	+9	26	DWLWW
4	Spartak Moscow	13	8	2	3	25:10	+15	26	WLWDW
5	Krasnodar	13	6	5	2	21:16	+5	23	LDDLD
6	Rostov	13	5	3	5	16:17	-1	18	WWDWL
7	Baltika Kaliningrad	13	4	5	4	17:14	+3	17	WDDDL
8	Orenburg	13	3	8	2	14:12	+2	17	DWDWD
9	Krylia Sovetov	13	3	6	4	17:20	-3	15	LWLDD
10	Rubin Kazan	13	3	6	4	13:18	-5	15	WLLLD
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	13	4	1	8	16:26	-10	13	LLDLL
12	Rodina Moscow	13	3	3	7	15:28	-13	12	WWDLD
13	Akron Tolyatti	13	2	6	5	16:23	-7	12	LWDLW
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	13	2	5	6	16:20	-4	11	LLDWD
15	Akhmat	13	2	5	6	15:19	-4	11	LLLDL
16	Fakel Voronezh	13	1	3	9	8:21	-13	6	LLWLL

• Premier League (Relegation. Play-offs)
• Relegation - FNL Cup

• The model expects 3.5 goals: 1.84 for Spartak Moscow and 1.67 for Krasnodar.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 2–1 (8%).
• Corners: about 10 (6.3 — 3.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	67%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	67%	100%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	67%	100%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	33%	100%	46%	2.16
Over 4.5	33%	0%	27%	3.64

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Spartak Moscow Krasnodar

• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Spartak Moscowmatches: 3 · 1Krasnodar

3.0Avg match total4.0

67%2/3Over 0.5100%1/1

33%1/3Under 0.50%0/1

67%2/3Over 1.5100%1/1

33%1/3Under 1.50%0/1

67%2/3Over 2.5100%1/1

33%1/3Under 2.50%0/1

33%1/3Over 3.5100%1/1

67%2/3Under 3.50%0/1

33%1/3Over 4.50%0/1

67%2/3Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Spartak MoscowKrasnodar

100%2/2Scores first0%0/1

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

50%1/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Spartak Moscow opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Krasnodar opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Krasnodar avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Spartak Moscow				Krasnodar
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	100%	0	1
2	0	67%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	31–45	100%	1	0
1	0	33%	46–60	100%	1	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
4	1	67%	76–90	100%	1	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	100%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	100%	1	0

• • Spartak Moscow scores most in 76–90: 4 of 8 goals (50%).
• • Spartak Moscow concedes most in 76–90: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Spartak Moscow scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Krasnodar scores most in 31–45: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Krasnodar concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 1 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Spartak MoscowKrasnodar

10.7Corners won, avg4.0

3.3Corners conceded, avg2.0

14.0Match corners, avg6.0

5.3Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Spartak Moscowper matchKrasnodar

2.5xG for2.76

0.55xG against0.61

23.5Shots19.0

7.5Shots against5.0

8.5Shots on target8.0

3.5On target against3.0

11%Conversion16%

8.8Shots per goal6.3

8.5Fouls13.0

3.5Offsides5.0

• • Spartak Moscow scores 0.17 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Spartak Moscow concedes 0.22 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Krasnodar scores 0.24 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Krasnodar concedes 0.39 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.33 goals per match on average.