Cerro Porteno — Sportivo Luqueno 3:0: match report and statistics

• 1.67 Expected goals (xG) 0.44
• 53% Possession 47%
• 16 Total shots 9
• 9 Shots on target 2
• 5 Big Chances 3
• 2 Corners 2
• 83 (399/483)Assists(335/422) 79
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 2.09 xG on target (xGOT) 0.16
• 6 Shots off target 6
• 1 Shots blocked 1
• 8 Shots from inside the penalty area 3
• 8 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 3 Hit the woodwork 1
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 28 Touches in opposition box 9
• 1 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 3
• 4 Free kicks 11
• 30 (15/50)Long Balls(17/59) 29
• 65 (67/103)Passes in final third(42/76) 55
• 22 (4/18)Crosses(2/13) 15
• 0.83 Expected assists (xA) 0.26
• 26 Throw-ins 34
• 11 Fouls 4
• 77 (17/22)Tackles(13/20) 65
• 55 Duels won 50
• 20 Clearances 31
• 12 Steals 5
• 1 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 5
• 0.16 xGOT faced 2.09
• 0.16 Goals prevented -0.91
• 7 Goal kicks 5

Tournament

Paraguay. Primera Division

Season

2026

Referee

Juan Benitez

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Club Olimpia	17	11	3	3	30:12	+18	36	WWWDW
2	Club Nacional Asuncion	18	9	5	4	26:11	+15	32	LWLWW
3	Sportivo Trinidense	18	9	4	5	28:18	+10	31	DLWWD
4	Club Libertad	17	9	3	5	25:19	+6	30	LWLDW
5	2 de Mayo	18	8	6	4	18:18	0	30	DLDLW
6	Club Guarani	17	7	7	3	19:14	+5	28	WWLDD
7	Cerro Porteno	17	7	3	7	23:19	+4	24	LWDWL
8	Sportivo Ameliano	17	4	7	6	19:24	-5	19	LLDLL
9	Sportivo Luqueno	17	5	1	11	17:33	-16	16	LLWLL
10	Club Rubio Nu	17	4	4	9	19:29	-10	16	WLLDW
11	Recoleta	17	4	3	10	19:28	-9	15	WDWLL
12	Club Sportivo San Lorenzo	18	2	4	12	12:30	-18	10	WWLLD

• Promotion - Copa Libertadores - (Group stage)

• The model expects 1.67 goals: 1 for Cerro Porteno and 0.67 for Sportivo Luqueno.
• Most likely score is 0–0 (19%), followed by 1–0 (19%).
• Corners: about 9.3 (4.3 — 5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.34, 2nd — 1.34.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	33%	81%	1.23
Over 1.5	100%	33%	50%	2.01
Over 2.5	33%	33%	23%	4.26
Over 3.5	0%	0%	9%	11.27
Over 4.5	0%	0%	3%	36.04

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Cerro Porteno Sportivo Luqueno

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 11.5 corners in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 9.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Cerro Portenomatches: 3 · 3Sportivo Luqueno

2.34Avg match total1.0

100%3/3Over 0.533%1/3

0%0/3Under 0.567%2/3

100%3/3Over 1.533%1/3

0%0/3Under 1.567%2/3

33%1/3Over 2.533%1/3

67%2/3Under 2.567%2/3

0%0/3Over 3.50%0/3

100%3/3Under 3.5100%3/3

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/3

100%3/3Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Cerro PortenoSportivo Luqueno

100%3/3Scores first0%0/1

67%2/3…and wins—

0%0/3…and draws—

33%1/3…and loses—

33%1/3…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Cerro Porteno opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Sportivo Luqueno opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Sportivo Luqueno avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Cerro Porteno				Sportivo Luqueno
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	33%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	46–60	33%	0	1
1	1	67%	61–75	33%	2	0
1	1	67%	76–90	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Cerro Porteno scores most in 1–15: 1 of 5 goals (20%).
• • Cerro Porteno concedes most in 61–75: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Cerro Porteno scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Sportivo Luqueno scores most in 61–75: 2 of 2 goals (100%).
• • Sportivo Luqueno concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Cerro PortenoSportivo Luqueno

4.3Corners won, avg5.7

4.3Corners conceded, avg4.3

8.7Match corners, avg10.0

0.67Corners in 1st half, avg2.67

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Cerro Porteno				Sportivo Luqueno
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–10	—	—	—
0	0	0%	11–20	—	—	—
0	0	0%	21–30	—	—	—
1	0	100%	31–40	—	—	—
0	0	0%	41–HT	—	—	—
1	0	100%	46–55	—	—	—
1	0	100%	56–65	—	—	—
0	0	0%	66–75	—	—	—
1	0	100%	76–85	—	—	—
2	1	100%	86–FT	—	—	—
1	0	100%	37–HT	—	—	—
2	1	100%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Cerro Portenoper matchSportivo Luqueno

1.19xG for1.0

0.31xG against1.22

11.0Shots10.7

8.3Shots against13.3

4.3Shots on target4.0

3.0On target against2.33

15%Conversion6%

6.6Shots per goal15.9

11.0Fouls10.7

2.33Offsides1.67

• • Cerro Porteno scores 0.48 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Cerro Porteno concedes 0.36 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Sportivo Luqueno scores 0.33 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Sportivo Luqueno concedes 0.89 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.67 goals per match on average.