French Guiana — Sint Maarten 1:0: match report and statistics

• 2.16 Expected goals (xG) 0.51
• 50% Possession 50%
• 12 Total shots 9
• 5 Shots on target 3
• 3 Big Chances 2
• 3 Corners 3
• 85 (341/400)Assists(336/396) 85
• 1 Yellow cards 1
• 0.73 xG on target (xGOT) 0.11
• 2 Shots off target 4
• 5 Shots blocked 2
• 12 Shots from inside the penalty area 6
• 0 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 31 Touches in opposition box 18
• 1 Accurate through passes 0
• 8 Offsides 0
• 9 Free kicks 15
• 61 (30/49)Long Balls(16/44) 36
• 61 (65/106)Passes in final third(66/103) 64
• 8 (1/13)Crosses(3/16) 19
• 1.45 Expected assists (xA) 0.38
• 20 Throw-ins 22
• 15 Fouls 9
• 56 (9/16)Tackles(3/6) 50
• 37 Duels won 28
• 20 Clearances 15
• 10 Steals 8
• 2 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 4
• 0.11 xGOT faced 0.73
• 0.11 Goals prevented -0.27
• 12 Goal kicks 6

Tournament

CONCACAF Nations League

Season

2026/2027

Referee

Raul Edgardo Castro Zuniga

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guyana	4	4	0	0	16:2	+14	12	WWWW
2	Puerto Rico	4	3	0	1	6:1	+5	9	WWL
3	Cayman Islands	4	0	1	3	0:6	-6	1	LLD
4	Dominica	4	0	1	3	2:15	-13	1	LLLD

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Barbados	4	3	1	0	10:4	+6	10	WWDW
2	Saint Lucia	4	3	0	1	9:4	+5	9	WWWL
3	Guadeloupe	4	1	1	2	4:7	-3	4	LLDW
4	Bermuda	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0	LLLL

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Cuba	4	2	2	0	10:5	+5	8	DDWW
2	Saint Kitts and Nevis	4	2	2	0	10:6	+4	8	DDWW
3	Bonaire	4	1	0	3	7:8	-1	3	WLLL
4	Grenada	4	1	0	3	4:12	-8	3	LWLL

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	4	4	0	0	11:3	+8	12	WWWW
2	French Guiana	4	3	0	1	5:2	+3	9	WWWL
3	Belize	4	1	0	3	1:4	-3	3	LLLW
4	Sint Maarten	4	0	0	4	2:10	-8	0	LLLL

• Promotion
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.13 goals: 1.66 for French Guiana and 1.47 for Sint Maarten.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 7.2 (2.3 — 4.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 2.14.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	89%	96%	1.05
Over 1.5	88%	67%	82%	1.22
Over 2.5	50%	67%	60%	1.66
Over 3.5	38%	44%	38%	2.63
Over 4.5	38%	33%	21%	4.85

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams French Guiana Sint Maarten

• Winless in 7 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 9.5 corners in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Scored under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

French Guianamatches: 8 · 9Sint Maarten

3.1Avg match total3.1

100%8/8Over 0.589%8/9

0%0/8Under 0.511%1/9

88%7/8Over 1.567%6/9

13%1/8Under 1.533%3/9

50%4/8Over 2.567%6/9

50%4/8Under 2.533%3/9

38%3/8Over 3.544%4/9

63%5/8Under 3.556%5/9

38%3/8Over 4.533%3/9

63%5/8Under 4.567%6/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

French GuianaSint Maarten

43%3/7Scores first57%4/7

67%2/3…and wins100%4/4

33%1/3…and draws0%0/4

0%0/3…and loses0%0/4

100%3/3…and then concedes50%2/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • French Guiana opened the scoring in 43% of matches.
• • French Guiana avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • Sint Maarten opened the scoring in 57% of matches.
• • Sint Maarten avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

French Guiana				Sint Maarten
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	13%	1–15	11%	0	1
1	1	25%	16–30	11%	1	0
3	3	50%	31–45	56%	2	3
2	0	25%	46–60	44%	3	1
1	5	50%	61–75	33%	3	3
3	2	50%	76–90	44%	2	4
3	2	50%	37–HT	44%	1	3
1	2	38%	87–FT	22%	2	0

• • French Guiana scores most in 31–45: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • French Guiana concedes most in 61–75: 5 of 11 conceded.
• • French Guiana scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Sint Maarten scores most in 46–60: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Sint Maarten concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 12 conceded.
• • Sint Maarten scores 45% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

French GuianaSint Maarten

1.0Corners won, avg4.7

5.0Corners conceded, avg3.7

6.0Match corners, avg8.3

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.33

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.