Rylands — Guiseley: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

England. Isthmian League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Redcar Athletic	16	10	5	1	35:15	+20	35	DWWWL
2	Cleethorpes Town	15	10	3	2	32:9	+23	33	WLWWD
3	Guiseley	14	9	2	3	29:14	+15	29	DWWWL
4	Gainsborough Trinity	16	9	2	5	32:21	+11	29	DLWWW
5	Curzon Ashton	15	9	1	5	29:18	+11	28	WWLLW
6	Avro	15	9	1	5	37:28	+9	28	LWLLL
7	Workington	16	8	3	5	28:26	+2	27	WWLLD
8	Rylands	15	8	2	5	27:22	+5	26	WWLDW
9	Alfreton Town	16	7	2	7	23:18	+5	23	WDDLW
10	Warrington Town	15	6	5	4	27:24	+3	23	LLDWD
11	Bury	13	7	1	5	28:16	+12	22	LWWLW
12	Lancaster City	17	6	3	8	20:29	-9	21	DLLWD
13	Whitby Town	16	6	1	9	22:42	-20	19	LLWWD
14	Quorn	15	4	6	5	27:32	-5	18	WDDWD
15	Emley	16	4	5	7	17:28	-11	17	LWWDL
16	Stockton Town	16	4	3	9	23:28	-5	15	WLLDW
17	Hyde United	16	4	3	9	15:30	-15	15	LLDLL
18	Ashton United	15	3	5	7	18:20	-2	14	LLLDD
19	Leek Town	15	3	5	7	30:33	-3	14	LLWDD
20	Ilkeston	16	4	1	11	11:34	-23	13	WWLLL
21	United of Manchester	15	2	6	7	20:26	-6	12	DDWDD
22	Bamber Bridge	15	2	5	8	18:35	-17	11	DLLDL

• Promotion - England. National League North
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.13 goals: 1.46 for Rylands and 1.67 for Guiseley.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.38, 2nd — 1.76.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.05
Over 1.5	80%	75%	82%	1.22
Over 2.5	70%	50%	61%	1.65
Over 3.5	60%	38%	38%	2.62
Over 4.5	30%	13%	21%	4.83

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Rylands Guiseley

• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Rylandsmatches: 10 · 8Guiseley

3.5Avg match total2.76

100%10/10Over 0.5100%8/8

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/8

80%8/10Over 1.575%6/8

20%2/10Under 1.525%2/8

70%7/10Over 2.550%4/8

30%3/10Under 2.550%4/8

60%6/10Over 3.538%3/8

40%4/10Under 3.563%5/8

30%3/10Over 4.513%1/8

70%7/10Under 4.588%7/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

RylandsGuiseley

86%6/7Scores first71%5/7

83%5/6…and wins80%4/5

17%1/6…and draws20%1/5

0%0/6…and loses0%0/5

67%4/6…and then concedes20%1/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • Rylands opened the scoring in 86% of matches.
• • Rylands avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Guiseley opened the scoring in 71% of matches.
• • Guiseley avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Rylands				Guiseley
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	10%	1–15	13%	0	1
5	1	60%	16–30	50%	5	0
4	1	50%	31–45	38%	2	1
1	3	40%	46–60	25%	3	0
2	2	30%	61–75	50%	3	1
4	2	50%	76–90	13%	0	1
3	1	40%	37–HT	0%	0	0
2	1	20%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Rylands scores most in 16–30: 5 of 17 goals (29%).
• • Rylands concedes most in 46–60: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • Rylands scores 35% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Guiseley scores most in 16–30: 5 of 13 goals (38%).
• • Guiseley concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 4 conceded.
• • Guiseley scores 23% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.