Welling United — Leatherhead 1:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

Venue

Park View Road (Welling)

City

Welling

Capacity

4,000

Surface

Hybrid grass

Opened

1925

Map

Open map

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43:16	+27	34	WWDWW
2	Welling United	15	11	0	4	31:15	+16	33	WWLWL
3	Eastbourne Borough	13	9	1	3	25:12	+13	28	WDWWW
4	Lewes	14	8	3	3	22:16	+6	27	DDWWW
5	Dartford	14	8	0	6	22:21	+1	24	LLLWL
6	St Albans City	11	7	2	2	24:15	+9	23	WWWDW
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29:19	+10	22	LWLWW
8	Carshalton Athletic	16	7	1	8	23:32	-9	22	LLDLL
9	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27:23	+4	21	LLWWL
10	Wingate & Finchley	13	6	3	4	26:25	+1	21	DWWWL
11	Dulwich Hamlet	15	6	3	6	25:26	-1	21	LWDLD
12	Burgess Hill Town	14	5	5	4	24:26	-2	20	LLWLW
13	Leatherhead	12	5	3	4	25:20	+5	18	WLLLD
14	Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26:27	-1	18	WLWWW
15	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17:23	-6	18	WLLDW
16	Aveley	14	5	2	7	24:24	0	17	WLWDL
17	Maldon & Tiptree	17	5	2	10	23:39	-16	17	WDDWD
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23:15	+8	15	WLWDL
19	Brentwood Town	13	5	0	8	23:25	-2	15	LWWLW
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24:39	-15	9	LLDLW
21	Stanway Rovers	14	2	1	11	14:39	-25	7	LWLLL
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14:37	-23	6	LLDLL

• Promotion
• Promotion - England. Isthmian League (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. Isthmian League (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.54 goals: 2.29 for Welling United and 1.25 for Leatherhead.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (10%), followed by 1–1 (8%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.63, 2nd — 1.86.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	78%	86%	87%	1.15
Over 2.5	56%	86%	69%	1.46
Over 3.5	44%	43%	47%	2.12
Over 4.5	33%	29%	28%	3.56

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Welling United Leatherhead

• Winless in 5 matches100%
• Over 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Welling Unitedmatches: 9 · 7Leatherhead

3.2Avg match total3.9

100%9/9Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/9Under 0.50%0/7

78%7/9Over 1.586%6/7

22%2/9Under 1.514%1/7

56%5/9Over 2.586%6/7

44%4/9Under 2.514%1/7

44%4/9Over 3.543%3/7

56%5/9Under 3.557%4/7

33%3/9Over 4.529%2/7

67%6/9Under 4.571%5/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Welling UnitedLeatherhead

100%7/7Scores first43%3/7

100%7/7…and wins67%2/3

0%0/7…and draws0%0/3

0%0/7…and loses33%1/3

29%2/7…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Welling United opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Leatherhead opened the scoring in 43% of matches.
• • Leatherhead avoided defeat after conceding first in 75% of such matches.

Welling United				Leatherhead
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	0	33%	1–15	57%	2	4
2	0	22%	16–30	29%	0	2
1	1	22%	31–45	71%	4	3
4	0	33%	46–60	43%	1	3
5	1	22%	61–75	29%	1	1
3	1	33%	76–90	57%	4	2
0	1	11%	37–HT	57%	2	3
2	1	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Welling United scores most in 61–75: 5 of 18 goals (28%).
• • Welling United concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Welling United scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Leatherhead scores most in 31–45: 4 of 12 goals (33%).
• • Leatherhead concedes most in 1–15: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • Leatherhead scores 42% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.