Varese — Alleghe 3:2: match report and statistics
Italy. IHL - Winners stage · 21.02.2026 17:30 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Varese0%
- Draw0%
- Alleghe0%
Overview
Final score Varese 3:2 Alleghe, Italy. IHL - Winners stage, 21.02.2026 17:30 (UTC). The match ended in a draw. Goals: Marcello Borghi 13:33', Dylan Ghiglione 15:31', Noah Zardini Lacedelli 07:04', Patrick Isiguzo 18:14', Andrea Schina 01:45'.
Form of Varese in the last 6 matches: wins 2, draws 1, defeats 3. Form of Alleghe in the last 6 matches: wins 1, draws 1, defeats 4.
Head-to-head meetings: 20. Wins of Varese: 3, wins of Alleghe: 3, draws: 0. The last meeting on 31.01.2026 19:30 ended Alleghe 6:3 Varese.
Varese: position 3 in the table, points: 25, matches played: 10. Alleghe: position 6 in the table, points: 20, matches played: 10.
More on the site: Varese, Alleghe, Italy. IHL - Winners stage.
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Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Match events
Box score
Lead tracker
Head-to-head
VareseMatches played: 20
draws: 0
AlleghePrevious matches: Varese
Previous matches: Alleghe
Match info
- Tournament
- Italy. IHL
- Season
- 2025/2026
Upcoming matches: Varese
Upcoming matches: Alleghe
Italy. IHL - Winners stage
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | +/- | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 33:18 | +15 | 41 | LWLWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 43:30 | +13 | 34 | WLWWL | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 | WLWLL | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 28:39 | -11 | 25 | WWLWL | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 35:32 | +3 | 25 | LWWWL | |
| 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 31:45 | -14 | 20 | LLLLL |
- Promotion - Italy. IHL (Play-off: Round of 8)
Match forecast
- The model expects 5.25 goals: 3.42 for Varese and 1.84 for Alleghe.
- Most likely score is 3–1 (6%), followed by 3–2 (6%).
- Most goals in both teams' matches come in P2: 14 in total.
- Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.08, 2nd — 2.5.
Correct score by the model
Scores 4+ goals: Varese — 44%, Alleghe — 11%
| Market | Model | Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 99% | 1.01 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 100% | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 100% | 60% | 1.66 |
Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.
Trends
Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
4 defeats in a row100%
Winless in 4 matches100%
Over 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
Conceded over 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
Over 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
Scored over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6
Markets by recent matches
Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.
First goal and after
First to score…
First to concede…
Overall
- • Varese opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
- • Alleghe opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
- • Alleghe avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
Scoring by period
| For | Ag. | % | Period | % | For | Ag. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 50% | Period 1 | 67% | 1 | 4 |
| 1 | 1 | 50% | Period 2 | 100% | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | 100% | Period 3 | 67% | 1 | 2 |
- • Varese scores most in Period 3: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
- • Varese concedes most in Period 2: 1 of 2 conceded.
- • Alleghe scores most in Period 2: 6 of 8 goals (75%).
- • Alleghe concedes most in Period 2: 6 of 13 conceded.
- Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.
Markets in head-to-head
Head-to-head matches: 6 · 6.33 goals per match on average.