Barnsley — Cambridge United: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

First League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Huddersfield Town	14	8	5	1	28:12	+16	29	DWWWW
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	26:14	+12	26	WLDWW
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	22:11	+11	26	WDWDW
4	Luton Town	14	7	3	4	27:21	+6	24	DWWWW
5	Plymouth Argyle	14	7	2	5	21:19	+2	23	DWLLW
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	25:15	+10	22	LDWWL
7	Bradford City	13	6	4	3	10:8	+2	22	LDDWD
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	21:21	0	21	LDLDW
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	22:14	+8	20	DDLLW
10	Leicester City	13	5	4	4	22:19	+3	19	DWLWW
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	20:18	+2	19	DLWWD
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	22:20	+2	18	WWWLW
13	Wycombe Wanderers	13	4	6	3	21:23	-2	18	WDDWL
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	19:14	+5	17	WLLWD
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	18:21	-3	17	LWDDL
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	17:13	+4	16	DLWLW
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	13:14	-1	14	WDWLL
18	Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	9:21	-12	13	LDLLL
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	17:21	-4	12	DLWLL
20	Doncaster Rovers	13	3	3	7	14:22	-8	12	LLWLL
21	Wigan Athletic	14	3	2	9	11:22	-11	11	DWLLL
22	Peterborough United	13	2	4	7	11:23	-12	10	LDLDW
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	12:22	-10	9	DLLLL
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	13:33	-20	9	LLDLL

• Promotion - Championship
• Promotion - First League (Play-off)
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 3.5 goals: 1.3 for Barnsley and 2.2 for Cambridge United.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (10%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 12.7 (6.8 — 5.9).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.2, 2nd — 2.3.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	80%	100%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	60%	60%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	40%	40%	46%	2.16
Over 4.5	40%	20%	27%	3.64

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Barnsley Cambridge United

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 8 matches100%
• Winless in 7 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Barnsleymatches: 5 · 5Cambridge United

3.8Avg match total3.2

100%5/5Over 0.5100%5/5

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/5

80%4/5Over 1.5100%5/5

20%1/5Under 1.50%0/5

60%3/5Over 2.560%3/5

40%2/5Under 2.540%2/5

40%2/5Over 3.540%2/5

60%3/5Under 3.560%3/5

40%2/5Over 4.520%1/5

60%3/5Under 4.580%4/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

BarnsleyCambridge United

40%2/5Scores first60%3/5

50%1/2…and wins67%2/3

0%0/2…and draws33%1/3

50%1/2…and loses0%0/3

100%2/2…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Barnsley opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Barnsley avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Cambridge United opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Cambridge United avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Barnsley				Cambridge United
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	20%	1–15	20%	0	1
1	1	40%	16–30	40%	1	1
0	3	40%	31–45	40%	2	1
0	2	20%	46–60	60%	3	0
2	4	100%	61–75	40%	2	0
4	1	60%	76–90	80%	2	3
0	3	40%	37–HT	20%	1	0
2	1	60%	87–FT	60%	2	1

• • Barnsley scores most in 76–90: 4 of 7 goals (57%).
• • Barnsley concedes most in 61–75: 4 of 12 conceded.
• • Barnsley scores 86% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Cambridge United scores most in 46–60: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Cambridge United concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 6 conceded.
• • Cambridge United scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

BarnsleyCambridge United

8.8Corners won, avg6.0

5.8Corners conceded, avg4.8

14.6Match corners, avg10.8

5.6Corners in 1st half, avg3.4

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Barnsleyper matchCambridge United

1.71xG for1.27

2.35xG against1.19

18.8Shots11.2

16.2Shots against11.2

5.6Shots on target4.0

5.6On target against3.6

7%Conversion18%

13.4Shots per goal5.6

14.0Fouls10.6

1.6Offsides1.2

• • Barnsley scores 0.31 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Barnsley concedes 0.05 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Cambridge United scores 0.73 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Cambridge United concedes 0.01 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.