Montreal Roses (Women) — Calgary Wild (Women) 2:2: match report and statistics

• 1.51 Expected goals (xG) 1.45
• 53% Possession 47%
• 17 Total shots 9
• 5 Shots on target 2
• 3 Big Chances 2
• 7 Corners 4
• 77 (295/381)Assists(246/346) 71
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 1.95 xG on target (xGOT) 1.18
• 8 Shots off target 6
• 4 Shots blocked 1
• 13 Shots from inside the penalty area 6
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 1 Hit the woodwork 1
• 31 Touches in opposition box 16
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 4 Offsides 1
• 9 Free kicks 16
• 45 (20/44)Long Balls(21/58) 36
• 68 (82/120)Passes in final third(38/71) 54
• 35 (9/26)Crosses(6/14) 43
• 1.32 Expected assists (xA) 0.56
• 29 Throw-ins 33
• 16 Fouls 9
• 73 (16/22)Tackles(16/22) 73
• 49 Duels won 52
• 17 Clearances 24
• 13 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 2
• 0 Saves 3
• 1.18 xGOT faced 1.95
• -0.82 Goals prevented -0.05
• 6 Goal kicks 13

Tournament

Canada. Northern Superleague. Women

Season

2026

Referee

Myriam Marcotte

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Montreal Roses (Women)	25	12	9	4	43:27	+16	45	WDDDD
2	Ottawa Rapid (Women)	25	12	4	9	49:44	+5	40	LWDLW
3	AFC Toronto (Women)	25	10	9	6	38:24	+14	39	DLWWD
4	Vancouver Rise (Women)	25	9	4	12	47:55	-8	31	WLLLD
5	Halifax Tides (Women)	25	7	8	10	24:24	0	29	DDDDD
6	Calgary Wild (Women)	25	5	6	14	28:55	-27	21	LWDWL

• Promotion - Canada. Northern Superleague. Women (Play-off: Round of 4)

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 2.04 for Montreal Roses (Women) and 1.21 for Calgary Wild (Women).
• Most likely score is 2–1 (10%), followed by 1–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 9.5 (5.8 — 3.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 9 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.63, 2nd — 1.63.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	75%	83%	84%	1.20
Over 2.5	50%	50%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	38%	50%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	25%	33%	23%	4.38

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Montreal Roses (Women) Calgary Wild (Women)

• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Under 10.5 corners in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Lost 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Montreal Roses (Women)matches: 8 · 6Calgary Wild (Women)

3.0Avg match total3.5

100%8/8Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/8Under 0.50%0/6

75%6/8Over 1.583%5/6

25%2/8Under 1.517%1/6

50%4/8Over 2.550%3/6

50%4/8Under 2.550%3/6

38%3/8Over 3.550%3/6

63%5/8Under 3.550%3/6

25%2/8Over 4.533%2/6

75%6/8Under 4.567%4/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Montreal Roses (Women)Calgary Wild (Women)

50%4/8Scores first33%2/6

75%3/4…and wins50%1/2

0%0/4…and draws50%1/2

25%1/4…and loses0%0/2

50%2/4…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Montreal Roses (Women) opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Montreal Roses (Women) avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • Calgary Wild (Women) opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Calgary Wild (Women) avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Montreal Roses (Women)				Calgary Wild (Women)
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	2	50%	1–15	33%	3	1
2	1	38%	16–30	67%	0	5
1	2	38%	31–45	50%	0	3
2	1	38%	46–60	33%	1	2
2	3	50%	61–75	50%	1	2
5	1	63%	76–90	33%	2	1
1	2	38%	37–HT	33%	0	2
1	0	13%	87–FT	33%	2	1

• • Montreal Roses (Women) scores most in 76–90: 5 of 14 goals (36%).
• • Montreal Roses (Women) concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 10 conceded.
• • Montreal Roses (Women) scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Calgary Wild (Women) scores most in 1–15: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Calgary Wild (Women) concedes most in 16–30: 5 of 14 conceded.
• • Calgary Wild (Women) scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Montreal Roses (Women)Calgary Wild (Women)

4.3Corners won, avg3.3

4.0Corners conceded, avg7.3

8.3Match corners, avg10.7

1.5Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Montreal Roses (Women)per matchCalgary Wild (Women)

1.66xG for1.33

1.18xG against1.75

14.9Shots10.7

9.3Shots against18.3

4.8Shots on target5.0

3.4On target against6.5

12%Conversion11%

8.5Shots per goal9.1

10.4Fouls9.5

2.25Offsides1.17

• • Montreal Roses (Women) scores 0.09 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Montreal Roses (Women) concedes 0.07 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Calgary Wild (Women) scores 0.16 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Calgary Wild (Women) concedes 0.58 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 2.5 goals per match on average.