Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres 2:3: match report and statistics

NHL · 28.02.2026 00:00 · Finished

Compare teams
Graham Skilliter (Canada)
Florida Panthers
Finished2 : 328.02.2026 00:00
Buffalo Sabres

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Florida Panthers0%
  • Draw0%
  • Buffalo Sabres0%

Overview

Florida Panthers vs Buffalo Sabres ended 2:3 on 28.02.2026 (UTC) in NHL. The win went to Buffalo Sabres. Goals: Alex Tuch 17:48', Matthew Tkachuk 13:51', Beck Malenstyn 11:38', Peyton Krebs 18:43', Sam Bennett 19:25'.

Florida Panthers, last 6 games: won 1, drawn 1, lost 4. Buffalo Sabres, last 6 games: won 3, drawn 1, lost 2.

All meetings of Florida Panthers and Buffalo Sabres: 20 (wins of Florida Panthers: 4, wins of Buffalo Sabres: 2, draws: 0). The last meeting on 03.02.2026 ended Florida Panthers 3:5 Buffalo Sabres.

Florida Panthers in the standings: place 14, points 84, played 82. Buffalo Sabres in the standings: place 2, points 109, played 82.

Related pages: Florida Panthers, Buffalo Sabres, NHL table.

More matches: Ice hockey matches today. Scores and statistics come from the SportAPI 3D match tracker.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Florida Panthers
0112
Buffalo Sabres
1023

Match events

Period 10 : 1
Period 21 : 0
Period 31 : 2

Match statistics

  • 29 Shots on target 39
  • 18 Shots off target 14
  • 6.9% (2/29)Shooting PCT(3/39) 7.69%
  • 18 Shots blocked 16
  • 36 Saves 27
  • 94.74% (36/38)Saves PCT(27/29) 93.1%
  • 3 Penalties 4
  • 6 PIM 8
  • 1 Powerplay goals 1
  • 0 Short-handed goals 0
  • 25% (1/4)Powerplay PCT(1/3) 33.33%
  • 66.67% (2/3)Pen. killing PCT(3/4) 75%
  • 20 Hits 14
  • 42 Faceoffs won 25
  • 62.69% Faceoffs won 37.31%
  • 16 Turnovers 15
  • 3 Steals 7
  • 0 Empty net goals 1

Box score

Skaters

PlayerGAstBSPts+/-PIMSoTHUTIT in %TOIWВВ
Aaron EkbladCanadaEkblad——1———34—1—27:18——
Gustav ForslingSwedenForsling——3——23—1——23:51——
Sam ReinhartCanadaReinhart S.————-1—2—1—3322:2431
Evan RodriguesCanadaRodrigues——1—-1—11117517:362015
Carter VerhaegheCanadaVerhaeghe C.————-2——21——17:21——
Uvis BalinskisLatviaBalinskis——1———2—1——8:38——
Niko MikkolaFinlandMikkola N.——2—-1———2——25:29——
Matthew TkachukUnited StatesTkachuk M.1——1——5—31—21:34——
Sam BennettCanadaBennett S.11—2——2———6121:191811
Matthew SamoskevichUnited StatesSamoskevich——2———11———12:49——
Jeff PetryUnited StatesPetry———————32——16:24——
Donovan SebrangoCanadaSebrango——1—-1—13———10:23——
Brad MarchandCanadaMarchand—1—1——4—1——16:10——
Anton LundellFinlandLundell A.——1—1——21—5316:43179
Eetu LuostarinenFinlandLuostarinen E.——2———1———015:0910
Sandis VilmanisLatviaVilmanis——————111——7:52——
Luke KuninUnited StatesKunin L.——2———12——866:4376
A.J. GreerCanadaGreer—————221——08:2110

Goaltenders

PlayerTOIS%S
Daniil Tarasov 1999RussiaTarasov58:0594.736

Lineups

Lead tracker

Florida Panthers +0Biggest lead+2 Buffalo Sabres
123

Head-to-head

Matches played: 20
draws: 0

4 / 20
Wins
2 / 20
19 / 34
Points
15 / 34
Matches

Previous matches: Florida Panthers

Previous matches: Buffalo Sabres

Match info

Tournament
NHL
Season
2025/2026
Attendance
19,783
Referee
Graham Skilliter

Upcoming matches: Florida Panthers

Upcoming matches: Buffalo Sabres

NHL

Western Conference
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Colorado Avalanche8248016302:203+99121
2Dallas Stars8238020279:226+53112
3Minnesota Wild8231024272:240+32104
4Vegas Golden Knights8230026265:250+1595
5Edmonton Oilers8232030282:269+1393
6Utah Mammoth8233033268:240+2892
7Anaheim Ducks8226033273:288-1592
8Los Angeles Kings8222027225:247-2290
9San Jose Sharks8227035251:292-4186
10St. Louis Blues8233033231:258-2786
11Nashville Predators8228034247:269-2286
12Winnipeg Jets8228035231:260-2982
13Seattle Kraken8226037226:263-3779
14Calgary Flames8227039212:259-4777
15Chicago Blackhawks8222039213:275-6272
16Vancouver Canucks8215049216:316-10058
Eastern Conference
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Carolina Hurricanes8239022296:240+56113
2Buffalo Sabres8242023288:241+47109
3Tampa Bay Lightning8240026290:231+59106
4Montreal Canadiens8234024283:256+27106
5Boston Bruins8233027272:250+22100
6Ottawa Senators8238027278:246+3299
7Pittsburgh Penguins8234025293:268+2598
8Philadelphia Flyers8227027250:243+798
9Washington Capitals8237030263:244+1995
10Detroit Red Wings8230031241:258-1792
11Columbus Blue Jackets8228030253:253092
12New York Islanders8229034233:241-891
13New Jersey Devils8229037230:254-2487
14Florida Panthers8232038251:276-2584
15Toronto Maple Leafs8223036253:299-4678
16New York Rangers8225039238:250-1277
Atlantic Division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Buffalo Sabres8242023288:241+47109
2Tampa Bay Lightning8240026290:231+59106
3Montreal Canadiens8234024283:256+27106
4Boston Bruins8233027272:250+22100
5Ottawa Senators8238027278:246+3299
6Detroit Red Wings8230031241:258-1792
7Florida Panthers8232038251:276-2584
8Toronto Maple Leafs8223036253:299-4678
Central division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Colorado Avalanche8248016302:203+99121
2Dallas Stars8238020279:226+53112
3Minnesota Wild8231024272:240+32104
4Utah Mammoth8233033268:240+2892
5St. Louis Blues8233033231:258-2786
6Nashville Predators8228034247:269-2286
7Winnipeg Jets8228035231:260-2982
8Chicago Blackhawks8222039213:275-6272
Pacific division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Vegas Golden Knights8230026265:250+1595
2Edmonton Oilers8232030282:269+1393
3Anaheim Ducks8226033273:288-1592
4Los Angeles Kings8222027225:247-2290
5San Jose Sharks8227035251:292-4186
6Seattle Kraken8226037226:263-3779
7Calgary Flames8227039212:259-4777
8Vancouver Canucks8215049216:316-10058
Metropolitan Division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Carolina Hurricanes8239022296:240+56113
2Pittsburgh Penguins8234025293:268+2598
3Philadelphia Flyers8227027250:243+798
4Washington Capitals8237030263:244+1995
5Columbus Blue Jackets8228030253:253092
6New York Islanders8229034233:241-891
7New Jersey Devils8229037230:254-2487
8New York Rangers8225039238:250-1277
  • Promotion - NHL (Play-offs)

Match forecast

Quick readEven matchOver 2.5 95%Both teams to score 91%Goal peak P1
41%Win · Florida Panthers2.46
16%Draw6.13
43%Win · Buffalo Sabres2.32
6.25Expected goals
  • The model expects 6.25 goals: 3.09 for Florida Panthers and 3.17 for Buffalo Sabres.
  • Most likely score is 3–3 (5%), followed by 2–3 (5%).
  • Most goals in both teams' matches come in P1: 17 in total.
  • Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.38, 2nd — 1.13.

Correct score by the model

3–35%2–34.9%3–24.7%2–24.6%3–43.9%4–33.8%2–43.8%4–23.6%1–33.1%

Scores 4+ goals: Florida Panthers — 37%, Buffalo Sabres — 39%

MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Over 0.5——100%1.00
Over 1.5——99%1.01
Over 2.5——95%1.05
Over 3.575%67%87%1.15
Over 4.575%67%75%1.34

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Trends

  • Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Scored over 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
  • Over 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Scored first in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Over 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Markets by recent matches

Florida Panthersmatches: 4 · 3Buffalo Sabres
6.5Avg match total6.0
75%3/4Over 3.567%2/3
25%1/4Under 3.533%1/3
75%3/4Over 4.567%2/3
25%1/4Under 4.533%1/3
75%3/4Over 5.567%2/3
25%1/4Under 5.533%1/3
50%2/4Over 6.567%2/3
50%2/4Under 6.533%1/3
50%2/4Over 7.533%1/3
50%2/4Under 7.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First goal and after

First to score…

Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabres
100%4/4Scores first33%1/3
50%2/4…and wins100%1/1
0%0/4…and draws0%0/1
50%2/4…and loses0%0/1
100%4/4…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

0%0/4Concedes first67%2/3
—…and then scores100%2/2
—…and comes back to win50%1/2
—…and saves a draw0%0/2

Overall

50%2/4Scores in both halves33%1/3
100%4/4Scores at all100%3/3
  • • Florida Panthers opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
  • • Buffalo Sabres opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
  • • Buffalo Sabres avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Scoring by period

matches: 4 · 3
Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabres
ForAg.%Period%ForAg.
74100%Period 167%33
4150%Period 267%21
27100%Period 3100%53
000%Period 4100%01
21100%Period 5———
  • • Florida Panthers scores most in Period 1: 7 of 15 goals (47%).
  • • Florida Panthers concedes most in Period 3: 7 of 13 conceded.
  • • Buffalo Sabres scores most in Period 3: 5 of 10 goals (50%).
  • • Buffalo Sabres concedes most in Period 1: 3 of 8 conceded.
  • Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Markets in head-to-head

100%Over 1.56 of 6
100%Over 2.56 of 6
83%Over 3.55 of 6
67%Both teams to score4 of 6
67%Florida Panthers wins4 of 6
33%Buffalo Sabres wins2 of 6
0%Draw0 of 6

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 5.67 goals per match on average.