Persepolis — Fajr Sepasi: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Iran. Pro League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Shahr-e Qods (Qods)

City

Qods

Address

Shora Boulavard

Capacity

25,000

Opened

2005

Map

Open map

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Persepolis	11	7	2	2	19:5	+14	23	WLWDW
2	Sepahan Isfahan	11	7	2	2	19:7	+12	23	WWDWW
3	Foolad Khuzestan	11	6	4	1	11:5	+6	22	WWDWW
4	Tractor Tabriz	9	6	2	1	12:2	+10	20	WDLWD
5	Esteghlal	10	5	5	0	12:3	+9	20	DWDWD
6	Chador Malu	11	4	4	3	11:14	-3	16	WDWDW
7	Aluminium Arak	11	3	5	3	11:9	+2	14	LDLLD
8	Kheybar Khorramabad	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14	LWWDD
9	Fajr Sepasi	10	3	5	2	10:12	-2	14	DWWLL
10	Gol Gohar	10	4	1	5	10:9	+1	13	LLWWL
11	Paykan	11	3	4	4	10:11	-1	13	WDLDL
12	Nassaji Mazandaran	11	2	5	4	7:10	-3	11	LDDDD
13	Esteghlal Khuzestan	11	2	4	5	7:14	-7	10	DWLLW
14	Zob Ahan	11	1	6	4	6:10	-4	9	DDLLD
15	Malavan	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9	LDLDW
16	Shams Azar Qazvin	10	1	4	5	7:12	-5	7	LDDLL
17	Sanat Naft Abadan	10	1	4	5	5:15	-10	7	LWLLL
18	Mes Shahr-e Babak	11	0	5	6	7:22	-15	5	LLLLD

• Promotion - Champions League (League stage)
• Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
• Relegation - Iran. Azadegan League

• The model expects 2.74 goals: 1.94 for Persepolis and 0.79 for Fajr Sepasi.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (13%), followed by 2–0 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.13, 2nd — 1.61.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.07
Over 1.5	71%	63%	76%	1.32
Over 2.5	57%	50%	51%	1.94
Over 3.5	29%	25%	29%	3.41
Over 4.5	14%	13%	14%	7.03

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Persepolis Fajr Sepasi

• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Won 6 of 7 matches after scoring first86%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 4.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored first in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Scored first in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Persepolismatches: 7 · 8Fajr Sepasi

2.71Avg match total2.76

100%7/7Over 0.5100%8/8

0%0/7Under 0.50%0/8

71%5/7Over 1.563%5/8

29%2/7Under 1.538%3/8

57%4/7Over 2.550%4/8

43%3/7Under 2.550%4/8

29%2/7Over 3.525%2/8

71%5/7Under 3.575%6/8

14%1/7Over 4.513%1/8

86%6/7Under 4.588%7/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

PersepolisFajr Sepasi

71%5/7Scores first38%3/8

100%5/5…and wins33%1/3

0%0/5…and draws67%2/3

0%0/5…and loses0%0/3

40%2/5…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Persepolis opened the scoring in 71% of matches.
• • Persepolis avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Fajr Sepasi opened the scoring in 38% of matches.
• • Fajr Sepasi avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Persepolis				Fajr Sepasi
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	43%	1–15	25%	1	1
2	0	29%	16–30	38%	1	3
2	0	29%	31–45	38%	2	2
3	0	43%	46–60	25%	0	3
1	3	57%	61–75	25%	0	2
4	1	71%	76–90	88%	3	4
1	0	14%	37–HT	38%	2	2
2	1	43%	87–FT	38%	2	1

• • Persepolis scores most in 76–90: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • Persepolis concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 5 conceded.
• • Persepolis scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Fajr Sepasi scores most in 76–90: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Fajr Sepasi concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • Fajr Sepasi scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.67 goals per match on average.