Paderborn 07 — Fagiano Okayama 3:1: match report and statistics
Club Friendlies · 17.07.2026 15:00 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Paderborn 070%
- Draw0%
- Fagiano Okayama0%
Overview
Final score Paderborn 07 3:1 Fagiano Okayama, Club Friendlies, 17.07.2026 15:00 (UTC). The win went to Paderborn 07. Goals: Sven Michel 40', Sven Michel 45', Yuta Kamiya 59', Sebastian Klaas 100'.
Paderborn 07, last 6 games: won 1, drawn 3, lost 2. Fagiano Okayama, last 6 games: won 3, drawn 1, lost 2.
Related pages: Paderborn 07 results and fixtures, Fagiano Okayama results and fixtures, Club Friendlies table.
See also Football results and fixtures. Scores and statistics come from a live 3D match tracker.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | Σ |
|---|---|---|
 Paderborn 07 | 3 | 3 |
 Fagiano Okayama | 1 | 1 |
Match events
1st half3 : 1
Lead tracker
Paderborn 07 +2Biggest lead+0 Fagiano Okayama
1
Head-to-head
Paderborn 07?DDWDL
Matches played: 0
draws: 0
0 / 0
Wins
0 / 00 / 0
Goals
0 / 00 / 0
Yellow cards
0 / 00 / 0
Red cards
0 / 0
Fagiano Okayama?LWDLW
Matches
The teams have not met yet
Previous matches: Paderborn 07
Previous matches: Fagiano Okayama
Match info
- Tournament
- Club Friendlies
- Season
- 2026
Upcoming matches: Paderborn 07
Upcoming matches: Fagiano Okayama
Match forecast
Quick readEven matchOver 2.5 50%Both teams to score 53%Goal peak 76-90
26%Win · Paderborn 073.84
25%Draw3.99
49%Win · Fagiano Okayama2.04
2.67Expected goals
10.5Expected corners
3.2Expected cards
- The model expects 2.67 goals: 1.09 for Paderborn 07 and 1.59 for Fagiano Okayama.
- Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (11%).
- Corners: about 10.5 (7.5 — 3).
- Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 6 in total.
- Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.54, 2nd — 1.
Correct score by the model
1–111.9%0–111%1–29.4%0–28.7%1–07.5%0–06.9%2–16.5%2–25.1%1–35%
Scores 4+ goals: Paderborn 07 — 2%, Fagiano Okayama — 8%
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 33% | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 28% | 3.58 |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 13% | 7.54 |
Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.
Trends
- Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
- Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
- Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
- Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
- Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
- First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Under 9.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
- First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6
Markets by recent matches
Paderborn 07matches: 4 · 3Fagiano Okayama
matches: 4 · 3Fagiano Okayama3.0Avg match total2.34
75%3/4Over 0.5100%3/3
25%1/4Under 0.50%0/3
75%3/4Over 1.5100%3/3
25%1/4Under 1.50%0/3
75%3/4Over 2.533%1/3
25%1/4Under 2.567%2/3
50%2/4Over 3.50%0/3
50%2/4Under 3.5100%3/3
25%1/4Over 4.50%0/3
75%3/4Under 4.5100%3/3
Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.
First goal and after
First to score…
Paderborn 07Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama67%2/3Scores first67%2/3
0%0/2…and wins100%2/2
50%1/2…and draws0%0/2
50%1/2…and loses0%0/2
100%2/2…and then concedes0%0/2
First to concede…
33%1/3Concedes first33%1/3
100%1/1…and then scores0%0/1
100%1/1…and comes back to win0%0/1
0%0/1…and saves a draw0%0/1
Overall
25%1/4Scores in both halves67%2/3
75%3/4Scores at all67%2/3
- • Paderborn 07 opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
- • Paderborn 07 avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
- • Fagiano Okayama opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
- • Fagiano Okayama avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
Goals by time
matches: 4 · 3
| Paderborn 07 | Fagiano Okayama | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Ag. | % | Period | % | For | Ag. |
| 1 | 1 | 50% | 1–15 | 33% | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | 50% | 16–30 | 67% | 2 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 | 50% | 31–45 | 33% | 1 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 0% | 46–60 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 1 | 25% | 61–75 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 | 50% | 76–90 | 100% | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 1 | 50% | 37–HT | 33% | 1 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 0% | 87–FT | 67% | 2 | 0 |
- • Paderborn 07 scores most in 16–30: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
- • Paderborn 07 concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 6 conceded.
- • Paderborn 07 scores 20% of goals after the 60th minute.
- • Fagiano Okayama scores most in 16–30: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
- • Fagiano Okayama concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
- • Fagiano Okayama scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
- Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.
Corners and cards
Averages per match
Paderborn 07Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama8.5Corners won, avg4.5
1.5Corners conceded, avg6.5
10.0Match corners, avg11.0
2.75Corners in 1st half, avg2.5
Match total
50%2/4Over 7.5100%2/2
50%2/4Over 8.5100%2/2
25%1/4Over 9.550%1/2
25%1/4Over 10.550%1/2
25%1/4Over 11.550%1/2
1st half total
50%2/4Over 2.5100%2/2
25%1/4Over 3.550%1/2
25%1/4Over 4.50%0/2
25%1/4Over 5.50%0/2
Team total
100%4/4Team over 2.5 corners100%2/2
100%4/4Team over 3.5 corners100%2/2
50%2/4Team over 4.5 corners50%1/2
50%2/4Team over 5.5 corners0%0/2
50%2/4Team over 6.5 corners0%0/2
Corner handicap
100%4/4Handicap -2.50%0/2
100%4/4Handicap -1.50%0/2
100%4/4Handicap -0.50%0/2
100%4/4Handicap +0.50%0/2
100%4/4Handicap +1.550%1/2
100%4/4Handicap +2.550%1/2
Corners by 10 minutes (avg)
| Paderborn 07 | Fagiano Okayama | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Ag. | % | Period | % | For | Ag. |
| 1 | 0 | 100% | 1–10 | — | — | — |
| 1 | 0 | 100% | 11–20 | — | — | — |
| 1 | 0 | 100% | 21–30 | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0 | 100% | 31–40 | — | — | — |
| 0 | 1 | 100% | 41–HT | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0 | 100% | 46–55 | — | — | — |
| 1 | 0 | 100% | 56–65 | — | — | — |
| 0 | 0 | 0% | 66–75 | — | — | — |
| 1 | 0 | 100% | 76–85 | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1 | 100% | 86–FT | — | — | — |
| 0 | 1 | 100% | 37–HT | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1 | 100% | 87–FT | — | — | — |
Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.
xG and shots
Paderborn 07per matchFagiano Okayama
per matchFagiano Okayama2.31xG for1.34
1.09xG against1.54
22.0Shots11.5
7.3Shots against18.5
6.5Shots on target6.0
3.8On target against5.5
7%Conversion15%
14.7Shots per goal6.9
10.8Fouls11.5
1.5Offsides3.5
- • Paderborn 07 scores 0.81 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
- • Paderborn 07 concedes 0.41 per match more than opponents' xG.
- • Fagiano Okayama scores 0.33 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
- • Fagiano Okayama concedes 0.87 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
Half-time / full-time
Row — after the 1st half, column — final result
Paderborn 07matches: 4
Full-time: WFull-time: DFull-time: LHalf-time: W0led and won1led, drew0led, lostHalf-time: D1level → won1draw1level → lostHalf-time: L0comeback win0trailed → drew0trailed and lost
Frequent scores (own : opponent)2:1 ×10:0 ×12:2 ×12:3 ×1
Fagiano Okayamamatches: 3
Full-time: WFull-time: DFull-time: LHalf-time: W2led and won0led, drew0led, lostHalf-time: D0level → won0draw0level → lostHalf-time: L0comeback win0trailed → drew1trailed and lost
Frequent scores (own : opponent)0:2 ×12:0 ×13:0 ×1
From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.