Wenzhou — Jiangxi Lushan 1:1: match report and statistics

• 0.42 Expected goals (xG) 0.74
• 43% Possession 57%
• 7 Total shots 14
• 2 Shots on target 4
• 0 Big Chances 1
• 1 Corners 4
• 76 (249/326)Assists(352/437) 81
• 2 Yellow cards 0
• 0.77 xG on target (xGOT) 0.14
• 3 Shots off target 6
• 2 Shots blocked 4
• 4 Shots from inside the penalty area 8
• 3 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 14 Touches in opposition box 18
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 6
• 10 Free kicks 21
• 32 (16/50)Long Balls(29/49) 59
• 61 (63/104)Passes in final third(74/106) 70
• 30 (3/10)Crosses(7/18) 39
• 0.38 Expected assists (xA) 0.68
• 21 Throw-ins 18
• 21 Fouls 10
• 41 (7/17)Tackles(8/11) 73
• 40 Duels won 45
• 20 Clearances 11
• 6 Steals 6
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 1
• 0.14 xGOT faced 0.77
• -0.86 Goals prevented -0.23
• 8 Goal kicks 6

Tournament

China. Second League

Season

2026

Attendance

1,273

Referee

Chenyao Xie

Group North

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Shandong Taishan II	22	12	5	5	33:21	+12	41	DLWDD
2	Shanghai Port II	22	12	4	6	36:19	+17	40	WLLLW
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	12	4	6	29:17	+12	40	DLWWW
4	Dalian Kewei	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37	LWDDW
5	Taian Tiankuang	22	8	7	7	25:23	+2	31	DLDLD
6	Dalian Yingbo II	22	6	10	6	21:22	-1	28	LWDWL
7	Haimen Codion	22	5	11	6	25:23	+2	26	DDWWW
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	22	4	14	4	13:16	-3	26	DWDWD
9	Qingdao Red Lions	22	5	10	7	22:20	+2	25	LDWDW
10	Changchun Xidu	22	3	11	8	15:28	-13	20	WDLLD
11	Beijing Institute of Technology	22	3	7	12	21:42	-21	16	WDWLL
12	Shanghai Segenda	22	2	9	11	22:39	-17	15	DLLDD

Group South

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	22	13	3	6	32:17	+15	42	DDLWW
2	Shenzhen 2028	22	10	7	5	37:25	+12	37	LDWLW
3	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:19	+6	35	WLWWD
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	22	8	10	4	25:28	-3	34	WWWDW
5	Hubei Istar	22	9	7	6	29:23	+6	34	WLLLD
6	Xiamen Feilu	22	7	8	7	29:28	+1	29	LWDLL
7	Guangdong Mingtu	22	5	11	6	22:20	+2	26	LWDDW
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	6	8	8	19:32	-13	26	LLLDL
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	6	7	9	22:28	-6	25	DWDLD
10	Chengdu Rongcheng II	22	5	7	10	18:24	-6	22	LDWWL
11	Wenzhou	22	4	10	8	15:23	-8	22	WDDLD
12	Wuhan Three Towns II	22	4	7	11	20:26	-6	19	WLLWW

• Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Group)
• League 2 (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.5 goals: 1.25 for Wenzhou and 1.25 for Jiangxi Lushan.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 9.4 (6 — 3.4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.13, 2nd — 1.38.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 1.5	50%	100%	71%	1.40
Over 2.5	50%	100%	46%	2.19
Over 3.5	0%	0%	24%	4.13
Over 4.5	0%	0%	11%	9.19

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Wenzhou Jiangxi Lushan

• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 9.5 corners in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 9.5 corners in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Under 4.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 7

Wenzhoumatches: 4 · 2Jiangxi Lushan

2.0Avg match total3.0

100%4/4Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/2

50%2/4Over 1.5100%2/2

50%2/4Under 1.50%0/2

50%2/4Over 2.5100%2/2

50%2/4Under 2.50%0/2

0%0/4Over 3.50%0/2

100%4/4Under 3.5100%2/2

0%0/4Over 4.50%0/2

100%4/4Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

WenzhouJiangxi Lushan

50%2/4Scores first50%1/2

100%2/2…and wins100%1/1

0%0/2…and draws0%0/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

50%1/2…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Wenzhou opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Wenzhou avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Jiangxi Lushan opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Jiangxi Lushan avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Wenzhou				Jiangxi Lushan
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	50%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	1	25%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	1	50%	31–45	100%	1	1
1	0	25%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	1	25%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	0	25%	76–90	100%	2	2
1	0	25%	37–HT	100%	1	1
1	0	25%	87–FT	100%	2	1

• • Wenzhou scores most in 1–15: 1 of 4 goals (25%).
• • Wenzhou concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 4 conceded.
• • Wenzhou scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Jiangxi Lushan scores most in 76–90: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Jiangxi Lushan concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 3 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

WenzhouJiangxi Lushan

8.5Corners won, avg3.5

3.3Corners conceded, avg3.5

11.8Match corners, avg7.0

3.8Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Wenzhouper matchJiangxi Lushan

0.9xG for0.97

0.92xG against0.77

13.3Shots14.0

9.8Shots against15.0

5.0Shots on target5.5

3.3On target against3.0

8%Conversion11%

13.3Shots per goal9.3

12.5Fouls14.5

1.5Offsides5.5

• • Wenzhou scores 0.1 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Wenzhou concedes 0.08 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Jiangxi Lushan scores 0.53 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Jiangxi Lushan concedes 0.73 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.