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KeuPa HT — Hermes 1:4: match report and statistics

Finland. Mestis Liiga · 24.02.2026 16:30 · Finished

Head-to-head: KeuPa HT vs Hermes
KeuPa HT
Finished1 : 424.02.2026 16:30
Hermes

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • KeuPa HT0%
  • Draw0%
  • Hermes0%

Overview

KeuPa HT vs Hermes ended 1:4 on 24.02.2026 16:30 (UTC) in Finland. Mestis Liiga. Hermes took the victory. Goals: Kasper Tarvainen 03:43', Jere Ohtonen 17:01', Onni Lauri 19:02', Elliot Cederberg 05:34', Otto Heinonen 03:14'.

Form of KeuPa HT in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 2, defeats 1. Form of Hermes in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 1, defeats 1.

Head-to-head meetings: 18. Wins of KeuPa HT: 3, wins of Hermes: 3, draws: 0. The last meeting on 12.02.2026 16:00 ended KeuPa HT 5:2 Hermes.

KeuPa HT: position 10 in the table, points: 49, matches played: 49. Hermes: position 7 in the table, points: 67, matches played: 49.

More on the site: KeuPa HT results and fixtures, Hermes results and fixtures, Finland. Mestis Liiga.

More matches: all Ice hockey matches of the day.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
KeuPa HT
1001
Hermes
2114

Match events

Match statistics

  • 20 Shots on target 34
  • 15 Shots off target 9
  • 5% (1/20)Shooting PCT(4/34) 11.76%
  • 10 Shots blocked 6
  • 30 Saves 19
  • 88.24% (30/34)Saves PCT(19/20) 95%
  • 1 Penalties 1
  • 2 PIM 2
  • 0 Powerplay goals 0
  • 1 Short-handed goals 0
  • 0% (0/1)Powerplay PCT(0/1) 0%
  • 100% (1/1)Pen. killing PCT(1/1) 100%
  • 0 Empty net goals 0
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Box score

PlayerGAstPts
Riku TohilaFinlandTohila—11
Kasper TarvainenFinlandTarvainen1—1

Lineups

Lead tracker

KeuPa HT +1Biggest lead+3 Hermes
123

Head-to-head

Matches played: 18
draws: 0

3 / 18
Wins
3 / 18
21 / 41
Points
20 / 41
Matches
12.02.2026Finished
KeuPa HT5 : 2Hermes
17.01.2026Finished
Hermes4 : 1KeuPa HT
06.01.2026Finished
Hermes3 : 2KeuPa HT
10.10.2025Finished
KeuPa HT4 : 7Hermes
01.10.2025Finished
Hermes4 : 7KeuPa HT
18.01.2025Finished
Hermes0 : 2KeuPa HT
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Previous matches: KeuPa HT

21.02.2026Finished
KeuPa HT1 : 2Jokerit
L
17.02.2026Finished
Imatran Kettera1 : 2KeuPa HT
D
14.02.2026Finished
KeuPa HT3 : 1Imatran Kettera
W
12.02.2026Finished
KeuPa HT5 : 2Hermes
W
10.02.2026Finished
IPK2 : 4KeuPa HT
W
07.02.2026Finished
KeuPa HT4 : 3TuTo
D

Previous matches: Hermes

21.02.2026Finished
Hermes2 : 1Roki
W
19.02.2026Finished
Roki2 : 5Hermes
W
13.02.2026Finished
Kiekko-Pojat2 : 3Hermes
W
12.02.2026Finished
KeuPa HT5 : 2Hermes
L
07.02.2026Finished
IPK2 : 3Hermes
D
06.02.2026Finished
Hermes5 : 1Kiekko-Vantaa
W

Match info

Tournament
Finland. Mestis Liiga
Season
2025/2026
Attendance
379

Upcoming matches: KeuPa HT

14.11.2026Match starts
KeuPa HT15:00Kiekko-Vantaa
19.11.2026Match starts
Imatran Kettera16:30KeuPa HT
20.11.2026Match starts
KeuPa HT16:30Roki

Upcoming matches: Hermes

13.11.2026Match starts
Hermes16:30Imatran Kettera
14.11.2026Match starts
Nokian Pyry15:00Hermes
19.11.2026Match starts
IPK16:30Hermes

Finland. Mestis Liiga

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Jokerit493008172:95+77108
2IPK4923013175:143+3289
3Imatran Kettera4917015152:141+1177
4Kiekko-Vantaa4920017149:148+176
5TuTo4920017145:134+1174
6Roki4919019150:155-572
7Hermes4918024147:170-2367
8Kiekko-Pojat4915020146:161-1566
9Nokian Pyry4914025141:181-4057
10KeuPa HT4911029132:181-4949
  • Promotion - Finland. Mestis Liiga (Play-off: Round of 8)
  • Finland. Mestis Liiga (Relegation. Play-off)

Match forecast

Quick readEven matchOver 2.5 92%Both teams to score 88%Goal peak P2
48%Win · KeuPa HT2.10
17%Draw5.86
35%Win · Hermes2.83
5.63Expected goals
  • The model expects 5.63 goals: 3 for KeuPa HT and 2.63 for Hermes.
  • Most likely score is 2–2 (6%), followed by 3–2 (6%).
  • Most goals in both teams' matches come in P2: 16 in total.
  • Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.75, 2nd — 2.

Correct score by the model

2–25.6%3–25.6%2–34.9%3–34.9%2–14.3%3–14.3%4–24.2%1–23.7%4–33.7%

Scores 4+ goals: KeuPa HT — 35%, Hermes — 27%

MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Over 0.5——100%1.00
Over 1.5——98%1.02
Over 2.5——92%1.09
Over 3.575%100%81%1.23
Over 4.550%100%66%1.51

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Trends

  • Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • 3 wins in a row100%
  • Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
  • Under 7.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
  • Scored over 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
  • Scored over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Markets by recent matches

KeuPa HTmatches: 4 · 4Hermes
5.3Avg match total6.0
75%3/4Over 3.5100%4/4
25%1/4Under 3.50%0/4
50%2/4Over 4.5100%4/4
50%2/4Under 4.50%0/4
50%2/4Over 5.550%2/4
50%2/4Under 5.550%2/4
50%2/4Over 6.550%2/4
50%2/4Under 6.550%2/4
0%0/4Over 7.50%0/4
100%4/4Under 7.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First goal and after

First to score…

KeuPa HTHermes
50%2/4Scores first75%3/4
50%1/2…and wins67%2/3
0%0/2…and draws0%0/3
50%1/2…and loses33%1/3
100%2/2…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

50%2/4Concedes first25%1/4
100%2/2…and then scores100%1/1
100%2/2…and comes back to win100%1/1
0%0/2…and saves a draw0%0/1

Overall

50%2/4Scores in both halves25%1/4
100%4/4Scores at all100%4/4
  • • KeuPa HT opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
  • • KeuPa HT avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
  • • Hermes opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
  • • Hermes avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Scoring by period

matches: 4 · 4
KeuPa HTHermes
ForAg.%Period%ForAg.
34100%Period 1100%52
53100%Period 2100%35
4175%Period 3100%44
10100%Period 4100%10
  • • KeuPa HT scores most in Period 2: 5 of 13 goals (38%).
  • • KeuPa HT concedes most in Period 1: 4 of 8 conceded.
  • • Hermes scores most in Period 1: 5 of 13 goals (38%).
  • • Hermes concedes most in Period 2: 5 of 11 conceded.
  • Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Markets in head-to-head

100%Over 1.56 of 6
83%Over 2.55 of 6
83%Over 3.55 of 6
83%Both teams to score5 of 6
50%KeuPa HT wins3 of 6
50%Hermes wins3 of 6
0%Draw0 of 6

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 6.83 goals per match on average.