Ararat - Armenia — Noah Yerevan 2:1: match report and statistics

• 44% Possession 56%
• 4 Total shots 5
• 2 Shots on target 2
• 6 Corners 5
• 2 Yellow cards 5
• 0 Red cards 1
• 2 Shots off target 3

Tournament

Armenia. Premier League

Venue

Municipal Stadium (Abovian)

City

Abovyan

Address

12 Nairyan Street

Capacity

3,149

Opened

1966

Map

Open map

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Noah Yerevan	12	10	1	1	31:10	+21	31	WLDWW
2	Ararat - Armenia	12	9	2	1	24:10	+14	29	WWWDW
3	Pyunik	12	8	4	0	28:9	+19	28	WWDWD
4	Alashkert	12	7	4	1	27:8	+19	25	WWWDD
5	Sardarapat	12	4	5	3	19:20	-1	17	DDWLD
6	Urartu	12	4	4	4	19:15	+4	16	LDWDW
7	Shirak	12	4	2	6	14:15	-1	14	WLDLL
8	Van	12	3	2	7	12:29	-17	11	DWLWL
9	Ararat Yerevan	12	3	2	7	10:20	-10	11	LLDDW
10	Syunik	12	2	2	8	11:26	-15	8	LWLWL
11	CSKA Yerevan	12	2	2	8	10:22	-12	8	LLLLD
12	Gandzasar	12	1	0	11	9:30	-21	3	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
• Relegation - First League

• The model expects 3.5 goals: 1.32 for Ararat - Armenia and 2.19 for Noah Yerevan.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (9%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 10.5 (5 — 5.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.59, 2nd — 1.91.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	100%	80%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	57%	80%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	29%	40%	46%	2.16
Over 4.5	14%	40%	27%	3.64

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Ararat - Armenia Noah Yerevan

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 9 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Under 11.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Won 6 of 7 matches after scoring first86%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Scored first in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Ararat - Armeniamatches: 7 · 5Noah Yerevan

3.0Avg match total4.0

100%7/7Over 0.5100%5/5

0%0/7Under 0.50%0/5

100%7/7Over 1.580%4/5

0%0/7Under 1.520%1/5

57%4/7Over 2.580%4/5

43%3/7Under 2.520%1/5

29%2/7Over 3.540%2/5

71%5/7Under 3.560%3/5

14%1/7Over 4.540%2/5

86%6/7Under 4.560%3/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Ararat - ArmeniaNoah Yerevan

71%5/7Scores first100%5/5

60%3/5…and wins80%4/5

40%2/5…and draws0%0/5

0%0/5…and loses20%1/5

60%3/5…and then concedes60%3/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • Ararat - Armenia opened the scoring in 71% of matches.
• • Ararat - Armenia avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Noah Yerevan opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Ararat - Armenia				Noah Yerevan
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	14%	1–15	20%	1	0
3	5	86%	16–30	40%	2	0
0	2	29%	31–45	60%	4	1
2	1	29%	46–60	60%	3	2
2	1	29%	61–75	40%	1	1
2	2	43%	76–90	40%	3	2
0	0	0%	37–HT	60%	3	1
1	0	14%	87–FT	40%	1	1

• • Ararat - Armenia scores most in 16–30: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Ararat - Armenia concedes most in 16–30: 5 of 11 conceded.
• • Ararat - Armenia scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Noah Yerevan scores most in 31–45: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • Noah Yerevan concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Noah Yerevan scores 29% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Ararat - ArmeniaNoah Yerevan

6.2Corners won, avg5.5

5.5Corners conceded, avg3.8

11.7Match corners, avg9.3

2.0Corners in 1st half, avg3.8

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Ararat - Armenia				Noah Yerevan
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	100%	1–10	—	—	—
0	1	100%	11–20	—	—	—
0	0	0%	21–30	—	—	—
0	1	100%	31–40	—	—	—
0	0	0%	41–HT	—	—	—
0	1	100%	46–55	—	—	—
1	1	100%	56–65	—	—	—
0	1	100%	66–75	—	—	—
0	0	0%	76–85	—	—	—
3	1	100%	86–FT	—	—	—
0	0	0%	37–HT	—	—	—
3	1	100%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Ararat - Armeniaper matchNoah Yerevan

1.13xG for—

2.23xG against—

13.0Shots15.0

11.2Shots against7.8

6.0Shots on target5.5

4.2On target against2.5

11%Conversion19%

9.1Shots per goal5.4

12.5Fouls—

2.0Offsides—

• • Ararat - Armenia scores 0.3 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Ararat - Armenia concedes 0.66 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.