CSKA Sofia III — Kyustendil 1:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. Third League. South-West

Season

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Minyor Pernik	15	11	3	1	34:7	+27	36	WWDWW
2	Oborishte	14	8	5	1	27:12	+15	29	DWLDW
3	Bansko	14	9	2	3	28:18	+10	29	DWWWW
4	Strumska Slava	13	7	3	3	25:16	+9	24	DDLWL
5	Balkan Botevgrad	15	7	1	7	17:18	-1	22	LWLLW
6	Kostinbrod	14	7	1	6	24:17	+7	22	DLWWL
7	Slavia Sofia II	15	6	2	7	21:20	+1	20	LDDWL
8	Slivnishki geroi	15	5	4	6	18:21	-3	19	DLDWW
9	Septemvri II	12	6	1	5	15:14	+1	19	LLWWL
10	Belasitsa Petrich	15	5	3	7	23:25	-2	18	WWDLD
11	CSKA Sofia III	14	3	8	3	12:11	+1	17	LDDWL
12	Chavdar Etropole	15	5	2	8	18:34	-16	17	WLDWL
13	Kyustendil	14	4	4	6	14:18	-4	16	WWDDL
14	Levski Sofia II	14	4	4	6	16:19	-3	16	WDLLW
15	Botev 1921 Ihtiman	14	5	1	8	17:20	-3	16	LLDLL
16	Septemvri Simitli	14	3	6	5	19:24	-5	15	LDDDW
17	National Sofia	14	2	5	7	19:27	-8	11	LDWLL
18	Pirin Razlog	15	3	1	11	12:38	-26	10	WLLLL

• Promotion
• Relegation

• The model expects 3 goals: 2.54 for CSKA Sofia III and 0.46 for Kyustendil.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (16%), followed by 3–0 (14%).
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.71, 2nd — 1.3.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	75%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	25%	100%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	0%	67%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	0%	67%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	0%	33%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams CSKA Sofia III Kyustendil

• Unbeaten in 7 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 matches71%
• First-half goal in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 7

CSKA Sofia IIImatches: 4 · 3Kyustendil

1.0Avg match total5.0

75%3/4Over 0.5100%3/3

25%1/4Under 0.50%0/3

25%1/4Over 1.5100%3/3

75%3/4Under 1.50%0/3

0%0/4Over 2.567%2/3

100%4/4Under 2.533%1/3

0%0/4Over 3.567%2/3

100%4/4Under 3.533%1/3

0%0/4Over 4.533%1/3

100%4/4Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

CSKA Sofia IIIKyustendil

—Scores first—

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

CSKA Sofia III				Kyustendil
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 6.25 goals per match on average.