Melgar — Cajamarca FC 2:4: match report and statistics

• 1.49 Expected goals (xG) 2.22
• 69% Possession 31%
• 18 Total shots 17
• 6 Shots on target 7
• 2 Big Chances 5
• 10 Corners 4
• 86 (410/479)Assists(154/215) 72
• 3 Yellow cards 4
• 1 Red cards 0
• 1.39 xG on target (xGOT) 3.67
• 6 Shots off target 6
• 6 Shots blocked 4
• 13 Shots from inside the penalty area 9
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 8
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 1 Headed goals 2
• 33 Touches in opposition box 19
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 3 Offsides 3
• 15 Free kicks 7
• 63 (25/40)Long Balls(24/55) 44
• 65 (81/125)Passes in final third(47/73) 64
• 19 (6/32)Crosses(3/7) 43
• 0.91 Expected assists (xA) 1.01
• 19 Throw-ins 24
• 7 Fouls 15
• 64 (18/28)Tackles(8/13) 62
• 67 Duels won 39
• 14 Clearances 33
• 10 Steals 10
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 1 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 4
• 3.67 xGOT faced 1.39
• -0.33 Goals prevented -0.61
• 6 Goal kicks 11

Tournament

Peru. Liga 1 - Clausura

Season

2026

Referee

Daniel Ureta

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Sporting Cristal	15	10	1	4	34:17	+17	31	WWLWW
2	Sport Huancayo	15	10	1	4	25:17	+8	31	WLWWW
3	Club Universitario de Deportes	14	9	3	2	31:20	+11	30	WWWDL
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	15	9	1	5	29:17	+12	28	WLWLL
5	Alianza Atletico Sullana	15	9	1	5	29:28	+1	28	WWLLW
6	Melgar	15	7	5	3	25:17	+8	26	LDWWD
7	Juan Pablo II	15	7	4	4	25:17	+8	25	LWLWD
8	Alianza Lima	14	7	4	3	22:15	+7	25	LWWWW
9	Sport Boys	14	7	3	4	20:14	+6	24	WWLLD
10	Cusco	15	8	0	7	25:20	+5	24	LWWLL
11	Atletico Grau	15	5	3	7	17:23	-6	18	LLDLD
12	Club Cienciano Cusco	14	5	2	7	19:21	-2	17	WLWWD
13	Club Comerciantes Unidos	14	3	5	6	24:25	-1	14	DWLDL
14	Deportivo Los Chankas	15	3	4	8	14:30	-16	13	DLLWD
15	Deportivo Moquegua	15	2	5	8	8:22	-14	11	DLLWL
16	Cajamarca FC	15	3	2	10	21:37	-16	11	LLLLD
17	ADT Tarma	14	2	4	8	11:24	-13	10	WDLDW
18	Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca	15	1	2	12	17:32	-15	5	LWLLL

• Promotion - League 1 (Play-off)

• The model expects 2.5 goals: 1.75 for Melgar and 0.75 for Cajamarca FC.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 2–0 (13%).
• Corners: about 11.8 (7.3 — 4.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	50%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 1.5	50%	100%	71%	1.40
Over 2.5	50%	100%	46%	2.19
Over 3.5	0%	50%	24%	4.13
Over 4.5	0%	0%	11%	9.19

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Melgar Cajamarca FC

• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Winless in 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Unbeaten in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 9.5 corners in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Under 4.5 cards in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 6

Melgarmatches: 2 · 2Cajamarca FC

1.5Avg match total3.5

50%1/2Over 0.5100%2/2

50%1/2Under 0.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 1.5100%2/2

50%1/2Under 1.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 2.5100%2/2

50%1/2Under 2.50%0/2

0%0/2Over 3.550%1/2

100%2/2Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/2

100%2/2Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

MelgarCajamarca FC

100%1/1Scores first0%0/2

100%1/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

0%0/1…and loses—

100%1/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Melgar opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Cajamarca FC opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Cajamarca FC avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Melgar				Cajamarca FC
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	50%	0	2
1	0	50%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	46–60	50%	0	1
1	0	50%	61–75	50%	1	1
0	1	50%	76–90	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Melgar scores most in 16–30: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Melgar concedes most in 76–90: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Cajamarca FC scores most in 61–75: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Cajamarca FC concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 5 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

MelgarCajamarca FC

7.5Corners won, avg5.5

3.5Corners conceded, avg7.0

11.0Match corners, avg12.5

2.5Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Melgarper matchCajamarca FC

3.1xG for0.96

0.64xG against1.33

25.0Shots14.5

11.5Shots against13.5

9.0Shots on target4.5

4.5On target against8.5

4%Conversion7%

25.0Shots per goal14.5

9.0Fouls12.0

2.0Offsides1.0

• • Melgar scores 2.05 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Melgar concedes 0.14 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Cajamarca FC scores 0.04 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Cajamarca FC concedes 1.17 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.