SSV Jeddeloh — VfB Lubeck 1:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

Regional League

Season

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Hannover 96 II	18	12	3	3	44:28	+16	39	WWLWW
2	ETSV Weiche	18	12	2	4	49:22	+27	38	WLDLW
3	SV Drochtersen-Assel	18	11	3	4	54:27	+27	36	WDDWL
4	VfB Oldenburg	17	11	2	4	45:23	+22	35	LWDWW
5	Phonix Lubeck	16	10	4	2	43:15	+28	34	WWDDW
6	FSV Schoningen	17	9	3	5	27:28	-1	30	WWLLL
7	Kickers Emden	18	6	6	6	43:44	-1	24	WDDLD
8	VfB Lubeck	17	5	7	5	26:29	-3	22	WDLWW
9	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	16	5	6	5	23:26	-3	21	LDDWD
10	Eimsbutteler TV	17	5	5	7	27:38	-11	20	WDDDL
11	Hamburger II	18	6	1	11	30:42	-12	19	LLWWL
12	Werder Bremen II	18	5	3	10	28:35	-7	18	LLWLW
13	SSV Jeddeloh	17	5	3	9	28:38	-10	18	WDDWL
14	HSC Hannover	18	4	6	8	25:40	-15	18	LLDLD
15	Todesfelde	18	4	4	10	28:53	-25	16	LDWLD
16	Bremer SV	17	4	3	10	15:31	-16	15	LWDWL
17	St. Pauli II	16	4	2	10	28:31	-3	14	LDWLL
18	Eintracht Norderstedt 03	16	3	5	8	31:44	-13	14	LDLLL

• Promotion - Regionalliga Play-off
• Regionalliga North (Relegation (Play-off))
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.5 goals: 2.2 for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.31 for VfB Lubeck.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (9%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.36, 2nd — 2.15.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	100%	100%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	71%	50%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	71%	50%	46%	2.16
Over 4.5	29%	0%	27%	3.64

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams SSV Jeddeloh VfB Lubeck

• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Both teams scored in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

SSV Jeddelohmatches: 7 · 4VfB Lubeck

4.0Avg match total3.0

100%7/7Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/7Under 0.50%0/4

100%7/7Over 1.5100%4/4

0%0/7Under 1.50%0/4

71%5/7Over 2.550%2/4

29%2/7Under 2.550%2/4

71%5/7Over 3.550%2/4

29%2/7Under 3.550%2/4

29%2/7Over 4.50%0/4

71%5/7Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

SSV JeddelohVfB Lubeck

57%4/7Scores first25%1/4

50%2/4…and wins0%0/1

25%1/4…and draws100%1/1

25%1/4…and loses0%0/1

50%2/4…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • SSV Jeddeloh opened the scoring in 57% of matches.
• • SSV Jeddeloh avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • VfB Lubeck opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • VfB Lubeck avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

SSV Jeddeloh				VfB Lubeck
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	2	43%	1–15	25%	0	1
3	1	43%	16–30	50%	0	2
1	3	29%	31–45	25%	1	0
4	2	57%	46–60	25%	0	1
3	1	43%	61–75	25%	0	2
2	4	71%	76–90	50%	2	3
1	2	29%	37–HT	25%	1	0
1	1	29%	87–FT	50%	1	2

• • SSV Jeddeloh scores most in 46–60: 4 of 15 goals (27%).
• • SSV Jeddeloh concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 13 conceded.
• • SSV Jeddeloh scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • VfB Lubeck scores most in 76–90: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • VfB Lubeck concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 9 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

SSV JeddelohVfB Lubeck

2.0Corners won, avg—

11.0Corners conceded, avg—

13.0Match corners, avg—

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg—

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

SSV Jeddelohper matchVfB Lubeck

1.58xG for—

2.83xG against—

9.0Shots—

26.0Shots against—

5.0Shots on target—

8.0On target against—

24%Conversion—

4.2Shots per goal—

10.0Fouls—

1.0Offsides—

• • SSV Jeddeloh scores 0.56 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • SSV Jeddeloh concedes 0.97 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.83 goals per match on average.