Akhmat — Dynamo Moscow 1:2: match report and statistics

• 54% Possession 46%
• 18 Total shots 10
• 4 Shots on target 6
• 9 Corners 2
• 2 Yellow cards 1
• 7 Shots off target 3
• 7 Shots blocked 1
• 1 Offsides 0
• 18 Free kicks 11
• 24 Throw-ins 16
• 10 Fouls 17

Tournament

Russian Cup

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Akhmat-Arena (Grozny)

City

Groznyi

Address

Zhukavskogo per. 9, Staraya Sunzha

Capacity

30,597

Opened

2011

Map

Open map

Referee

Yevgeni Kukulyak

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Spartak Moscow	5	4	0	1	14:5	+9	13	WWWLW
2	Orenburg	5	3	0	2	12:9	+3	10	WWLWL
3	Rubin Kazan	5	2	0	3	3:12	-9	4	LLWWL
4	Rodina Moscow	5	1	0	4	10:13	-3	3	LLLLW

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Krasnodar	5	4	0	1	5:5	0	10	WLWWW
2	Dynamo Moscow	5	3	0	2	7:4	+3	9	LWWLW
3	Fakel Voronezh	5	2	0	3	4:4	0	6	WWLLL
4	Akhmat	5	1	0	4	4:7	-3	5	LLLWL

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	5	5	0	0	9:3	+6	14	WWWWW
2	Krylia Sovetov	5	3	0	2	4:3	+1	9	WLWLW
3	Baltika Kaliningrad	5	2	0	3	5:5	0	6	LWLWL
4	Dynamo Makhachkala	5	0	0	5	3:10	-7	1	LLLLL

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Rostov	5	4	0	1	13:5	+8	12	WLWWW
2	CSKA Moscow	5	3	0	2	8:5	+3	8	WWLLW
3	Akron Tolyatti	5	3	0	2	3:11	-8	7	LWWWL
4	Lokomotiv Moscow	5	0	0	5	3:6	-3	3	LLLLL

• Promotion - Russian Cup (Play-off)
• Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path (Play-Offs))

• The model expects 2.74 goals: 1.2 for Akhmat and 1.54 for Dynamo Moscow.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 8.3 (4.9 — 3.4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.14, 2nd — 1.6.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	100%	94%	1.07
Over 1.5	80%	33%	76%	1.32
Over 2.5	80%	33%	51%	1.94
Over 3.5	60%	0%	29%	3.41
Over 4.5	60%	0%	14%	7.03

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Akhmat Dynamo Moscow

• 8 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 8 matches100%
• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Under 9.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 6 of 8 matches75%
• First-half goal in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Over 1.5 cards in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 8

Akhmatmatches: 5 · 3Dynamo Moscow

3.8Avg match total1.67

80%4/5Over 0.5100%3/3

20%1/5Under 0.50%0/3

80%4/5Over 1.533%1/3

20%1/5Under 1.567%2/3

80%4/5Over 2.533%1/3

20%1/5Under 2.567%2/3

60%3/5Over 3.50%0/3

40%2/5Under 3.5100%3/3

60%3/5Over 4.50%0/3

40%2/5Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

AkhmatDynamo Moscow

50%2/4Scores first100%3/3

100%2/2…and wins100%3/3

0%0/2…and draws0%0/3

0%0/2…and loses0%0/3

100%2/2…and then concedes0%0/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Akhmat opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Akhmat avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Dynamo Moscow opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Akhmat				Dynamo Moscow
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	60%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	33%	1	0
3	2	60%	31–45	33%	1	0
3	1	60%	46–60	0%	0	0
2	2	60%	61–75	33%	1	0
2	1	60%	76–90	33%	2	0
1	2	40%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	1	20%	87–FT	33%	1	0

• • Akhmat scores most in 31–45: 3 of 12 goals (25%).
• • Akhmat concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 7 conceded.
• • Akhmat scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Dynamo Moscow scores most in 76–90: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Dynamo Moscow scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

AkhmatDynamo Moscow

6.3Corners won, avg3.5

3.3Corners conceded, avg3.5

9.5Match corners, avg7.0

2.75Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Akhmatper matchDynamo Moscow

0.75xG for1.35

1.17xG against0.74

13.5Shots10.5

10.8Shots against12.0

5.3Shots on target3.5

5.3On target against3.0

18%Conversion16%

5.6Shots per goal6.3

10.0Fouls13.5

1.75Offsides1.0

• • Akhmat scores 1.65 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Akhmat concedes 0.23 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Dynamo Moscow scores 0.32 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Dynamo Moscow concedes 0.74 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.33 goals per match on average.