Chichester City — Chippenham Town 4:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Uxbridge	14	10	2	2	28:11	+17	32	LWWWW
2	Poole Town	15	10	1	4	27:16	+11	31	WLDWW
3	Hanworth Villa	15	9	3	3	31:18	+13	30	WWDDW
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32:19	+13	29	WLWLW
5	Bath City	14	9	2	3	20:10	+10	29	WWWLW
6	Chertsey Town	15	7	5	3	33:24	+9	26	WWDWD
7	Chichester City	15	8	1	6	27:25	+2	25	WLWLW
8	Gosport Borough	15	7	3	5	25:20	+5	24	WWLWL
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22:9	+13	22	WDWLW
10	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32:26	+6	19	LWWLD
11	Frome Town	14	5	4	5	22:19	+3	19	LLWDD
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18:20	-2	18	DDLWL
13	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18:20	-2	16	WDDLD
14	Evesham United	15	5	1	9	20:32	-12	16	LWLLL
15	Basingstoke Town	15	4	3	8	24:31	-7	15	LLWLW
16	Hanwell Town	14	3	5	6	18:21	-3	14	LLWDW
17	Yate Town	14	3	5	6	16:27	-11	14	LDDLL
18	Bracknell Town	16	4	2	10	17:35	-18	14	LLLLW
19	Havant & Waterlooville	15	3	3	9	20:32	-12	12	WLLDW
20	Chippenham Town	14	3	3	8	15:29	-14	12	WLDLL
21	Gloucester City	12	2	5	5	17:21	-4	11	DLWDL
22	Malvern Town	14	3	2	9	21:38	-17	11	LLWWL

• Promotion - England. National League South
• Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. South (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. South (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.13 goals: 1.5 for Chichester City and 1.63 for Chippenham Town.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.38, 2nd — 1.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.05
Over 1.5	100%	75%	82%	1.22
Over 2.5	100%	50%	60%	1.66
Over 3.5	50%	25%	38%	2.63
Over 4.5	0%	25%	21%	4.85

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Chichester City Chippenham Town

• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Chichester Citymatches: 2 · 4Chippenham Town

3.5Avg match total2.75

100%2/2Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/4

100%2/2Over 1.575%3/4

0%0/2Under 1.525%1/4

100%2/2Over 2.550%2/4

0%0/2Under 2.550%2/4

50%1/2Over 3.525%1/4

50%1/2Under 3.575%3/4

0%0/2Over 4.525%1/4

100%2/2Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Chichester CityChippenham Town

50%1/2Scores first25%1/4

0%0/1…and wins100%1/1

100%1/1…and draws0%0/1

0%0/1…and loses0%0/1

100%1/1…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Chichester City opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Chichester City avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Chippenham Town opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Chippenham Town avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Chichester City				Chippenham Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	50%	1–15	50%	1	1
0	3	100%	16–30	25%	0	1
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	75%	2	1
0	1	50%	61–75	50%	1	2
2	0	100%	76–90	50%	1	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	25%	1	0

• • Chichester City scores most in 76–90: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Chichester City concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 4 conceded.
• • Chippenham Town scores most in 46–60: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Chippenham Town concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Chippenham Town scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.