Siauliai — Panevezys 1:0: match report and statistics

• 57% Possession 43%
• 11 Total shots 8
• 1 Shots on target 4
• 5 Corners 4
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 0 Red cards 1
• 10 Shots off target 4

Tournament

Lithuania. A Liga

Season

2026

Attendance

503

Referee

Robertas Smitas

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	32	16	10	6	62:25	+37	58	LWDWW
2	Suduva Marijampole	32	15	11	6	43:32	+11	56	WWLLD
3	VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius	32	16	6	10	51:36	+15	54	WDWWL
4	Transinvest	32	15	7	10	52:40	+12	52	WLWDW
5	Banga Gargzdai	32	11	9	12	35:34	+1	42	LLDLW
6	Dziugas Telsiai	32	11	9	12	43:48	-5	42	LLWDL
7	Panevezys	32	11	5	16	34:48	-14	38	LWLWW
8	Hegelmann Litauen	32	4	14	14	33:58	-25	26	LLLDD
9	Siauliai	32	5	9	18	28:60	-32	24	WWDLD
10	Riteriai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
• Lithuania. Premier League (Relegation (Play-off))
• Relegation - Ligue I

• The model expects 3.35 goals: 1.8 for Siauliai and 1.55 for Panevezys.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 10.3 (5.1 — 5.2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 15 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.8, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	90%	85%	1.18
Over 2.5	80%	80%	65%	1.54
Over 3.5	50%	30%	43%	2.32
Over 4.5	10%	10%	25%	4.06

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Siauliai Panevezys

• 6 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Lost 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 9.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Siauliaimatches: 10 · 10Panevezys

3.6Avg match total3.1

100%10/10Over 0.5100%10/10

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/10

100%10/10Over 1.590%9/10

0%0/10Under 1.510%1/10

80%8/10Over 2.580%8/10

20%2/10Under 2.520%2/10

50%5/10Over 3.530%3/10

50%5/10Under 3.570%7/10

10%1/10Over 4.510%1/10

90%9/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

SiauliaiPanevezys

30%3/10Scores first40%4/10

67%2/3…and wins50%2/4

0%0/3…and draws0%0/4

33%1/3…and loses50%2/4

67%2/3…and then concedes75%3/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Siauliai opened the scoring in 30% of matches.
• • Siauliai avoided defeat after conceding first in 29% of such matches.
• • Panevezys opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Panevezys avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Siauliai				Panevezys
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	30%	1–15	50%	1	6
1	7	50%	16–30	30%	0	3
2	5	50%	31–45	60%	5	3
3	4	50%	46–60	50%	2	4
2	4	50%	61–75	10%	0	1
4	1	40%	76–90	40%	1	4
1	4	40%	37–HT	20%	1	1
3	1	30%	87–FT	20%	1	2

• • Siauliai scores most in 76–90: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • Siauliai concedes most in 16–30: 7 of 22 conceded.
• • Siauliai scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Panevezys scores most in 31–45: 5 of 9 goals (56%).
• • Panevezys concedes most in 1–15: 6 of 21 conceded.
• • Panevezys scores 11% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

SiauliaiPanevezys

5.4Corners won, avg4.7

5.8Corners conceded, avg4.7

11.2Match corners, avg9.4

1.67Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 4 goals per match on average.