Wingate & Finchley — Stanway Rovers 4:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Maurice Rebak (London)

City

London

Address

Summers Lane, North Finchley

Capacity

1,500

Map

Open map

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	45:18	+27	37	WLWWD
2	Welling United	17	12	1	4	36:18	+18	37	DWWWL
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	31:18	+13	34	WLWWD
4	Dartford	16	10	0	6	28:23	+5	30	WWLLL
5	Lewes	17	9	3	5	26:22	+4	30	LWLDD
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	33:19	+14	25	WLWLW
7	Carshalton Athletic	17	8	1	8	27:34	-7	25	WLLDL
8	Leatherhead	14	7	3	4	28:21	+7	24	WWWLL
9	St Albans City	13	7	2	4	25:19	+6	23	LLWWW
10	Chatham Town	16	7	1	8	28:25	+3	22	LDLLW
11	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	28:29	-1	22	LDDWW
12	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	26:28	-2	22	DDLLW
13	Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	28:27	+1	21	WWLWW
14	Dulwich Hamlet	17	6	3	8	29:33	-4	21	LLLWD
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	25:28	-3	20	LWWLW
16	Maldon & Tiptree	18	6	2	10	26:40	-14	20	WWDDW
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	25:15	+10	18	WWLWD
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	19:27	-8	18	LWLLD
19	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	25:28	-3	16	DLLWW
20	Three Bridges	16	2	4	10	25:42	-17	10	LDLLD
21	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	16:39	-23	8	DDLLD
22	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	14:40	-26	8	DLLWL

• Promotion
• Promotion - England. Isthmian League (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. Isthmian League (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 2.08 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.17 for Stanway Rovers.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (10%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.51, 2nd — 1.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	83%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	83%	83%	83%	1.20
Over 2.5	50%	83%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	33%	83%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	17%	33%	23%	4.40

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Wingate & Finchley Stanway Rovers

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Lost 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Wingate & Finchleymatches: 6 · 6Stanway Rovers

2.83Avg match total3.7

100%6/6Over 0.583%5/6

0%0/6Under 0.517%1/6

83%5/6Over 1.583%5/6

17%1/6Under 1.517%1/6

50%3/6Over 2.583%5/6

50%3/6Under 2.517%1/6

33%2/6Over 3.583%5/6

67%4/6Under 3.517%1/6

17%1/6Over 4.533%2/6

83%5/6Under 4.567%4/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Wingate & FinchleyStanway Rovers

60%3/5Scores first50%2/4

67%2/3…and wins50%1/2

33%1/3…and draws0%0/2

0%0/3…and loses50%1/2

33%1/3…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Wingate & Finchley opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Wingate & Finchley avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Stanway Rovers opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Stanway Rovers avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Wingate & Finchley				Stanway Rovers
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	2	50%	1–15	33%	2	2
0	1	17%	16–30	17%	1	0
2	1	33%	31–45	50%	1	2
1	1	33%	46–60	33%	0	5
2	1	50%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	2	33%	76–90	67%	0	5
2	1	33%	37–HT	33%	1	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	50%	0	3

• • Wingate & Finchley scores most in 31–45: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Wingate & Finchley concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 8 conceded.
• • Wingate & Finchley scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Stanway Rovers scores most in 1–15: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Stanway Rovers concedes most in 46–60: 5 of 14 conceded.
• • Stanway Rovers scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.