EC Red Bull Salzburg — EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV 3:4: match report and statistics

Tournament

Austria. ICEHL

Attendance

3,400

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Moser Medical Graz99ers	48	28	0	8	163:102	+61	102	WWWLW
2	EC KAC	48	29	0	9	172:115	+57	101	WWLWW
3	EC Red Bull Salzburg	48	25	0	12	163:104	+59	93	WWLLW
4	Bolzano-Bozen Foxes	48	26	0	13	172:128	+44	90	LLWWW
5	Pustertal Wolfe	48	25	0	15	158:129	+29	87	WWLWL
6	HK SZ Olimpija Ljubljana	48	22	0	15	177:137	+40	85	LWWLW
7	Vienna Capitals	48	18	0	21	126:141	-15	68	WLWLW
8	EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV	48	17	0	23	148:156	-8	63	LWWLW
9	Steinbach Black Wings Linz	48	16	0	24	141:148	-7	62	WLLWL
10	Hydro Fehervar AV19	48	16	0	23	113:158	-45	60	LLLLW
11	FTC Telecom	48	16	0	24	127:174	-47	57	LWWLL
12	Pioneers Vorarlberg	48	9	0	30	113:184	-71	40	LLLLL
13	TIWAG Innsbruck Die Haie	48	5	0	35	118:215	-97	28	WLLLL

• Promotion - Austria. ICEHL (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Promotion - Austria. ICEHL (Play-off: Round of 16)

• The model expects 6.75 goals: 4.5 for EC Red Bull Salzburg and 2.25 for EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV.
• Most likely score is 4–2 (5%), followed by 5–2 (5%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P2: 15 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.88, 2nd — 2.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	99%	1.01
Over 2.5	—	—	96%	1.04
Over 3.5	100%	100%	90%	1.11
Over 4.5	50%	75%	80%	1.25

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams EC Red Bull Salzburg EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV

• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

EC Red Bull Salzburgmatches: 2 · 4EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV

7.5Avg match total6.0

100%2/2Over 3.5100%4/4

0%0/2Under 3.50%0/4

50%1/2Over 4.575%3/4

50%1/2Under 4.525%1/4

50%1/2Over 5.550%2/4

50%1/2Under 5.550%2/4

50%1/2Over 6.525%1/4

50%1/2Under 6.575%3/4

50%1/2Over 7.525%1/4

50%1/2Under 7.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

EC Red Bull SalzburgEC iDM Warmepumpen VSV

50%1/2Scores first50%2/4

100%1/1…and wins50%1/2

0%0/1…and draws0%0/2

0%0/1…and loses50%1/2

0%0/1…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • EC Red Bull Salzburg opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • EC Red Bull Salzburg avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

EC Red Bull Salzburg				EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	1	100%	Period 1	75%	3	4
5	2	100%	Period 2	75%	3	5
3	1	100%	Period 3	100%	4	5

• • EC Red Bull Salzburg scores most in Period 2: 5 of 11 goals (45%).
• • EC Red Bull Salzburg concedes most in Period 2: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV scores most in Period 3: 4 of 10 goals (40%).
• • EC iDM Warmepumpen VSV concedes most in Period 2: 5 of 14 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 6.5 goals per match on average.