Leamington — Ilkeston 3:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. FA Cup

• The model expects 2.67 goals: 2 for Leamington and 0.67 for Ilkeston.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 2–0 (14%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.67.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.07
Over 1.5	67%	100%	74%	1.34
Over 2.5	0%	33%	50%	2.01
Over 3.5	0%	33%	28%	3.59
Over 4.5	0%	33%	13%	7.58

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Leamington Ilkeston

• Winless in 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Lost 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Leamingtonmatches: 3 · 3Ilkeston

1.67Avg match total3.7

100%3/3Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 1.5100%3/3

33%1/3Under 1.50%0/3

0%0/3Over 2.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 2.567%2/3

0%0/3Over 3.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 3.567%2/3

0%0/3Over 4.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

LeamingtonIlkeston

67%2/3Scores first0%0/3

0%0/2…and wins—

100%2/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

100%2/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Leamington opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Leamington avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Ilkeston opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Ilkeston avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Leamington				Ilkeston
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	33%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	33%	0	3
0	0	0%	31–45	67%	0	2
1	0	33%	46–60	67%	0	2
0	2	67%	61–75	67%	0	2
0	1	33%	76–90	67%	1	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	67%	0	2
0	1	33%	87–FT	33%	0	1

• • Leamington scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Leamington concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 3 conceded.
• • Ilkeston scores most in 76–90: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Ilkeston concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 10 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.