Hayes & Yeading United — Camberley Town 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. FA Cup

• The model expects 2.15 goals: 1.43 for Hayes & Yeading United and 0.72 for Camberley Town.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (17%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 2 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 0.98.

Market	history	CThistory	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	75%	88%	1.13
Over 1.5	56%	25%	63%	1.58
Over 2.5	33%	25%	36%	2.75
Over 3.5	33%	25%	17%	5.85
Over 4.5	22%	25%	7%	14.88

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Hayes & Yeading UnitedCT Camberley Town

• CTWinless in 8 matches100%
• CT3 defeats in a row100%
• CTUnder 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• CTScored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• CTConceded over 0.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• CTAt least one team failed to score in 7 of 8 matches88%
• CTFailed to score in 7 of 8 matches88%
• CTUnder 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 matches75%
• CTLost 6 of 8 matches75%
• CTFirst-half goal in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 8

Hayes & Yeading Unitedmatches: 9 · 4CTCamberley Town

2.55Avg match total1.75

100%9/9Over 0.575%3/4

0%0/9Under 0.525%1/4

56%5/9Over 1.525%1/4

44%4/9Under 1.575%3/4

33%3/9Over 2.525%1/4

67%6/9Under 2.575%3/4

33%3/9Over 3.525%1/4

67%6/9Under 3.575%3/4

22%2/9Over 4.525%1/4

78%7/9Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Hayes & Yeading UnitedCTCamberley Town

33%1/3Scores first—

100%1/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

0%0/1…and loses—

0%0/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Hayes & Yeading United opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Hayes & Yeading United avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Hayes & Yeading United				CTCamberley Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	2	22%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	11%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	1	11%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	2	22%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	1	11%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Hayes & Yeading United scores most in 31–45: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Hayes & Yeading United concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 6 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.