Curzon Ashton — United of Manchester: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

England. Premier League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Tameside (Ashton-under-Lyne)

City

Ashton-under-Lyne

Address

Richmond St

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Redcar Athletic	16	10	5	1	35:15	+20	35	DWWWL
2	Cleethorpes Town	15	10	3	2	32:9	+23	33	WLWWD
3	Guiseley	14	9	2	3	29:14	+15	29	DWWWL
4	Gainsborough Trinity	16	9	2	5	32:21	+11	29	DLWWW
5	Curzon Ashton	15	9	1	5	29:18	+11	28	WWLLW
6	Avro	15	9	1	5	37:28	+9	28	LWLLL
7	Workington	16	8	3	5	28:26	+2	27	WWLLD
8	Rylands	15	8	2	5	27:22	+5	26	WWLDW
9	Alfreton Town	16	7	2	7	23:18	+5	23	WDDLW
10	Warrington Town	15	6	5	4	27:24	+3	23	LLDWD
11	Bury	13	7	1	5	28:16	+12	22	LWWLW
12	Lancaster City	17	6	3	8	20:29	-9	21	DLLWD
13	Whitby Town	16	6	1	9	22:42	-20	19	LLWWD
14	Quorn	15	4	6	5	27:32	-5	18	WDDWD
15	Emley	16	4	5	7	17:28	-11	17	LWWDL
16	Stockton Town	16	4	3	9	23:28	-5	15	WLLDW
17	Hyde United	16	4	3	9	15:30	-15	15	LLDLL
18	Ashton United	15	3	5	7	18:20	-2	14	LLLDD
19	Leek Town	15	3	5	7	30:33	-3	14	LLWDD
20	Ilkeston	16	4	1	11	11:34	-23	13	WWLLL
21	United of Manchester	15	2	6	7	20:26	-6	12	DDWDD
22	Bamber Bridge	15	2	5	8	18:35	-17	11	DLLDL

• Promotion - England. National League North
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.61 goals: 1.67 for Curzon Ashton and 0.95 for United of Manchester.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.28, 2nd — 1.33.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	89%	93%	1.08
Over 1.5	89%	67%	73%	1.36
Over 2.5	67%	44%	48%	2.07
Over 3.5	33%	22%	27%	3.76
Over 4.5	0%	11%	12%	8.06

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Curzon Ashton United of Manchester

• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored over 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 2.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Curzon Ashtonmatches: 9 · 9United of Manchester

2.89Avg match total2.33

100%9/9Over 0.589%8/9

0%0/9Under 0.511%1/9

89%8/9Over 1.567%6/9

11%1/9Under 1.533%3/9

67%6/9Over 2.544%4/9

33%3/9Under 2.556%5/9

33%3/9Over 3.522%2/9

67%6/9Under 3.578%7/9

0%0/9Over 4.511%1/9

100%9/9Under 4.589%8/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Curzon AshtonUnited of Manchester

86%6/7Scores first43%3/7

83%5/6…and wins33%1/3

0%0/6…and draws67%2/3

17%1/6…and loses0%0/3

50%3/6…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Curzon Ashton opened the scoring in 86% of matches.
• • Curzon Ashton avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • United of Manchester opened the scoring in 43% of matches.
• • United of Manchester avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Curzon Ashton				United of Manchester
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
5	0	44%	1–15	11%	1	0
1	2	33%	16–30	44%	3	2
3	1	44%	31–45	22%	1	1
1	0	11%	46–60	11%	0	1
2	1	33%	61–75	22%	0	2
1	2	33%	76–90	56%	3	5
2	0	22%	37–HT	11%	0	1
1	2	33%	87–FT	33%	0	3

• • Curzon Ashton scores most in 1–15: 5 of 13 goals (38%).
• • Curzon Ashton concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Curzon Ashton scores 23% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • United of Manchester scores most in 16–30: 3 of 8 goals (38%).
• • United of Manchester concedes most in 76–90: 5 of 11 conceded.
• • United of Manchester scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.83 goals per match on average.