Bologna 1909 — Iraklis Thessaloniki 2:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Friendlies. National Teams

Season

2026

• The model expects 2.13 goals: 0.63 for Bologna 1909 and 1.5 for Iraklis Thessaloniki.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (18%), followed by 0–2 (13%).
• Corners: about 6.8 (3 — 3.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.13, 2nd — 1.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	75%	100%	88%	1.14
Over 1.5	75%	25%	63%	1.60
Over 2.5	50%	0%	36%	2.80
Over 3.5	50%	0%	17%	6.02
Over 4.5	25%	0%	6%	15.47

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Bologna 1909 Iraklis Thessaloniki

• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• At least one team failed to score in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored first in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Bologna 1909matches: 4 · 4Iraklis Thessaloniki

3.0Avg match total1.25

75%3/4Over 0.5100%4/4

25%1/4Under 0.50%0/4

75%3/4Over 1.525%1/4

25%1/4Under 1.575%3/4

50%2/4Over 2.50%0/4

50%2/4Under 2.5100%4/4

50%2/4Over 3.50%0/4

50%2/4Under 3.5100%4/4

25%1/4Over 4.50%0/4

75%3/4Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Bologna 1909Iraklis Thessaloniki

33%1/3Scores first75%3/4

0%0/1…and wins100%3/3

100%1/1…and draws0%0/3

0%0/1…and loses0%0/3

100%1/1…and then concedes0%0/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Bologna 1909 opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Bologna 1909 avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Iraklis Thessaloniki opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Iraklis Thessaloniki avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Bologna 1909				Iraklis Thessaloniki
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	2	25%	1–15	25%	1	0
2	3	75%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	25%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	0	25%	46–60	25%	0	1
0	1	25%	61–75	50%	2	0
0	2	50%	76–90	25%	1	0
1	0	25%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	1	25%	87–FT	25%	1	0

• • Bologna 1909 scores most in 16–30: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Bologna 1909 concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Bologna 1909 scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Iraklis Thessaloniki scores most in 61–75: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Iraklis Thessaloniki concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Iraklis Thessaloniki scores 75% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Bologna 1909Iraklis Thessaloniki

4.0Corners won, avg4.5

3.0Corners conceded, avg2.0

7.0Match corners, avg6.5

3.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Bologna 1909				Iraklis Thessaloniki
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–10	—	—	—
0	0	0%	11–20	—	—	—
3	0	100%	21–30	—	—	—
1	0	100%	31–40	—	—	—
1	1	100%	41–HT	—	—	—
0	0	0%	46–55	—	—	—
0	0	0%	56–65	—	—	—
2	0	100%	66–75	—	—	—
0	1	100%	76–85	—	—	—
0	0	0%	86–FT	—	—	—
1	1	100%	37–HT	—	—	—
0	0	0%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Bologna 1909per matchIraklis Thessaloniki

0.96xG for—

1.43xG against—

12.0Shots8.0

9.5Shots against8.0

3.5Shots on target4.5

3.5On target against1.5

8%Conversion13%

12.0Shots per goal8.0

14.0Fouls—

2.5Offsides—

• • Bologna 1909 scores 0.04 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Bologna 1909 concedes 0.57 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.