Orenburg — Krasnodar 0:0: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 1.22 Expected goals (xG) 1.49
• 40% Possession 60%
• 17 Total shots 16
• 6 Shots on target 1
• 0 Big Chances 1
• 3 Corners 5
• 63 (180/287)Assists(341/440) 78
• 5 Yellow cards 4
• 1.2 xG on target (xGOT) 0.41
• 6 Shots off target 8
• 5 Shots blocked 7
• 10 Shots from inside the penalty area 10
• 7 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 34 Touches in opposition box 27
• 0 Accurate through passes 1
• 2 Offsides 3
• 16 Free kicks 19
• 47 (35/74)Long Balls(19/64) 30
• 55 (83/150)Passes in final third(98/146) 67
• 35 (9/26)Crosses(4/16) 25
• 0.87 Expected assists (xA) 0.9
• 28 Throw-ins 23
• 19 Fouls 16
• 67 (6/9)Tackles(13/17) 76
• 54 Duels won 56
• 32 Clearances 50
• 12 Steals 14
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 6
• 0.41 xGOT faced 1.2
• 0.41 Goals prevented 1.2
• 7 Goal kicks 9
• 0 Posts and crossbars 1

OrenburgKrasnodar

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Tournament

Premier League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

4,635

Referee

Kirill Levnikov

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Dynamo Moscow	13	9	1	3	21:12	+9	28	WLWWW
2	Zenit Saint Petersburg	12	9	0	3	27:13	+14	27	WWWWW
3	CSKA Moscow	13	7	5	1	21:12	+9	26	DWLWW
4	Krasnodar	13	6	5	2	21:16	+5	23	LDDLD
5	Spartak Moscow	12	7	2	3	21:10	+11	23	LWDWW
6	Rostov	13	5	3	5	16:17	-1	18	WWDWL
7	Orenburg	13	3	8	2	14:12	+2	17	DWDWD
8	Krylia Sovetov	12	3	6	3	17:17	0	15	WLDDW
9	Rubin Kazan	13	3	6	4	13:18	-5	15	WLLLD
10	Baltika Kaliningrad	12	3	5	4	15:13	+2	14	DDDLD
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	13	4	1	8	16:26	-10	13	LLDLL
12	Rodina Moscow	13	3	3	7	15:28	-13	12	WWDLD
13	Akron Tolyatti	12	2	6	4	15:21	-6	12	WDLWD
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	12	2	5	5	16:16	0	11	LDWDL
15	Akhmat	13	2	5	6	15:19	-4	11	LLLDL
16	Fakel Voronezh	13	1	3	9	8:21	-13	6	LLWLL

• Premier League (Relegation. Play-offs)
• Relegation - FNL Cup

• The model expects 2.83 goals: 1.02 for Orenburg and 1.82 for Krasnodar.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 0–1 (11%).
• Corners: about 8.2 (4.4 — 3.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.07, 2nd — 1.59.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	100%	67%	77%	1.29
Over 2.5	80%	67%	54%	1.86
Over 3.5	20%	33%	31%	3.18
Over 4.5	0%	0%	16%	6.37

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Orenburg Krasnodar

• Unbeaten in 10 matches100%
• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 5 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 10.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Won 6 of 7 matches after scoring first86%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Orenburgmatches: 5 · 6Krasnodar

3.0Avg match total2.66

100%5/5Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/6

100%5/5Over 1.567%4/6

0%0/5Under 1.533%2/6

80%4/5Over 2.567%4/6

20%1/5Under 2.533%2/6

20%1/5Over 3.533%2/6

80%4/5Under 3.567%4/6

0%0/5Over 4.50%0/6

100%5/5Under 4.5100%6/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

OrenburgKrasnodar

20%1/5Scores first50%3/6

0%0/1…and wins67%2/3

100%1/1…and draws33%1/3

0%0/1…and loses0%0/3

100%1/1…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Orenburg opened the scoring in 20% of matches.
• • Orenburg avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Krasnodar opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Krasnodar avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Orenburg				Krasnodar
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	3	60%	1–15	50%	3	2
0	0	0%	16–30	17%	1	0
1	0	20%	31–45	33%	2	0
1	2	60%	46–60	50%	1	2
1	2	60%	61–75	17%	1	0
3	1	40%	76–90	50%	2	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	33%	2	0
1	0	20%	87–FT	17%	1	0

• • Orenburg scores most in 76–90: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Orenburg concedes most in 1–15: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Orenburg scores 67% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Krasnodar scores most in 1–15: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Krasnodar concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Krasnodar scores 30% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

OrenburgKrasnodar

4.3Corners won, avg3.8

3.8Corners conceded, avg4.6

8.0Match corners, avg8.4

1.25Corners in 1st half, avg1.6

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Orenburgper matchKrasnodar

1.42xG for1.51

0.77xG against1.0

16.0Shots13.4

12.0Shots against12.0

4.3Shots on target5.4

3.8On target against4.0

8%Conversion14%

13.3Shots per goal7.3

15.0Fouls13.8

1.5Offsides3.8

• • Orenburg scores 0.22 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Orenburg concedes 1.03 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Krasnodar scores 0.32 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Krasnodar concedes 0.17 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.17 goals per match on average.