Czech Republic U16 (Women) — Russia U16 (Women) 2:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

European Cup U16. Girls

Season

2019

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Finland U16 (Women)	4	3	0	0	10:3	+7	10	WWWL
2	Austria U16 (Women)	4	2	0	1	7:4	+3	8	LWWW
3	Germany U16 (Women)	4	2	0	2	9:5	+4	6	WLWL
4	Switzerland U16 (Women)	4	1	0	2	6:8	-2	5	WLLW
5	Norway U16 (Women)	4	0	0	3	3:15	-12	1	LLLL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Russia U16 (Women)	4	3	0	0	15:5	+10	11	WWWW
2	Czech Republic U16 (Women)	4	3	0	0	19:6	+13	10	LWWW
3	Hungary U16 (Women)	4	2	0	2	10:14	-4	6	WWLL
4	Japan U16 (Women)	4	1	0	3	10:10	0	3	LWLL
5	France U16 (Women)	4	0	0	4	2:21	-19	0	LLLL

• Promotion - European Cup U16. Girls (Play-off: Round of 4)

• The model expects 6.57 goals: 2.29 for Czech Republic U16 (Women) and 4.29 for Russia U16 (Women).
• Most likely score is 2–4 (5%), followed by 2–3 (5%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P1: 23 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.36, 2nd — 2.18.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	99%	1.01
Over 2.5	—	—	96%	1.04
Over 3.5	71%	100%	89%	1.12
Over 4.5	71%	100%	78%	1.28

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Czech Republic U16 (Women) Russia U16 (Women)

• 6 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• 5 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Over 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Won 7 of 7 matches after scoring first100%
• Scored over 2.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Won 8 of 9 matches89%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 5

Czech Republic U16 (Women)matches: 7 · 2Russia U16 (Women)

5.1Avg match total8.0

71%5/7Over 3.5100%2/2

29%2/7Under 3.50%0/2

71%5/7Over 4.5100%2/2

29%2/7Under 4.50%0/2

57%4/7Over 5.5100%2/2

43%3/7Under 5.50%0/2

29%2/7Over 6.550%1/2

71%5/7Under 6.550%1/2

14%1/7Over 7.550%1/2

86%6/7Under 7.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Czech Republic U16 (Women)Russia U16 (Women)

86%6/7Scores first100%1/1

100%6/6…and wins100%1/1

0%0/6…and draws0%0/1

0%0/6…and loses0%0/1

67%4/6…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Czech Republic U16 (Women) opened the scoring in 86% of matches.
• • Czech Republic U16 (Women) avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Russia U16 (Women) opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Czech Republic U16 (Women)				Russia U16 (Women)
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
15	4	86%	Period 1	100%	3	1
3	3	43%	Period 2	50%	7	0
7	3	86%	Period 3	100%	4	1
0	0	0%	Period 4	—	—	—
0	1	100%	Period 5	—	—	—

• • Czech Republic U16 (Women) scores most in Period 1: 15 of 25 goals (60%).
• • Czech Republic U16 (Women) concedes most in Period 1: 4 of 11 conceded.
• • Russia U16 (Women) scores most in Period 2: 7 of 14 goals (50%).
• • Russia U16 (Women) concedes most in Period 1: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.