VfB Oldenburg — St. Pauli II 1:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Regional League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Marschweg (Oldenburg)

City

Oldenburg

Address

Marschweg 25

Capacity

15,552

Opened

1991

Map

Open map

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Todesfelde	18	11	3	4	54:27	+27	36	WDDWW
2	VfB Oldenburg	17	11	3	3	41:27	+14	36	LWWLD
3	ETSV Weiche	17	11	2	4	46:21	+25	35	LDLWW
4	VfB Oldenburg	17	11	2	4	45:23	+22	35	LWWLD
5	Phonix Lubeck	16	10	4	2	43:15	+28	34	WWDDW
6	FSV Schoningen	16	8	3	5	25:28	-3	27	WLLLL
7	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	16	5	6	5	23:26	-3	21	LDDWD
8	Kickers Emden	17	5	6	6	38:43	-5	21	DDLDL
9	VfB Lubeck	16	4	7	5	23:29	-6	19	DLWWD
10	Hamburger II	17	6	1	10	29:37	-8	19	LWWLL
11	Werder Bremen II	17	5	3	9	27:32	-5	18	LWLWL
12	SSV Jeddeloh	17	5	3	9	28:38	-10	18	WDDWL
13	HSC Hannover	17	4	6	7	25:38	-13	18	LLDWW
14	Eimsbutteler TV	16	4	5	7	23:37	-14	17	DDDLD
15	Todesfelde	17	4	4	9	27:50	-23	16	WDDWW
16	Bremer SV	16	4	3	9	14:27	-13	15	WDWLL
17	St. Pauli II	16	4	2	10	28:31	-3	14	LDWLL
18	Eintracht Norderstedt 03	15	3	5	7	31:41	-10	14	DLLLW

• Promotion - Regionalliga Play-off
• Regionalliga North (Relegation (Play-off))
• Relegation

• The model expects 4.46 goals: 2.73 for VfB Oldenburg and 1.73 for St. Pauli II.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (7%), followed by 3–1 (7%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.93, 2nd — 2.54.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	100%	86%	94%	1.07
Over 2.5	100%	71%	82%	1.22
Over 3.5	75%	57%	65%	1.54
Over 4.5	25%	57%	46%	2.17

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams VfB Oldenburg St. Pauli II

• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• First-half goal in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 10

VfB Oldenburgmatches: 4 · 7St. Pauli II

4.5Avg match total4.4

100%4/4Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/7

100%4/4Over 1.586%6/7

0%0/4Under 1.514%1/7

100%4/4Over 2.571%5/7

0%0/4Under 2.529%2/7

75%3/4Over 3.557%4/7

25%1/4Under 3.543%3/7

25%1/4Over 4.557%4/7

75%3/4Under 4.543%3/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

VfB OldenburgSt. Pauli II

25%1/4Scores first43%3/7

100%1/1…and wins33%1/3

0%0/1…and draws0%0/3

0%0/1…and loses67%2/3

0%0/1…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • VfB Oldenburg opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • VfB Oldenburg avoided defeat after conceding first in 67% of such matches.
• • St. Pauli II opened the scoring in 43% of matches.
• • St. Pauli II avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

VfB Oldenburg				St. Pauli II
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	2	50%	1–15	71%	2	4
1	2	75%	16–30	43%	3	0
2	1	75%	31–45	43%	2	2
1	1	50%	46–60	86%	3	7
2	1	50%	61–75	43%	0	3
5	0	75%	76–90	43%	2	3
1	0	25%	37–HT	43%	2	2
3	0	50%	87–FT	14%	0	2

• • VfB Oldenburg scores most in 76–90: 5 of 11 goals (45%).
• • VfB Oldenburg concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 7 conceded.
• • VfB Oldenburg scores 64% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • St. Pauli II scores most in 16–30: 3 of 12 goals (25%).
• • St. Pauli II concedes most in 46–60: 7 of 19 conceded.
• • St. Pauli II scores 17% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3 goals per match on average.