ENPPI — Wadi Degla 1:3: match report and statistics

• 1.91 Expected goals (xG) 2.26
• 54% Possession 46%
• 16 Total shots 12
• 4 Shots on target 6
• 2 Big Chances 1
• 7 Corners 8
• 68 (209/306)Assists(165/254) 65
• 1 Yellow cards 3
• 0.81 xG on target (xGOT) 3.29
• 7 Shots off target 4
• 5 Shots blocked 2
• 9 Shots from inside the penalty area 10
• 7 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 0 Headed goals 1
• 22 Touches in opposition box 21
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 3
• 14 Free kicks 10
• 35 (25/72)Long Balls(22/68) 32
• 46 (39/84)Passes in final third(52/104) 50
• 25 (3/12)Crosses(7/18) 39
• 0.54 Expected assists (xA) 0.92
• 16 Throw-ins 18
• 10 Fouls 14
• 80 (12/15)Tackles(9/10) 90
• 54 Duels won 42
• 17 Clearances 22
• 8 Steals 5
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 3
• 3.29 xGOT faced 0.81
• 0.29 Goals prevented -0.19
• 6 Goal kicks 9

Tournament

Egypt. Premier League

Season

2026/2027

Referee

Essa Mohamed Abbas

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Pyramids	8	8	0	0	19:4	+15	24	WWWWW
2	Al Ahly Cairo	8	6	2	0	15:6	+9	20	WDWWD
3	Zamalek	8	6	1	1	11:4	+7	19	WWLWW
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	8	6	0	2	15:8	+7	18	WWLWW
5	Al Ittihad Alexandria	8	4	2	2	9:6	+3	14	DLWWW
6	Modern Sport	8	4	1	3	12:10	+2	13	LLWWW
7	El Mokawloon	8	3	2	3	11:8	+3	11	LWDWD
8	National Bank of Egypt	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11	DDWLW
9	Smouha	8	3	2	3	5:5	0	11	DWWLL
10	ZED	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11	LWDWL
11	Petrojet	8	2	3	3	11:13	-2	9	DLDWW
12	Al-Masry	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9	DDDLL
13	El Qanah	8	1	5	2	10:12	-2	8	LDDLD
14	Tala'ea El-Gaish	8	2	2	4	6:12	-6	8	DLLDL
15	Wadi Degla	8	1	4	3	8:10	-2	7	LDDLL
16	ENPPI	8	2	1	5	11:16	-5	7	WLLLW
17	Ghazl El Mahalla	8	2	1	5	4:11	-7	7	WWLLL
18	Asyut Petroleum	8	1	3	4	4:8	-4	6	DLWLL
19	Abu Qair Semad	8	1	1	6	3:12	-9	4	LDLLL
20	El Gouna	8	0	3	5	5:11	-6	3	DLLLL

• Promotion - Premier League (Championship. Play-offs)
• Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 1.75 goals: 0.3 for ENPPI and 1.45 for Wadi Degla.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (25%), followed by 0–2 (18%).
• Corners: about 10.3 (3.3 — 7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.65, 2nd — 1.1.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	50%	80%	83%	1.21
Over 1.5	50%	80%	52%	1.92
Over 2.5	50%	20%	26%	3.91
Over 3.5	0%	20%	10%	9.92
Over 4.5	0%	0%	3%	30.39

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams ENPPI Wadi Degla

• Under 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Under 9.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Under 9.5 corners in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 matches71%
• At least one team failed to score in 5 of 7 matches71%
• First-half goal in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 9

ENPPImatches: 2 · 5Wadi Degla

1.5Avg match total2.0

50%1/2Over 0.580%4/5

50%1/2Under 0.520%1/5

50%1/2Over 1.580%4/5

50%1/2Under 1.520%1/5

50%1/2Over 2.520%1/5

50%1/2Under 2.580%4/5

0%0/2Over 3.520%1/5

100%2/2Under 3.580%4/5

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/5

100%2/2Under 4.5100%5/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ENPPIWadi Degla

0%0/1Scores first75%3/4

—…and wins67%2/3

—…and draws33%1/3

—…and loses0%0/3

—…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • ENPPI opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • ENPPI avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Wadi Degla opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Wadi Degla avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

ENPPI				Wadi Degla
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	40%	1	1
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	50%	31–45	40%	2	0
0	1	50%	46–60	20%	0	1
0	0	0%	61–75	40%	2	0
0	1	50%	76–90	60%	2	1
0	1	50%	37–HT	40%	2	0
0	1	50%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • ENPPI concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Wadi Degla scores most in 31–45: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Wadi Degla concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Wadi Degla scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ENPPIWadi Degla

2.5Corners won, avg6.5

7.5Corners conceded, avg4.0

10.0Match corners, avg10.5

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg3.3

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

ENPPIper matchWadi Degla

—xG for1.17

—xG against2.01

4.0Shots9.3

9.0Shots against7.5

1.0Shots on target2.5

4.0On target against2.75

0%Conversion15%

—Shots per goal6.6

—Fouls12.5

—Offsides2.5

• • Wadi Degla scores 0.23 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Wadi Degla concedes 1.41 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.33 goals per match on average.