Guiseley — Bamber Bridge: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

England. Isthmian League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Redcar Athletic	16	10	5	1	35:15	+20	35	DWWWL
2	Cleethorpes Town	15	10	3	2	32:9	+23	33	WLWWD
3	Guiseley	15	10	2	3	33:15	+18	32	WDWWW
4	Curzon Ashton	16	10	1	5	30:18	+12	31	WWWLL
5	Gainsborough Trinity	16	9	2	5	32:21	+11	29	DLWWW
6	Avro	16	9	2	5	39:30	+9	29	DLWLL
7	Workington	16	8	3	5	28:26	+2	27	WWLLD
8	Rylands	15	8	2	5	27:22	+5	26	WWLDW
9	Warrington Town	16	7	5	4	28:24	+4	26	WLLDW
10	Bury	14	7	2	5	30:18	+12	23	DLWWL
11	Alfreton Town	16	7	2	7	23:18	+5	23	WDDLW
12	Lancaster City	17	6	3	8	20:29	-9	21	DLLWD
13	Emley	17	5	5	7	19:28	-9	20	WLWWD
14	Whitby Town	16	6	1	9	22:42	-20	19	LLWWD
15	Quorn	15	4	6	5	27:32	-5	18	WDDWD
16	Stockton Town	16	4	3	9	23:28	-5	15	WLLDW
17	Hyde United	16	4	3	9	15:30	-15	15	LLDLL
18	Ashton United	16	3	5	8	18:21	-3	14	LLLLD
19	Leek Town	16	3	5	8	31:37	-6	14	LLLWD
20	Ilkeston	16	4	1	11	11:34	-23	13	WWLLL
21	United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20:27	-7	12	LDDWD
22	Bamber Bridge	16	2	5	9	18:37	-19	11	LDLLD

• Promotion - England. National League North
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.72 goals: 2.59 for Guiseley and 1.13 for Bamber Bridge.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (9%), followed by 2–0 (8%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 14 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.73, 2nd — 1.99.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	89%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	88%	89%	89%	1.13
Over 2.5	88%	56%	72%	1.39
Over 3.5	50%	56%	51%	1.96
Over 4.5	50%	33%	32%	3.16

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Guiseley Bamber Bridge

• Winless in 8 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 7 matches100%
• Scored in 7 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Guiseleymatches: 8 · 9Bamber Bridge

3.9Avg match total3.6

100%8/8Over 0.589%8/9

0%0/8Under 0.511%1/9

88%7/8Over 1.589%8/9

13%1/8Under 1.511%1/9

88%7/8Over 2.556%5/9

13%1/8Under 2.544%4/9

50%4/8Over 3.556%5/9

50%4/8Under 3.544%4/9

50%4/8Over 4.533%3/9

50%4/8Under 4.567%6/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

GuiseleyBamber Bridge

57%4/7Scores first29%2/7

50%2/4…and wins0%0/2

0%0/4…and draws50%1/2

50%2/4…and loses50%1/2

50%2/4…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Guiseley opened the scoring in 57% of matches.
• • Guiseley avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Bamber Bridge opened the scoring in 29% of matches.
• • Bamber Bridge avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.

Guiseley				Bamber Bridge
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	3	38%	1–15	11%	0	1
1	1	25%	16–30	22%	1	1
7	1	88%	31–45	56%	1	5
1	1	25%	46–60	33%	1	2
4	1	50%	61–75	67%	0	7
3	1	50%	76–90	56%	4	3
5	1	63%	37–HT	44%	0	5
2	0	25%	87–FT	33%	1	2

• • Guiseley scores most in 31–45: 7 of 17 goals (41%).
• • Guiseley concedes most in 1–15: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Guiseley scores 41% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Bamber Bridge scores most in 76–90: 4 of 7 goals (57%).
• • Bamber Bridge concedes most in 61–75: 7 of 19 conceded.
• • Bamber Bridge scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.33 goals per match on average.