Dulwich Hamlet — East Grinstead Town 4:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. FA Cup

Season

2026/2027

• The model expects 4 goals: 3.17 for Dulwich Hamlet and 0.84 for East Grinstead Town.
• Most likely score is 3–0 (10%), followed by 2–0 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2, 2nd — 2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	100%	91%	1.10
Over 2.5	67%	100%	76%	1.31
Over 3.5	67%	60%	57%	1.77
Over 4.5	33%	40%	37%	2.69

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Dulwich Hamlet East Grinstead Town

• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Lost 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 10

Dulwich Hamletmatches: 3 · 5East Grinstead Town

4.0Avg match total4.0

100%3/3Over 0.5100%5/5

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/5

100%3/3Over 1.5100%5/5

0%0/3Under 1.50%0/5

67%2/3Over 2.5100%5/5

33%1/3Under 2.50%0/5

67%2/3Over 3.560%3/5

33%1/3Under 3.540%2/5

33%1/3Over 4.540%2/5

67%2/3Under 4.560%3/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Dulwich HamletEast Grinstead Town

100%3/3Scores first0%0/1

67%2/3…and wins—

33%1/3…and draws—

0%0/3…and loses—

33%1/3…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Dulwich Hamlet opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • East Grinstead Town opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • East Grinstead Town avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Dulwich Hamlet				East Grinstead Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	0	67%	1–15	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	16–30	20%	0	1
2	0	33%	31–45	0%	0	0
3	0	100%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	61–75	20%	1	1
0	2	33%	76–90	20%	0	2
1	0	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	87–FT	20%	0	2

• • Dulwich Hamlet scores most in 1–15: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Dulwich Hamlet concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 2 conceded.
• • Dulwich Hamlet scores 10% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • East Grinstead Town scores most in 61–75: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • East Grinstead Town concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 4 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.