Concordia Hamburg — ETSV Hamburg 1:4: match report and statistics

Tournament

Germany. Oberliga

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Paloma	15	11	2	2	44:26	+18	35	WWDWL
2	TuS Dassendorf	14	9	2	3	38:18	+20	29	WLWDW
3	Victoria Hamburg	15	8	5	2	35:21	+14	29	LWDWD
4	Niendorfer TSV	15	9	2	4	41:34	+7	29	WWWLD
5	Altonaer von 1893	14	8	3	3	36:29	+7	27	WWDWW
6	HT 16 Hamburg	15	8	2	5	38:22	+16	26	WLWDW
7	SC Vw Billstedt 04	15	7	4	4	35:30	+5	25	LDWWW
8	Suderelbe	15	6	3	6	29:23	+6	21	WLLWL
9	Sasel	15	6	3	6	23:26	-3	21	DLWWD
10	ETSV Hamburg	14	6	2	6	36:34	+2	20	WLDLL
11	TBS Pinneberg	14	6	2	6	30:28	+2	20	LDWLL
12	Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC	15	6	0	9	21:26	-5	18	WLWLW
13	Teutonia 05 Ottensen	15	4	4	7	28:38	-10	16	DWDLL
14	Buchholz 08	15	4	4	7	38:52	-14	16	DLLLL
15	Concordia Hamburg	15	4	2	9	26:43	-17	14	LWLLL
16	Nikola Tesla Hamburg	14	3	2	9	24:29	-5	11	LLLWL
17	TuRa Harksheide	14	1	5	8	15:30	-15	8	LLLDL
18	Eintracht Norderstedt 03 II	15	2	1	12	20:48	-28	7	LLWLW

• Promotion
• Relegation

• The model expects 4.17 goals: 0.84 for Concordia Hamburg and 3.34 for ETSV Hamburg.
• Most likely score is 0–3 (10%), followed by 0–2 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2, 2nd — 2.17.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 2.5	67%	67%	79%	1.27
Over 3.5	67%	67%	60%	1.67
Over 4.5	67%	0%	40%	2.47

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Concordia Hamburg ETSV Hamburg

• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Won 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 2.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 6

Concordia Hamburgmatches: 3 · 3ETSV Hamburg

5.0Avg match total3.3

100%3/3Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/3

100%3/3Over 1.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 1.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 2.567%2/3

33%1/3Under 2.533%1/3

67%2/3Over 3.567%2/3

33%1/3Under 3.533%1/3

67%2/3Over 4.50%0/3

33%1/3Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Concordia HamburgETSV Hamburg

50%1/2Scores first—

0%0/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

100%1/1…and loses—

100%1/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Concordia Hamburg opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Concordia Hamburg avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Concordia Hamburg				ETSV Hamburg
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	2	33%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	0	67%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	2	33%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	5	67%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	2	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Concordia Hamburg scores most in 16–30: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Concordia Hamburg concedes most in 76–90: 5 of 10 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 3 goals per match on average.