Empoli — Spezia Calcio 1:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Club Friendlies

Season

2026

• The model expects 2.67 goals: 1.84 for Empoli and 0.83 for Spezia Calcio.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (13%), followed by 2–0 (12%).
• Corners: about 7.9 (4.8 — 3.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.16, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.07
Over 1.5	33%	100%	74%	1.34
Over 2.5	0%	67%	50%	2.01
Over 3.5	0%	67%	28%	3.59
Over 4.5	0%	33%	13%	7.58

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Empoli Spezia Calcio

• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 5.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Empolimatches: 3 · 3Spezia Calcio

1.33Avg match total4.0

100%3/3Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/3

33%1/3Over 1.5100%3/3

67%2/3Under 1.50%0/3

0%0/3Over 2.567%2/3

100%3/3Under 2.533%1/3

0%0/3Over 3.567%2/3

100%3/3Under 3.533%1/3

0%0/3Over 4.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

EmpoliSpezia Calcio

67%2/3Scores first0%0/3

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

0%0/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Empoli opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Empoli avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Spezia Calcio opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Spezia Calcio avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Empoli				Spezia Calcio
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	33%	1–15	33%	0	1
1	0	33%	16–30	67%	0	3
0	0	0%	31–45	33%	1	0
2	0	67%	46–60	33%	1	0
0	0	0%	61–75	100%	1	2
0	0	0%	76–90	33%	1	2
0	0	0%	37–HT	33%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	33%	1	0

• • Empoli scores most in 46–60: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Empoli concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Spezia Calcio scores most in 31–45: 1 of 4 goals (25%).
• • Spezia Calcio concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Spezia Calcio scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

EmpoliSpezia Calcio

5.0Corners won, avg2.67

3.5Corners conceded, avg4.7

8.5Match corners, avg7.3

4.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.67

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Empoliper matchSpezia Calcio

1.73xG for1.6

0.5xG against1.83

16.0Shots11.3

7.0Shots against13.3

5.5Shots on target3.0

1.5On target against6.0

6%Conversion12%

16.0Shots per goal8.5

16.0Fouls20.7

2.5Offsides1.33

• • Empoli scores 0.73 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Empoli concedes 0.17 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Spezia Calcio scores 0.27 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Spezia Calcio concedes 0.84 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.83 goals per match on average.