VfB Lubeck — Eintracht Norderstedt 03: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Regional League

Season

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	ETSV Weiche	16	11	2	3	44:18	+26	35	DLWWW
2	Hannover 96 II	16	10	3	3	38:25	+13	33	LWWWW
3	SV Drochtersen-Assel	16	10	2	4	49:23	+26	32	DWLWW
4	VfB Oldenburg	15	10	2	3	42:20	+22	32	DWWWL
5	Phonix Lubeck	15	9	4	2	41:14	+27	31	WDDWL
6	FSV Schoningen	15	7	3	5	22:27	-5	24	LLLLD
7	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	15	5	6	4	22:23	-1	21	DDWDW
8	Kickers Emden	16	5	5	6	37:42	-5	20	DLDLL
9	Hamburger II	16	6	1	9	28:35	-7	19	WWLLW
10	Werder Bremen II	16	5	3	8	27:31	-4	18	WLWLD
11	VfB Lubeck	15	4	6	5	22:28	-6	18	LWWDW
12	HSC Hannover	16	4	6	6	24:33	-9	18	DLDWW
13	Eimsbutteler TV	15	4	4	7	23:37	-14	16	DDLDW
14	SSV Jeddeloh	16	4	3	9	23:37	-14	15	DDWLL
15	Todesfelde	16	4	3	9	27:50	-23	15	WLDLW
16	St. Pauli II	15	4	2	9	28:30	-2	14	DWLLL
17	Eintracht Norderstedt 03	14	3	4	7	29:39	-10	13	LLLWL
18	Bremer SV	15	3	3	9	13:27	-14	12	DWLLL

• Promotion - Regionalliga Play-off
• Regionalliga North (Relegation (Play-off))
• Relegation

• The model expects 4 goals: 2.23 for VfB Lubeck and 1.78 for Eintracht Norderstedt 03.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (8%), followed by 1–1 (7%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 18 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.59, 2nd — 2.42.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	90%	100%	91%	1.10
Over 2.5	60%	75%	76%	1.31
Over 3.5	50%	75%	57%	1.77
Over 4.5	40%	63%	37%	2.69

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams VfB Lubeck Eintracht Norderstedt 03

• Over 2.5 in 7 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 9 of 10 matches90%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

VfB Lubeckmatches: 10 · 8Eintracht Norderstedt 03

3.5Avg match total4.5

90%9/10Over 0.5100%8/8

10%1/10Under 0.50%0/8

90%9/10Over 1.5100%8/8

10%1/10Under 1.50%0/8

60%6/10Over 2.575%6/8

40%4/10Under 2.525%2/8

50%5/10Over 3.575%6/8

50%5/10Under 3.525%2/8

40%4/10Over 4.563%5/8

60%6/10Under 4.538%3/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

VfB LubeckEintracht Norderstedt 03

44%4/9Scores first38%3/8

50%2/4…and wins67%2/3

50%2/4…and draws0%0/3

0%0/4…and loses33%1/3

100%4/4…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • VfB Lubeck opened the scoring in 44% of matches.
• • VfB Lubeck avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.
• • Eintracht Norderstedt 03 opened the scoring in 38% of matches.
• • Eintracht Norderstedt 03 avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.

VfB Lubeck				Eintracht Norderstedt 03
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	2	30%	1–15	50%	2	2
2	3	40%	16–30	50%	0	4
1	3	40%	31–45	63%	4	3
5	2	50%	46–60	100%	4	5
5	2	40%	61–75	25%	0	2
2	6	60%	76–90	88%	4	6
1	2	30%	37–HT	63%	4	3
1	2	30%	87–FT	38%	2	2

• • VfB Lubeck scores most in 46–60: 5 of 17 goals (29%).
• • VfB Lubeck concedes most in 76–90: 6 of 18 conceded.
• • VfB Lubeck scores 41% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Eintracht Norderstedt 03 scores most in 31–45: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • Eintracht Norderstedt 03 concedes most in 76–90: 6 of 22 conceded.
• • Eintracht Norderstedt 03 scores 29% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.5 goals per match on average.