Rodina Moscow — Rubin Kazan 1:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 1.27 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
• 58% Possession 42%
• 14 Total shots 8
• 4 Shots on target 4
• 1 Big Chances 0
• 10 Corners 4
• 73 (318/438)Assists(210/313) 67
• 2 Yellow cards 3
• 1.08 xG on target (xGOT) 2.14
• 7 Shots off target 3
• 3 Shots blocked 1
• 8 Shots from inside the penalty area 7
• 6 Shots from outside the penalty area 1
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 24 Touches in opposition box 22
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 3 Offsides 1
• 18 Free kicks 13
• 35 (27/78)Long Balls(16/71) 23
• 53 (80/150)Passes in final third(53/93) 57
• 40 (8/20)Crosses(6/20) 30
• 1.29 Expected assists (xA) 0.7
• 25 Throw-ins 24
• 13 Fouls 18
• 33 (6/18)Tackles(10/17) 59
• 69 Duels won 54
• 23 Clearances 28
• 12 Steals 10
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 3
• 2.14 xGOT faced 1.08
• 1.14 Goals prevented 0.08
• 8 Goal kicks 8
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0

Rodina MoscowRubin Kazan

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Tournament

Premier League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

4,572

Referee

Rafael Shafeev

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	13	10	0	3	30:13	+17	30	WWWWW
2	Dynamo Moscow	13	9	1	3	21:12	+9	28	WLWWW
3	CSKA Moscow	13	7	5	1	21:12	+9	26	DWLWW
4	Spartak Moscow	13	8	2	3	25:10	+15	26	WLWDW
5	Krasnodar	13	6	5	2	21:16	+5	23	LDDLD
6	Rostov	13	5	3	5	16:17	-1	18	WWDWL
7	Baltika Kaliningrad	13	4	5	4	17:14	+3	17	WDDDL
8	Orenburg	13	3	8	2	14:12	+2	17	DWDWD
9	Krylia Sovetov	13	3	6	4	17:20	-3	15	LWLDD
10	Rubin Kazan	13	3	6	4	13:18	-5	15	WLLLD
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	13	4	1	8	16:26	-10	13	LLDLL
12	Rodina Moscow	13	3	3	7	15:28	-13	12	WWDLD
13	Akron Tolyatti	13	2	6	5	16:23	-7	12	LWDLW
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	13	2	5	6	16:20	-4	11	LLDWD
15	Akhmat	13	2	5	6	15:19	-4	11	LLLDL
16	Fakel Voronezh	13	1	3	9	8:21	-13	6	LLWLL

• Premier League (Relegation. Play-offs)
• Relegation - FNL Cup

• The model expects 3.78 goals: 1.67 for Rodina Moscow and 2.12 for Rubin Kazan.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (8%), followed by 1–1 (8%).
• Corners: about 9.3 (4 — 5.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.95, 2nd — 1.73.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	100%	89%	1.12
Over 2.5	100%	40%	73%	1.37
Over 3.5	83%	0%	52%	1.91
Over 4.5	67%	0%	33%	3.05

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Rodina Moscow Rubin Kazan

• Both teams scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 9 matches100%
• Winless in 7 matches100%
• 6 defeats in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Lost 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Rodina Moscowmatches: 6 · 5Rubin Kazan

5.2Avg match total2.4

100%6/6Over 0.5100%5/5

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/5

100%6/6Over 1.5100%5/5

0%0/6Under 1.50%0/5

100%6/6Over 2.540%2/5

0%0/6Under 2.560%3/5

83%5/6Over 3.50%0/5

17%1/6Under 3.5100%5/5

67%4/6Over 4.50%0/5

33%2/6Under 4.5100%5/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Rodina MoscowRubin Kazan

50%3/6Scores first60%3/5

33%1/3…and wins67%2/3

33%1/3…and draws33%1/3

33%1/3…and loses0%0/3

100%3/3…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Rodina Moscow opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Rodina Moscow avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Rubin Kazan opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Rubin Kazan avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Rodina Moscow				Rubin Kazan
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	2	67%	1–15	80%	3	1
3	2	50%	16–30	40%	1	2
5	1	67%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	3	50%	46–60	60%	2	1
1	2	50%	61–75	0%	0	0
2	7	100%	76–90	20%	0	1
3	1	67%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	3	50%	87–FT	20%	0	1

• • Rodina Moscow scores most in 31–45: 5 of 14 goals (36%).
• • Rodina Moscow concedes most in 76–90: 7 of 17 conceded.
• • Rodina Moscow scores 21% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Rubin Kazan scores most in 1–15: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Rubin Kazan concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Rubin Kazan scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Rodina MoscowRubin Kazan

3.0Corners won, avg4.3

6.3Corners conceded, avg5.0

9.3Match corners, avg9.3

1.33Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Rodina Moscowper matchRubin Kazan

0.6xG for1.24

2.2xG against1.05

7.8Shots12.8

15.5Shots against12.3

3.8Shots on target3.3

6.7On target against3.8

30%Conversion11%

3.4Shots per goal9.1

14.0Fouls10.3

0.75Offsides0.75

• • Rodina Moscow scores 1.73 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Rodina Moscow concedes 0.63 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Rubin Kazan scores 0.16 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Rubin Kazan concedes 0.05 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.