Changchun Xidu — Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1:2: match report and statistics

• 0.35 Expected goals (xG) 1.26
• 53% Possession 47%
• 9 Total shots 12
• 3 Shots on target 3
• 0 Big Chances 1
• 2 Corners 4
• 73 (221/303)Assists(183/258) 71
• 6 Yellow cards 3
• 0.62 xG on target (xGOT) 1.35
• 4 Shots off target 5
• 2 Shots blocked 4
• 5 Shots from inside the penalty area 7
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 5
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 9 Touches in opposition box 14
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 0
• 21 Free kicks 27
• 24 (13/54)Long Balls(21/51) 41
• 54 (55/101)Passes in final third(55/86) 64
• 13 (2/15)Crosses(6/23) 26
• 0.23 Expected assists (xA) 0.36
• 25 Throw-ins 21
• 27 Fouls 21
• 73 (11/15)Tackles(4/5) 80
• 56 Duels won 49
• 22 Clearances 17
• 2 Steals 6
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 1 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 2
• 1.35 xGOT faced 0.62
• -0.65 Goals prevented -0.38
• 6 Goal kicks 10

Tournament

China. Second League

Attendance

457

Referee

Fupeng Mu

Group North

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Shandong Taishan II	22	12	5	5	33:21	+12	41	DLWDD
2	Shanghai Port II	22	12	4	6	36:19	+17	40	WLLLW
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	12	4	6	29:17	+12	40	DLWWW
4	Dalian Kewei	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37	LWDDW
5	Taian Tiankuang	22	8	7	7	25:23	+2	31	DLDLD
6	Dalian Yingbo II	22	6	10	6	21:22	-1	28	LWDWL
7	Haimen Codion	22	5	11	6	25:23	+2	26	DDWWW
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	22	4	14	4	13:16	-3	26	DWDWD
9	Qingdao Red Lions	22	5	10	7	22:20	+2	25	LDWDW
10	Changchun Xidu	22	3	11	8	15:28	-13	20	WDLLD
11	Beijing Institute of Technology	22	3	7	12	21:42	-21	16	WDWLL
12	Shanghai Segenda	22	2	9	11	22:39	-17	15	DLLDD

Group South

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	22	13	3	6	32:17	+15	42	DDLWW
2	Shenzhen 2028	22	10	7	5	37:25	+12	37	LDWLW
3	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:19	+6	35	WLWWD
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	22	8	10	4	25:28	-3	34	WWWDW
5	Hubei Istar	22	9	7	6	29:23	+6	34	WLLLD
6	Xiamen Feilu	22	7	8	7	29:28	+1	29	LWDLL
7	Guangdong Mingtu	22	5	11	6	22:20	+2	26	LWDDW
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	6	8	8	19:32	-13	26	LLLDL
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	6	7	9	22:28	-6	25	DWDLD
10	Chengdu Rongcheng II	22	5	7	10	18:24	-6	22	LDWWL
11	Wenzhou	22	4	10	8	15:23	-8	22	WDDLD
12	Wuhan Three Towns II	22	4	7	11	20:26	-6	19	WLLWW

• Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Group)
• League 2 (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 1.34 goals: 0.44 for Changchun Xidu and 0.9 for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.
• Most likely score is 0–0 (26%), followed by 0–1 (24%).
• Corners: about 10.9 (7.6 — 3.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.8, 2nd — 0.54.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	60%	100%	74%	1.36
Over 1.5	40%	33%	39%	2.59
Over 2.5	0%	33%	15%	6.62
Over 3.5	0%	0%	5%	21.43
Over 4.5	0%	0%	1%	84.46

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Changchun Xidu Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

• Under 2.5 in 7 matches in a row100%
• 6 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Won 7 of 7 matches after scoring first100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 9 matches89%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 9

Changchun Xidumatches: 5 · 3Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

1.0Avg match total1.67

60%3/5Over 0.5100%3/3

40%2/5Under 0.50%0/3

40%2/5Over 1.533%1/3

60%3/5Under 1.567%2/3

0%0/5Over 2.533%1/3

100%5/5Under 2.567%2/3

0%0/5Over 3.50%0/3

100%5/5Under 3.5100%3/3

0%0/5Over 4.50%0/3

100%5/5Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai

0%0/3Scores first67%2/3

—…and wins100%2/2

—…and draws0%0/2

—…and loses0%0/2

—…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Changchun Xidu opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Changchun Xidu avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Changchun Xidu				Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	33%	1	0
0	2	40%	16–30	33%	1	0
0	1	20%	31–45	33%	1	0
1	0	20%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	1	20%	61–75	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	76–90	33%	0	1
0	1	20%	37–HT	33%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	33%	0	1

• • Changchun Xidu scores most in 46–60: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Changchun Xidu concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai scores most in 1–15: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai concedes most in 61–75: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai

4.2Corners won, avg2.67

4.0Corners conceded, avg11.0

8.2Match corners, avg13.7

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.33

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Changchun Xiduper matchShanxi Chongde Ronghai

0.6xG for1.17

0.85xG against1.18

12.2Shots9.0

9.4Shots against15.3

1.8Shots on target4.0

3.6On target against4.0

2%Conversion11%

61.0Shots per goal9.0

22.4Fouls15.7

2.4Offsides3.3

• • Changchun Xidu scores 0.4 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Changchun Xidu concedes 0.05 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai scores 0.17 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai concedes 0.51 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 1.67 goals per match on average.