Concordia Hamburg — Paloma 2:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

Germany. Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Paloma	14	10	2	2	41:25	+16	32	WDWLW
2	TuS Dassendorf	13	8	2	3	35:17	+18	26	LWDWL
3	Victoria Hamburg	14	7	5	2	31:21	+10	26	LWDWD
4	Niendorfer TSV	14	8	2	4	37:33	+4	26	WLDLW
5	SC Vw Billstedt 04	14	7	4	3	34:28	+6	25	DWWWL
6	Altonaer von 1893	13	7	3	3	34:28	+6	24	WDWWD
7	HT 16 Hamburg	14	7	2	5	35:22	+13	23	LWDWW
8	TBS Pinneberg	13	6	2	5	28:24	+4	20	DWLLL
9	Sasel	14	6	2	6	22:25	-3	20	WWDDL
10	Suderelbe	14	5	3	6	23:21	+2	18	LLWLD
11	Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC	14	6	0	8	20:23	-3	18	LWLWW
12	ETSV Hamburg	13	5	2	6	32:32	0	17	WLDLL
13	Buchholz 08	14	4	4	6	38:48	-10	16	DLLLL
14	Teutonia 05 Ottensen	14	4	3	7	27:37	-10	15	WDLLW
15	Concordia Hamburg	14	4	2	8	24:37	-13	14	LLLWL
16	Nikola Tesla Hamburg	13	3	2	8	23:26	-3	11	LLWLD
17	TuRa Harksheide	13	1	5	7	15:27	-12	8	LDLDD
18	Eintracht Norderstedt 03 II	14	2	1	11	19:44	-25	7	WLWDL

• Promotion
• Relegation

• The model expects 4.43 goals: 1.48 for Concordia Hamburg and 2.95 for Paloma.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (8%), followed by 1–3 (8%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 1 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.99, 2nd — 2.45.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	100%	100%	94%	1.07
Over 2.5	50%	100%	82%	1.22
Over 3.5	50%	71%	64%	1.55
Over 4.5	50%	57%	45%	2.20

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Concordia Hamburg Paloma

• Over 2.5 in 10 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• 4 wins in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• First-half goal in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 matches100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 10

Concordia Hamburgmatches: 4 · 7Paloma

4.0Avg match total4.9

100%4/4Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/7

100%4/4Over 1.5100%7/7

0%0/4Under 1.50%0/7

50%2/4Over 2.5100%7/7

50%2/4Under 2.50%0/7

50%2/4Over 3.571%5/7

50%2/4Under 3.529%2/7

50%2/4Over 4.557%4/7

50%2/4Under 4.543%3/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Concordia HamburgPaloma

0%0/1Scores first—

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Concordia Hamburg opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Concordia Hamburg avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Concordia Hamburg				Paloma
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	1	25%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	0	25%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	25%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Concordia Hamburg scores most in 76–90: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Concordia Hamburg concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 1 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 4.83 goals per match on average.