Haukat — Forssan Palloseura 5:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

Finland. Suomi-sarja

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Leki	34	24	0	6	172:95	+77	78	LWWWW
2	Haukat	34	22	0	6	177:103	+74	76	WWLWW
3	Muik	34	20	0	9	129:89	+40	68	LWWWW
4	SaPKo	34	19	0	9	147:100	+47	66	WWWLW
5	Laser HT	34	17	0	10	135:112	+23	63	WWWLW
6	JHT Kalajoki	34	19	0	11	155:116	+39	61	WWLWW
7	Virkia	34	18	0	12	159:133	+26	60	WWLWW
8	RaaheK	34	15	0	12	130:111	+19	54	LWLLL
9	Hunters	34	11	0	16	108:130	-22	44	WLWLL
10	S-Kiekko	34	9	0	16	120:167	-47	41	LLLWL
11	Forssan Palloseura	34	10	0	20	113:121	-8	37	LLLLL
12	Riemu	34	9	0	20	108:163	-55	32	LWLWL
13	PEPO	34	6	0	26	97:178	-81	21	LLLWW
14	Titaanit	34	3	0	29	83:215	-132	13	WLLLL

• Promotion - Finland. Suomi-sarja (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Finland. Suomi-sarja (Play Out)

• The model expects 7.84 goals: 6 for Haukat and 1.84 for Forssan Palloseura.
• Most likely score is 5–1 (5%), followed by 6–1 (5%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P1: 17 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.84, 2nd — 2.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 2.5	—	—	98%	1.02
Over 3.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 4.5	100%	100%	89%	1.12

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Haukat Forssan Palloseura

• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• 4 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 3.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Haukatmatches: 3 · 3Forssan Palloseura

8.3Avg match total7.3

100%3/3Over 3.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 3.50%0/3

100%3/3Over 4.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 4.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 5.5100%3/3

33%1/3Under 5.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 6.567%2/3

33%1/3Under 6.533%1/3

33%1/3Over 7.567%2/3

67%2/3Under 7.533%1/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

HaukatForssan Palloseura

67%2/3Scores first0%0/3

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

50%1/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Haukat opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Haukat avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Forssan Palloseura opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Forssan Palloseura avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Haukat				Forssan Palloseura
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
9	2	100%	Period 1	100%	1	5
7	1	67%	Period 2	100%	1	6
4	1	100%	Period 3	100%	4	5
0	1	100%	Period 4	—	—	—

• • Haukat scores most in Period 1: 9 of 20 goals (45%).
• • Haukat concedes most in Period 1: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Forssan Palloseura scores most in Period 3: 4 of 6 goals (67%).
• • Forssan Palloseura concedes most in Period 2: 6 of 16 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 7.17 goals per match on average.