VfB Lubeck — Bremer SV 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Regional League

Season

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	ETSV Weiche	16	11	2	3	44:18	+26	35	DLWWW
2	Hannover 96 II	16	10	3	3	38:25	+13	33	LWWWW
3	SV Drochtersen-Assel	16	10	2	4	49:23	+26	32	DWLWW
4	VfB Oldenburg	15	10	2	3	42:20	+22	32	DWWWL
5	Phonix Lubeck	15	9	4	2	41:14	+27	31	WDDWL
6	FSV Schoningen	15	7	3	5	22:27	-5	24	LLLLD
7	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	15	5	6	4	22:23	-1	21	DDWDW
8	Kickers Emden	16	5	5	6	37:42	-5	20	DLDLL
9	Hamburger II	16	6	1	9	28:35	-7	19	WWLLW
10	Werder Bremen II	16	5	3	8	27:31	-4	18	WLWLD
11	VfB Lubeck	15	4	6	5	22:28	-6	18	LWWDW
12	HSC Hannover	16	4	6	6	24:33	-9	18	DLDWW
13	Eimsbutteler TV	15	4	4	7	23:37	-14	16	DDLDW
14	SSV Jeddeloh	16	4	3	9	23:37	-14	15	DDWLL
15	Todesfelde	16	4	3	9	27:50	-23	15	WLDLW
16	St. Pauli II	15	4	2	9	28:30	-2	14	DWLLL
17	Eintracht Norderstedt 03	14	3	4	7	29:39	-10	13	LLLWL
18	Bremer SV	15	3	3	9	13:27	-14	12	DWLLL

• Promotion - Regionalliga Play-off
• Regionalliga North (Relegation (Play-off))
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 1.73 for VfB Lubeck and 1.53 for Bremer SV.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.6, 2nd — 1.9.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	75%	84%	1.20
Over 2.5	40%	50%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	40%	50%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	20%	25%	23%	4.38

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams VfB Lubeck Bremer SV

• Winless in 9 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 9 matches78%
• First-half goal in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 10

VfB Lubeckmatches: 5 · 4Bremer SV

3.0Avg match total3.5

100%5/5Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/4

100%5/5Over 1.575%3/4

0%0/5Under 1.525%1/4

40%2/5Over 2.550%2/4

60%3/5Under 2.550%2/4

40%2/5Over 3.550%2/4

60%3/5Under 3.550%2/4

20%1/5Over 4.525%1/4

80%4/5Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

VfB LubeckBremer SV

40%2/5Scores first100%3/3

0%0/2…and wins67%2/3

100%2/2…and draws0%0/3

0%0/2…and loses33%1/3

100%2/2…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • VfB Lubeck opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • VfB Lubeck avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Bremer SV opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

VfB Lubeck				Bremer SV
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	20%	1–15	25%	1	0
1	2	60%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	20%	31–45	0%	0	0
2	1	60%	46–60	25%	1	0
0	1	20%	61–75	50%	1	1
2	3	60%	76–90	50%	1	2
0	1	20%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	1	40%	87–FT	25%	0	1

• • VfB Lubeck scores most in 46–60: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • VfB Lubeck concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • VfB Lubeck scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Bremer SV scores most in 1–15: 1 of 4 goals (25%).
• • Bremer SV concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 3 conceded.
• • Bremer SV scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.67 goals per match on average.