Fortuna Dusseldorf — 1. Saarbrucken 1:3: match report and statistics

• 57% Possession 43%
• 16 Total shots 6
• 4 Shots on target 6
• 8 Corners 6
• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 10 Shots off target 0
• 2 Shots blocked 0
• 1 Offsides 1
• 7 Free kicks 15
• 21 Throw-ins 20
• 13 Fouls 6

Tournament

Germany. 3. Liga

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

City

Dusseldorf

Address

Arena-Strase 1

Capacity

54,600

Opened

2004

Architect

JSK Architekten

Map

Open map

Referee

Leonidas Exuzidis

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Viktoria Koln	12	8	2	2	31:15	+16	26	WWDDW
2	MSV Duisburg	12	8	2	2	31:17	+14	26	DLDWW
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	12	7	3	2	20:13	+7	24	WWLWD
4	1. Saarbrucken	12	6	2	4	28:21	+7	20	WLWLD
5	Alemannia Aachen	12	6	2	4	19:18	+1	20	WWWLL
6	Wehen Wiesbaden	12	5	3	4	23:17	+6	18	WWDWW
7	Ingolstadt 04	12	5	3	4	16:17	-1	18	DWWWL
8	Waldhof Mannheim	12	5	1	6	21:19	+2	16	LWLLW
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	12	5	1	6	21:20	+1	16	LLWLL
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	4	4	12:14	-2	16	DDLWD
11	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	19:22	-3	16	LDLLW
12	Meppen	12	4	3	5	16:17	-1	15	DWDWD
13	VfB Stuttgart II	12	4	3	5	21:23	-2	15	DLWWD
14	Preussen Munster	12	4	3	5	20:23	-3	15	LWLLD
15	Wurzburger Kickers	12	4	2	6	17:24	-7	14	WLWDL
16	Jahn Regensburg	12	3	4	5	22:21	+1	13	WLDDW
17	Verl	12	3	3	6	17:26	-9	12	LLLDD
18	Sonnenhof	12	3	3	6	13:26	-13	12	LLWDL
19	Fortuna Koln	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10	LLLLD
20	Havelse	12	2	4	6	17:26	-9	10	DWDDL

• Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
• Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.47 goals: 1.21 for Fortuna Dusseldorf and 2.25 for 1. Saarbrucken.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (10%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 11.4 (3.7 — 7.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 9 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 1.96.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	75%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	86%	50%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	71%	50%	67%	1.49
Over 3.5	43%	50%	46%	2.19
Over 4.5	29%	50%	27%	3.73

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Fortuna Dusseldorf 1. Saarbrucken

• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 8.5 corners in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 8.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Fortuna Dusseldorfmatches: 7 · 41. Saarbrucken

3.4Avg match total3.5

100%7/7Over 0.575%3/4

0%0/7Under 0.525%1/4

86%6/7Over 1.550%2/4

14%1/7Under 1.550%2/4

71%5/7Over 2.550%2/4

29%2/7Under 2.550%2/4

43%3/7Over 3.550%2/4

57%4/7Under 3.550%2/4

29%2/7Over 4.550%2/4

71%5/7Under 4.550%2/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Fortuna Dusseldorf1. Saarbrucken

29%2/7Scores first100%3/3

50%1/2…and wins67%2/3

50%1/2…and draws33%1/3

0%0/2…and loses0%0/3

50%1/2…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Fortuna Dusseldorf opened the scoring in 29% of matches.
• • Fortuna Dusseldorf avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.
• • 1. Saarbrucken opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Fortuna Dusseldorf				1. Saarbrucken
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	14%	1–15	50%	2	0
0	3	43%	16–30	50%	3	1
1	2	29%	31–45	25%	1	1
3	4	86%	46–60	50%	1	1
2	2	43%	61–75	25%	0	1
4	2	57%	76–90	50%	3	0
1	2	29%	37–HT	25%	1	1
2	1	43%	87–FT	50%	2	0

• • Fortuna Dusseldorf scores most in 76–90: 4 of 10 goals (40%).
• • Fortuna Dusseldorf concedes most in 46–60: 4 of 14 conceded.
• • Fortuna Dusseldorf scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • 1. Saarbrucken scores most in 16–30: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • 1. Saarbrucken concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 4 conceded.
• • 1. Saarbrucken scores 30% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Fortuna Dusseldorf1. Saarbrucken

4.4Corners won, avg10.5

4.8Corners conceded, avg3.0

9.2Match corners, avg13.5

2.4Corners in 1st half, avg6.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Fortuna Dusseldorfper match1. Saarbrucken

0.85xG for—

2.97xG against—

11.4Shots13.0

9.2Shots against11.5

5.4Shots on target6.0

5.6On target against5.5

13%Conversion19%

8.0Shots per goal5.2

14.0Fouls6.0

1.8Offsides1.0

• • Fortuna Dusseldorf scores 0.58 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Fortuna Dusseldorf concedes 0.97 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.