Berkhamsted — Poole Town 2:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Uxbridge	13	10	2	1	27:8	+19	32	WWWWW
2	Hanworth Villa	15	9	3	3	31:18	+13	30	WWDDW
3	Bath City	14	9	2	3	20:10	+10	29	WWWLW
4	Poole Town	14	9	1	4	24:16	+8	28	LDWWW
5	Plymouth Parkway	14	8	2	4	29:18	+11	26	LWLWL
6	Chichester City	15	8	1	6	27:25	+2	25	WLWLW
7	Gosport Borough	15	7	3	5	25:20	+5	24	WWLWL
8	Chertsey Town	14	6	5	3	31:23	+8	23	WDWDD
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22:9	+13	22	WDWLW
10	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32:26	+6	19	LWWLD
11	Frome Town	14	5	4	5	22:19	+3	19	LLWDD
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18:20	-2	18	DDLWL
13	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18:20	-2	16	WDDLD
14	Evesham United	14	5	1	8	18:28	-10	16	WLLLL
15	Basingstoke Town	15	4	3	8	24:31	-7	15	LLWLW
16	Hanwell Town	13	3	5	5	18:18	0	14	LWDWD
17	Yate Town	14	3	5	6	16:27	-11	14	LDDLL
18	Bracknell Town	15	4	2	9	16:33	-17	14	LLLWL
19	Havant & Waterlooville	15	3	3	9	20:32	-12	12	WLLDW
20	Gloucester City	12	2	5	5	17:21	-4	11	DLWDL
21	Malvern Town	14	3	2	9	21:38	-17	11	LLWWL
22	Chippenham Town	13	2	3	8	11:27	-16	9	LDLLD

• Promotion - England. National League South
• Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. South (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. South (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.67 goals: 1.84 for Berkhamsted and 0.84 for Poole Town.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (13%), followed by 2–0 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.17, 2nd — 1.34.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.07
Over 1.5	100%	100%	75%	1.34
Over 2.5	0%	67%	50%	2.00
Over 3.5	0%	33%	28%	3.58
Over 4.5	0%	33%	13%	7.54

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (1), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Berkhamsted Poole Town

• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Berkhamstedmatches: 1 · 3Poole Town

2.0Avg match total3.3

100%1/1Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/1Under 0.50%0/3

100%1/1Over 1.5100%3/3

0%0/1Under 1.50%0/3

0%0/1Over 2.567%2/3

100%1/1Under 2.533%1/3

0%0/1Over 3.533%1/3

100%1/1Under 3.567%2/3

0%0/1Over 4.533%1/3

100%1/1Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

BerkhamstedPoole Town

100%1/1Scores first100%3/3

100%1/1…and wins33%1/3

0%0/1…and draws33%1/3

0%0/1…and loses33%1/3

0%0/1…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Berkhamsted opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Poole Town opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Berkhamsted				Poole Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	67%	3	0
1	0	100%	31–45	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	46–60	67%	2	0
1	0	100%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	100%	0	3
1	0	100%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Berkhamsted scores most in 31–45: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Poole Town scores most in 16–30: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • Poole Town concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 4 conceded.
• • Poole Town scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.