Oldham Athletic — Fleetwood Town 1:0: match report and statistics

• 0.98 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
• 56% Possession 44%
• 8 Total shots 9
• 3 Shots on target 2
• 1 Big Chances 0
• 3 Corners 3
• 79 (414/521)Assists(305/407) 75
• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 0.47 xG on target (xGOT) 0.13
• 5 Shots off target 4
• 0 Shots blocked 3
• 4 Shots from inside the penalty area 4
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 5
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 18 Touches in opposition box 15
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 5 Offsides 1
• 14 Free kicks 8
• 32 (18/56)Long Balls(27/89) 30
• 66 (97/148)Passes in final third(55/107) 51
• 8 (1/12)Crosses(6/14) 43
• 0.56 Expected assists (xA) 0.52
• 24 Throw-ins 27
• 8 Fouls 14
• 71 (10/14)Tackles(4/8) 50
• 52 Duels won 46
• 25 Clearances 13
• 8 Steals 15
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 2 Saves 2
• 0.13 xGOT faced 0.47
• 0.13 Goals prevented -0.53
• 5 Goal kicks 8

Tournament

England. Football League Trophy

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

8,851

Referee

Michael Barlow

Group 1

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Sheffield Wednesday	2	2	0	0	4:1	+3	6	WW
2	Accrington Stanley	2	2	0	0	4:4	0	4	WW
3	Salford City	2	0	0	2	2:3	-1	1	LL
4	Sunderland U21	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	1	LL

Group 2

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Wigan Athletic	2	2	0	0	6:4	+2	6	WW
2	Blackpool	3	2	0	1	7:7	0	5	WWL
3	Crewe Alexandra	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	4	LW
4	Aston Villa U21	3	0	0	3	5:10	-5	0	LLL

Group 3

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Bradford City	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6	WW
2	Newcastle United U21	2	1	0	1	4:3	+1	3	LW
3	Rotherham United	2	1	0	1	1:5	-4	2	LW
4	York City	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	1	LL

Group 4

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Port Vale	3	2	0	1	8:1	+7	7	WWL
2	Chesterfield	2	2	0	0	6:4	+2	5	WW
3	Manchester City U21	3	1	0	2	7:11	-4	3	LLW
4	Mansfield Town	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0	LL

Group 5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Stockport County	2	2	0	0	8:3	+5	6	WW
2	Tranmere Rovers	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3	W
3	Shrewsbury Town	3	1	0	2	2:4	-2	3	WLL
4	Everton U21	2	0	0	2	4:8	-4	0	LL

Group 6

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Notts County	2	2	0	0	7:2	+5	6	WW
2	Burton Albion	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3	WL
3	Nottingham Forest U21	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	2	LW
4	Grimsby Town	2	0	0	2	1:2	-1	1	LL

Group 7

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Oldham Athletic	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6	WW
2	Fleetwood Town	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3	WL
3	Leeds United U21	2	1	0	1	6:7	-1	3	LW
4	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	4:8	-4	0	LL

Group 8

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Huddersfield Town	2	2	0	0	8:1	+7	6	WW
2	Doncaster Rovers	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3	WL
3	Liverpool U21	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	2	LW
4	Rochdale	2	0	0	2	3:8	-5	1	LL

Group 9

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Exeter City	3	2	0	1	6:4	+2	6	WLW
2	Cheltenham Town	2	2	0	0	4:4	0	4	WW
3	Oxford United	1	0	0	1	2:2	0	1	L
4	Tottenham Hotspur U21	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	1	LL

Group 10

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Stevenage	2	2	0	0	8:2	+6	6	WW
2	Leicester City	2	1	0	1	7:3	+4	3	LW
3	Walsall	2	1	0	1	4:8	-4	3	WL
4	Fulham U21	2	0	0	2	3:9	-6	0	LL

Group 11

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Wycombe Wanderers	3	2	0	1	7:3	+4	7	WWL
2	Chelsea U21	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	5	WLW
3	Reading	2	1	0	1	1:3	-2	2	LW
4	Bristol Rovers	2	0	0	2	3:6	-3	1	LL

Group 12

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Peterborough United	2	2	0	0	7:2	+5	6	WW
2	Luton Town	2	2	0	0	7:1	+6	5	WW
3	Colchester United	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	1	LL
4	Ipswich Town U21	2	0	0	2	1:10	-9	0	LL

Group 13

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Plymouth Argyle	2	2	0	0	7:3	+4	5	WW
2	Newport County	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	4	LW
3	Crystal Palace U21	2	1	0	1	3:6	-3	3	LW
4	Swindon Town	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0	LL

Group 14

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal U21	3	2	0	1	5:7	-2	6	WWL
2	Barnet	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	5	WW
3	Leyton Orient	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	2	LW
4	Wimbledon	3	0	0	3	2:3	-1	2	LLL

Group 15

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Cambridge United	2	2	0	0	6:2	+4	6	WW
2	Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2	1	0	1	6:4	+2	3	LW
3	Gillingham	2	1	0	1	5:7	-2	3	WL
4	Northampton Town	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0	LL

Group 16

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Milton Keynes Dons	2	2	0	0	11:2	+9	6	WW
2	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	5:4	+1	3	WL
3	Brentford U21	2	1	0	1	2:7	-5	3	LW
4	Bromley	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0	LL

• Promotion - England. Football League Trophy (Play-off)

• The model expects 3.17 goals: 2 for Oldham Athletic and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 2–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 11.6 (7.3 — 4.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.34, 2nd — 1.84.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	100%	82%	1.21
Over 2.5	100%	67%	61%	1.63
Over 3.5	0%	67%	39%	2.57
Over 4.5	0%	0%	21%	4.69

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Oldham Athletic Fleetwood Town

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 5.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Oldham Athleticmatches: 2 · 3Fleetwood Town

3.0Avg match total3.3

100%2/2Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/3

100%2/2Over 1.5100%3/3

0%0/2Under 1.50%0/3

100%2/2Over 2.567%2/3

0%0/2Under 2.533%1/3

0%0/2Over 3.567%2/3

100%2/2Under 3.533%1/3

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/3

100%2/2Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Oldham AthleticFleetwood Town

50%1/2Scores first33%1/3

100%1/1…and wins0%0/1

0%0/1…and draws100%1/1

0%0/1…and loses0%0/1

0%0/1…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Oldham Athletic opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Oldham Athletic avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Fleetwood Town opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Fleetwood Town avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Oldham Athletic				Fleetwood Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	67%	1	1
0	1	50%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	31–45	100%	1	2
1	1	50%	46–60	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	61–75	100%	2	2
2	0	50%	76–90	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	37–HT	67%	0	2
1	0	50%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Oldham Athletic scores most in 76–90: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Oldham Athletic concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Oldham Athletic scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Fleetwood Town scores most in 61–75: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Fleetwood Town concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Fleetwood Town scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Oldham AthleticFleetwood Town

7.5Corners won, avg4.7

4.0Corners conceded, avg7.0

11.5Match corners, avg11.7

4.5Corners in 1st half, avg2.33

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Oldham Athleticper matchFleetwood Town

1.87xG for1.31

1.2xG against2.54

17.0Shots13.7

8.0Shots against14.7

7.5Shots on target3.7

3.0On target against4.3

12%Conversion10%

8.5Shots per goal10.3

11.0Fouls15.3

3.5Offsides2.67

• • Oldham Athletic scores 0.13 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Oldham Athletic concedes 0.2 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Fleetwood Town scores 0.02 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Fleetwood Town concedes 0.54 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.33 goals per match on average.