Rubin Kazan — Fakel Voronezh 1:0: match report and statistics

• 0.93 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
• 42% Possession 58%
• 9 Total shots 8
• 3 Shots on target 2
• 0 Big Chances 0
• 2 Corners 4
• 75 (294/394)Assists(405/516) 78
• 4 Yellow cards 3
• 0.44 xG on target (xGOT) 0.15
• 5 Shots off target 4
• 1 Shots blocked 2
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 6
• 2 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 10 Touches in opposition box 25
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 1
• 13 Free kicks 15
• 42 (28/67)Long Balls(21/70) 30
• 52 (53/102)Passes in final third(67/110) 61
• 33 (4/12)Crosses(5/28) 18
• 0.61 Expected assists (xA) 0.88
• 19 Throw-ins 32
• 15 Fouls 13
• 80 (12/15)Tackles(15/18) 83
• 59 Duels won 55
• 39 Clearances 15
• 13 Steals 6
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 2
• 0.15 xGOT faced 0.44
• 0.15 Goals prevented -0.56
• 8 Goal kicks 8
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0

Tournament

Premier League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Ak Bars Arena (Kazan)

City

Kazan

Address

Prospekt Husaina Yamasheva 115a

Capacity

45,105

Opened

2013

Architect

Populous

Map

Open map

Attendance

7,738

Referee

Danil Kashirin

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	13	10	0	3	30:13	+17	30	WWWWW
2	Dynamo Moscow	13	9	1	3	21:12	+9	28	WLWWW
3	CSKA Moscow	13	7	5	1	21:12	+9	26	DWLWW
4	Spartak Moscow	13	8	2	3	25:10	+15	26	WLWDW
5	Krasnodar	13	6	5	2	21:16	+5	23	LDDLD
6	Rostov	13	5	3	5	16:17	-1	18	WWDWL
7	Baltika Kaliningrad	13	4	5	4	17:14	+3	17	WDDDL
8	Orenburg	13	3	8	2	14:12	+2	17	DWDWD
9	Krylia Sovetov	13	3	6	4	17:20	-3	15	LWLDD
10	Rubin Kazan	13	3	6	4	13:18	-5	15	WLLLD
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	13	4	1	8	16:26	-10	13	LLDLL
12	Rodina Moscow	13	3	3	7	15:28	-13	12	WWDLD
13	Akron Tolyatti	13	2	6	5	16:23	-7	12	LWDLW
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	13	2	5	6	16:20	-4	11	LLDWD
15	Akhmat	13	2	5	6	15:19	-4	11	LLLDL
16	Fakel Voronezh	13	1	3	9	8:21	-13	6	LLWLL

• Premier League (Relegation. Play-offs)
• Relegation - FNL Cup

• The model expects 2.8 goals: 1.35 for Rubin Kazan and 1.44 for Fakel Voronezh.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 8.9 (5.4 — 3.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.87, 2nd — 1.87.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.07
Over 1.5	88%	71%	77%	1.30
Over 2.5	50%	57%	53%	1.89
Over 3.5	38%	29%	31%	3.26
Over 4.5	13%	14%	15%	6.60

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Rubin Kazan Fakel Voronezh

• Winless in 8 matches100%
• 5 defeats in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 7.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Under 10.5 corners in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• First-half goal in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Rubin Kazanmatches: 8 · 7Fakel Voronezh

2.88Avg match total2.71

100%8/8Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/8Under 0.50%0/7

88%7/8Over 1.571%5/7

13%1/8Under 1.529%2/7

50%4/8Over 2.557%4/7

50%4/8Under 2.543%3/7

38%3/8Over 3.529%2/7

63%5/8Under 3.571%5/7

13%1/8Over 4.514%1/7

88%7/8Under 4.586%6/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Rubin KazanFakel Voronezh

50%4/8Scores first29%2/7

50%2/4…and wins100%2/2

25%1/4…and draws0%0/2

25%1/4…and loses0%0/2

100%4/4…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Rubin Kazan opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Rubin Kazan avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • Fakel Voronezh opened the scoring in 29% of matches.
• • Fakel Voronezh avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Rubin Kazan				Fakel Voronezh
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	2	38%	1–15	29%	0	2
1	1	25%	16–30	29%	1	2
0	1	13%	31–45	14%	0	1
1	3	38%	46–60	29%	0	3
1	4	50%	61–75	57%	2	2
3	3	50%	76–90	71%	5	1
0	1	13%	37–HT	0%	0	0
3	1	38%	87–FT	57%	3	1

• • Rubin Kazan scores most in 76–90: 3 of 8 goals (38%).
• • Rubin Kazan concedes most in 61–75: 4 of 14 conceded.
• • Rubin Kazan scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Fakel Voronezh scores most in 76–90: 5 of 8 goals (63%).
• • Fakel Voronezh concedes most in 46–60: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • Fakel Voronezh scores 88% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Rubin KazanFakel Voronezh

4.1Corners won, avg3.4

3.6Corners conceded, avg6.6

7.7Match corners, avg10.0

1.29Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Rubin Kazanper matchFakel Voronezh

0.76xG for0.84

1.38xG against1.29

10.7Shots9.4

13.0Shots against15.3

3.0Shots on target3.1

4.0On target against5.0

11%Conversion12%

9.5Shots per goal8.3

13.9Fouls14.9

1.71Offsides1.29

• • Rubin Kazan scores 0.37 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Rubin Kazan concedes 0.37 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Fakel Voronezh scores 0.3 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Fakel Voronezh concedes 0.28 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.33 goals per match on average.